Nelson Marin

C DSL Tigers 2

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Tigers 2	89	.225/.375/.296	1	0	30	—	.135/.273/.149
2025	19	ROKDSL Tigers 2	150	.240/.383/.339	2	2	32	—	.148/.268/.203
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBDET	260	.194/.275/.265	2	3	56	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBDET	41	.195/.277/.272	0	1	61	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBDET	123	.199/.280/.283	1	2	65	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Chase%81

BB%67

K%61

wOBA59

wRC+58

ISO51

CompsFelix G. Santana (age 19) · Erick Gonzalez (age 20) · Rainer Nunez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 73 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .273 / .262

PA73

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	99	89	11	1	0	1	10	39	0	0	0	124	212	169	381	45	204	39	10	187	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	89	71	16	2	0	1	12	24	5	0	0	225	375	296	671	70	319	27	13	320	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	150	121	29	6	0	2	24	29	4	2	1	240	383	339	721	99	297	19	16	337	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	99	92	6	1	0	0	7	48	0	0	0	65	131	76	207	11	128	48	7	110	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	89	74	10	1	0	0	9	30	5	0	0	135	273	149	421	14	210	34	10	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	150	128	19	4	0	1	17	36	4	2	1	148	268	203	472	55	184	24	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	99	92	6	1	0	0	7	48	0	0	0	65	131	76	207	11	136	48	7	110	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	99	89	11	1	0	1	10	39	0	0	0	124	212	169	381	45	204	39	10	187	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	89	74	10	1	0	0	9	30	5	0	0	135	273	149	421	14	222	34	10	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	89	71	16	2	0	1	12	24	5	0	0	225	375	296	671	70	319	27	13	320	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	150	128	19	4	0	1	17	36	4	2	1	148	268	203	472	55	196	24	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	150	121	29	6	0	2	24	29	4	2	1	240	383	339	721	99	297	19	16	337	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	99	92	6	1	0	0	7	48	0	0	0	65	131	76	207	11	128	48	7	110	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	89	75	10	1	0	0	9	30	5	0	0	133	273	147	419	13	210	34	10	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	150	128	19	4	0	1	17	36	4	2	1	148	268	203	472	55	184	24	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	89	75	10	1	0	0	9	30	5	0	0	133	273	147	419	13	210	34	10	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	150	128	19	4	0	1	17	36	4	2	1	148	268	203	472	55	184	24	11	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	DET	0%	260	232	44	7	1	2	22	74	4	3	1	194	275	265	540	71	271	28	8	251	56	-14	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	34%	118	105	21	3	1	1	10	33	2	1	1	199	280	278	558	79	274	28	8	258	61	-6	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	DET	48%	254	226	46	8	1	3	22	70	4	3	1	203	283	289	573	87	275	28	9	264	65	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	DET	53%	352	314	65	11	2	5	30	96	5	5	2	206	286	299	585	93	277	27	9	269	68	-13	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	DET	55%	412	368	76	13	2	6	35	111	6	5	2	209	289	307	595	98	278	27	8	272	70	-14	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	450	402	83	14	2	7	39	120	6	6	2	211	290	313	603	102	278	27	9	275	72	-15	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	468	418	87	15	2	7	40	126	7	6	2	209	289	310	599	100	278	27	9	274	71	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	476	426	88	15	2	7	41	129	6	5	3	208	287	305	592	98	277	27	9	271	70	-17	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.1
2035	29	MLB MLE	DET	53%	474	424	87	15	2	7	41	130	6	5	3	205	284	299	583	94	275	27	9	267	67	-19	-0	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	11	1	1	0	195	277	272	549	77	269	27	7	254	61	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	DET	48%	123	109	22	4	1	1	11	34	2	2	1	199	280	283	564	84	271	28	9	260	65	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	DET	53%	186	165	34	6	1	2	16	51	3	2	1	203	283	293	576	90	273	27	9	265	68	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	DET	55%	225	201	41	7	1	3	19	61	3	3	1	205	286	300	586	95	274	27	8	268	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	250	223	46	8	1	4	21	67	4	3	1	207	287	306	593	99	274	27	8	271	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	257	229	47	8	1	4	22	69	4	3	1	206	286	303	589	97	274	27	9	270	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	260	232	47	8	1	4	22	70	4	3	1	204	284	299	583	94	273	27	8	267	70	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	DET	53%	253	226	45	8	1	3	22	69	3	3	2	202	281	292	574	91	271	27	9	263	67	-10	-0	-1	+5	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1595	1422	288	50	7	21	136	432	24	20	8	203	283	292	575	89	274	27	9	267	63	-58	+1	-1	+28	+35	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	118	20	3	9	55	176	10	8	3	204	284	295	579	92	275	27	8	267	63	-24	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3415	3043	601	102	14	45	297	950	52	39	17	198	280	285	565	87	269	28	9	261	63	-115	+1	-2	+55	+67	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	115	19	3	9	57	181	10	7	3	199	282	288	570	90	270	28	9	261	63	-24	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.5	1,669	24	20	208	284	303	+30	+20	1.5	1.5
/162	664	10	8	+11.9	+8.0	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Marin (OGILVIE)	21	35	25	40	60	192/273/262	70	271	1	1	28%	8%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A	19	34	35→30	41→50	41	167/230/223	56	230	3	6	27%	6%	30	-3.8	205/263/280	75	265	4	8	23%	5%	55	-1.9	220/279/292	72	278	4	10	21%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	36	34→30	43→50	45	174/239/226	52	241	2	7	27%	7%	34	-3.5	196/288/262	66	246	2	10	19%	11%	61	-1.5	180/304/238	59	213	1	14	14%	15%	61	-0.6
✕Rainer Nunez 2021 · A	20	36→46	38→45	39→30	42	177/227/252	75	224	6	4	24%	5%	35	-3.4	223/269/348	125	291	14	2	28%	5%	73	-0.6	237/278/350	113	315	14	1	28%	5%	74	-0.5
✕Webster Rivas 2012 · A	21	39	36→40	39→40	48	179/235/243	65	201	3	4	13%	6%	36	-3.4	197/245/265	68	242	4	4	19%	5%	44	-2.8	208/282/293	85	269	8	1	24%	9%	64	-0.6
✕Felix Osorio 2017 · A	20	33	37→30	41→45	49	157/230/225	68	190	4	5	19%	8%	31	-3.7	185/252/272	87	244	6	6	25%	7%	49	-2.4	150/225/256	106	196	10	5	29%	7%	34	-1.0
✕Jose Pena 2012 · A	19	31→36	37→45	38→40	45	154/225/227	73	218	4	4	30%	8%	29	-3.8	192/237/307	115	259	11	4	29%	5%	51	-2.2	191/231/312	121	251	12	3	29%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Nick Basto 2014 · A	20	39→49	35→45	42→30	34	187/225/243	55	275	4	3	32%	4%	30	-3.8	199/243/293	94	283	9	3	32%	4%	50	-2.3	206/263/314	107	284	11	0	30%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Daniel Arribas 2012 · A	19	38→40	35→40	39→45	43	179/241/234	55	243	2	5	26%	6%	36	-3.4	206/268/265	59	271	3	7	23%	7%	53	-2.1	210/274/266	56	281	3	7	25%	7%	55	-0.7
✕Brian Navarreto 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	47→30	36	180/216/252	72	250	5	3	30%	4%	30	-3.8	188/227/257	69	251	5	2	26%	4%	35	-3.4	197/246/311	114	243	14	1	25%	5%	53	-0.7
✕Carlos Quintana 2007 · A	20	38	34→40	42→40	36	180/230/231	51	286	2	6	36%	5%	30	-3.8	199/264/263	64	271	3	6	26%	7%	51	-2.2	193/263/249	56	258	2	8	24%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Yeico Aponte 2009 · A	20	36	35→30	44→45	38	175/228/232	56	262	2	8	32%	5%	30	-3.8	190/244/259	69	311	4	9	37%	6%	42	-2.9	132/189/176	44	254	4	13	47%	5%	1	-1.0
✕Jorge Parra 2016 · A	21	36	34→30	45→40	42	173/233/229	57	238	1	4	27%	6%	32	-3.7	194/241/258	64	260	2	7	25%	5%	40	-3.0	186/221/233	46	238	0	11	21%	4%	28	-1.2
✕Jose Caraballo 2018 · A	21	35	39→40	44→45	32	173/218/256	83	285	6	5	40%	5%	32	-3.7	190/226/283	93	307	7	4	39%	4%	41	-3.0	201/225/300	99	311	7	2	37%	3%	41	-1.5
✕Michael Soto 2011 · A	19	34→37	37→40	42→45	46	169/244/234	65	236	5	5	29%	8%	38	-3.2	191/247/298	107	272	10	5	32%	7%	53	-2.1	196/236/303	107	266	10	6	29%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2015 · A	20	34	33→30	48→50	42	164/238/210	46	230	1	13	27%	6%	31	-3.7	173/230/218	45	242	1	12	27%	5%	28	-3.9	152/206/179	27	213	0	15	27%	4%	8	-1.8
✕Felix Marine 2011 · A	21	34	36→30	44→50	42	166/245/229	63	238	3	8	29%	7%	38	-3.2	181/244/253	72	247	4	9	27%	6%	42	-2.9	141/204/202	61	179	3	11	23%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Francisco Sosa 2009 · A	19	34→44	37→45	43→50	38	168/230/234	65	248	4	11	32%	6%	32	-3.6	176/239/241	65	262	4	12	32%	6%	38	-3.2	198/256/296	98	291	10	17	34%	6%	54	-1.1
✕Dalton Smith 2014 · A	20	38	37→40	44→30	36	184/231/256	72	278	5	5	34%	5%	37	-3.3	193/249/279	86	277	7	5	31%	6%	50	-2.3	164/225/245	81	225	8	1	30%	6%	32	-1.3
✕Mario Gonzalez 2011 · A	19	39	33→30	43→40	48	181/245/225	44	228	1	5	20%	7%	36	-3.4	194/288/262	68	235	4	5	17%	10%	62	-1.4	163/296/228	64	185	4	3	13%	14%	61	-0.6
✕Tyler Massey 2011 · A	22	38→48	37→45	44→50	34	185/219/259	74	267	4	7	32%	4%	32	-3.6	205/246/299	94	282	8	11	29%	5%	52	-2.2	221/262/327	106	279	11	16	24%	5%	62	-1.2

Nelson Marin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps