Jorge Hernandez

C ACL Royals

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AKC	186	.218/.326/.276	1	4	42	—	.189/.287/.245
2025	19	ROKKC	63	.292/.452/.292	0	2	61	—	.216/.355/.216
2026	20	ROKKC	76	.140/.347/.175	0	1	14	—	.097/.253/.113
2026	20	INTLCharros de Ja…	18	.118/.118/.118	0	1	-46	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBKC	211	.199/.259/.268	1	3	50	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBKC	66	.203/.264/.285	1	1	57	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBKC	149	.208/.270/.299	2	2	63	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%73

Whiff%69

BB%53

Chase%49

K%39

Speed29

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsShane Mardirosian (age 21) · Shane Opitz (age 21) · Luis De La Cruz (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .257 / .266

PA98

HR1

K%26

BB%5

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	129	40	7	1	0	14	29	6	4	2	310	403	380	783	70	392	19	9	354	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Royals	—	173	158	46	8	0	3	10	35	2	2	1	291	341	399	740	108	352	20	6	327	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	156	34	4	1	1	11	46	14	4	4	218	326	276	602	58	295	25	6	280	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Royals	—	63	48	14	0	0	0	7	14	7	2	1	292	452	292	743		412	22	11	360	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Royals	—	76	57	8	2	0	0	12	18	6	1	0	140	347	175	522	35	205	24	16	273	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	INTL	Charros de Jalisco	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	118	118	118	235		143	22	0	101	-46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	133	29	4	1	0	10	36	6	4	2	218	302	263	565	45	274	24	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	162	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	222	259	296	555	74	288	28	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	186	159	30	4	1	1	8	64	14	4	4	189	287	245	533	57	270	34	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	63	51	11	0	0	0	4	20	7	2	1	216	355	216	571		330	32	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	76	62	6	1	0	0	7	26	6	1	0	97	253	113	366	16	169	34	9	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	133	29	4	1	0	10	36	6	4	2	218	302	263	565	45	293	24	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	129	40	7	1	0	14	29	6	4	2	310	403	380	783	70	392	19	9	354	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	162	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	222	259	296	555	74	301	28	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	—	173	158	46	8	0	3	10	35	2	2	1	291	341	399	740	108	352	20	6	327	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	210	41	4	1	1	12	84	21	6	5	195	305	238	543	43	312	34	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	249	204	48	4	1	1	18	60	21	6	5	235	358	279	637	44	322	24	7	301	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	94	77	8	2	0	0	9	32	6	2	0	104	250	130	380	26	174	34	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	94	74	10	2	0	0	12	22	6	2	0	135	304	162	467	27	189	23	13	240	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Blue	—	152	135	29	4	1	0	10	36	6	4	2	215	302	259	561	44	274	24	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	163	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	221	259	294	553	74	288	28	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	214	41	4	1	1	12	84	21	6	5	192	305	234	538	42	285	34	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	94	79	8	2	0	0	9	32	6	2	0	101	250	127	377	25	169	34	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	173	163	36	6	0	2	6	49	2	2	1	221	259	294	553	74	288	28	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	249	214	41	4	1	1	12	84	21	6	5	192	305	234	538	42	285	34	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	94	79	8	2	0	0	9	32	6	2	0	101	250	127	377	25	169	34	10	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	KC	0%	211	194	38	7	1	1	10	54	5	3	1	199	259	268	527	69	267	26	5	242	50	-13	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	191	174	36	7	1	2	10	48	5	3	1	205	266	288	554	83	269	25	5	253	57	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2029	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	307	280	59	11	2	4	17	77	7	5	2	210	272	304	575	94	271	25	6	261	63	-14	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	388	354	76	14	2	6	22	96	9	6	2	214	276	315	591	102	273	25	6	268	67	-15	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	436	398	85	16	2	7	25	107	10	7	2	216	279	323	602	107	274	25	6	272	70	-15	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	465	424	91	17	2	8	28	114	10	7	2	218	281	329	610	111	275	25	6	275	73	-15	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	477	436	93	17	2	8	28	117	10	7	3	217	280	326	606	109	274	25	6	274	72	-16	+0	+0	+9	+10	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	481	440	93	17	2	8	28	119	10	6	3	215	278	321	600	106	273	25	6	271	70	-17	+0	-1	+9	+10	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	476	435	92	17	2	8	28	119	10	6	3	212	275	315	590	103	272	25	6	268	67	-19	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	66	61	12	2	0	1	3	17	2	1	0	203	264	285	549	81	267	26	5	251	57	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	149	136	28	5	1	2	8	37	4	2	1	208	270	299	569	91	269	25	5	259	63	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	205	187	39	7	1	3	11	51	5	3	1	212	274	310	584	98	271	25	5	265	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	239	218	47	9	1	4	14	59	5	4	1	214	277	317	595	104	272	25	6	269	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	259	236	50	9	1	4	15	63	6	4	1	215	279	322	602	107	273	24	6	272	73	-8	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	262	238	51	10	1	4	16	64	6	4	1	214	278	320	598	105	272	24	6	271	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	263	239	50	9	1	4	16	65	6	4	1	212	276	315	592	103	271	25	6	268	70	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	254	232	49	9	1	4	15	64	5	3	1	210	273	309	583	99	270	25	6	264	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1697	1547	326	60	7	26	98	420	39	25	7	211	275	309	584	98	271	25	6	267	64	-63	+2	-1	+30	+37	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	125	23	3	10	38	161	15	10	3	211	276	310	586	99	271	25	6	267	64	-24	+1	-0	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3987	3614	757	135	18	55	228	1023	108	63	27	209	277	302	579	93	274	26	6	263	64	-127	+2	-2	+59	+72	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	124	22	3	9	37	167	18	10	4	211	278	304	582	93	276	26	6	263	64	-25	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.7	1,793	28	27	214	274	317	+32	+20	1.5	1.6
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+7.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jorge Hernandez (OGILVIE)	21	30	20	45	20	197/257/266	69	267	1	2	26%	5%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Shane Opitz 2013 · A	21	41	38→40	48→50	40	199/241/281	81	267	4	5	26%	5%	46	-2.6	238/277/316	78	303	4	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	254/288/325	71	310	3	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Luis De La Cruz 2010 · A	21	41	38→30	47→30	41	200/236/278	78	248	5	6	22%	4%	43	-2.8	222/254/314	92	278	5	6	21%	4%	58	-1.7	247/269/327	80	297	3	3	18%	3%	63	-0.4
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Freizer Pedron 2007 · A	20	40	36→30	48→55	45	191/250/257	66	243	3	12	22%	6%	45	-2.7	211/279/276	65	274	2	16	22%	7%	60	-1.6	221/294/282	61	275	1	29	18%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	43	35→30	42→30	47	201/278/262	61	281	3	4	27%	8%	57	-1.8	219/272/282	63	305	3	6	27%	6%	58	-1.7	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	39	173/218/241	68	241	2	8	28%	5%	28	-3.9	193/244/265	72	255	4	10	25%	5%	44	-2.8	232/294/283	51	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Angel Acosta 2024 · A	21	42	38→40	40→50	48	201/276/279	78	249	5	5	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/268/276	65	259	4	9	19%	6%	55	-1.9	219/273/273	54	263	4	11	17%	6%	55	-0.7
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	40	36→40	45→50	46	190/261/259	69	270	4	9	29%	8%	50	-2.3	191/256/256	65	306	3	10	35%	7%	47	-2.6	156/231/187	31	268	0	14	38%	8%	19	-1.5
✕Alvaro Ramirez 2007 · A	21	43	34→30	47→55	41	200/259/256	56	257	2	12	22%	5%	48	-2.5	203/273/276	73	242	3	17	17%	6%	58	-1.7	204/277/275	71	233	4	22	13%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Aramis Ademan 2019 · A	20	38→37	37→30	47→50	41	187/243/258	70	253	5	10	27%	6%	42	-2.9	196/254/281	85	278	6	12	30%	6%	52	-2.2	182/244/271	88	260	7	15	31%	7%	44	-1.9
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	41	38→45	48→40	42	200/250/274	73	255	5	3	23%	5%	49	-2.4	218/274/316	98	288	8	3	26%	6%	68	-1.0	201/288/304	103	283	11	2	30%	10%	70	-0.3
✕Jan Vázquez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	45	39	191/253/258	67	291	3	5	33%	6%	47	-2.6	203/259/280	77	289	7	7	31%	6%	53	-2.1	217/296/305	87	288	7	7	25%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Alvaro Sosa 2007 · A	21	35	36→30	50→45	41	170/221/235	65	238	3	8	29%	6%	28	-3.9	182/229/248	66	235	2	8	22%	5%	34	-3.5	171/220/232	61	214	1	7	19%	5%	25	-1.2
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1

Jorge Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps