Joan Gutierrez

SS DSL Brewers Blue

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Brewers 1	134	.153/.288/.216	0	8	-8	—	.095/.205/.129
2025	19	ROKDSL Brewers B…	144	.226/.431/.264	0	12	47	—	.147/.312/.172
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIL	254	.205/.289/.277	2	6	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIL	41	.207/.291/.291	0	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBMIL	123	.212/.295/.306	2	3	74	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%95

Chase%92

K%71

wOBA69

wRC+67

Whiff%56

CompsLuis Liberato (age 20) · Conner Capel (age 20) · Adonis Pacheco (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .287 / .274

PA71

HR0

K%27

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	156	126	20	6	2	0	27	44	2	7	3	159	314	238	552	79	244	28	17	270	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	134	111	17	3	2	0	17	30	4	8	2	153	288	216	504	63	205	22	13	244	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Brewers Blue	—	144	106	24	4	0	0	33	25	5	12	4	226	431	264	695	38	296	17	23	347	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	156	135	13	4	1	0	19	54	2	7	3	96	218	141	359	44	152	35	12	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	134	116	11	2	1	0	12	37	4	8	2	95	205	129	334	34	124	28	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	144	116	17	3	0	0	23	29	5	12	4	147	312	172	485	26	191	20	16	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	156	135	13	4	1	0	19	54	2	7	3	96	218	141	359	44	160	35	12	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	156	126	20	6	2	0	27	44	2	7	3	159	314	238	552	79	244	28	17	270	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	134	116	11	2	1	0	12	37	4	8	2	95	205	129	334	34	136	28	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	134	111	17	3	2	0	17	30	4	8	2	153	288	216	504	63	205	22	13	244	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	144	116	17	3	0	0	23	29	5	12	4	147	312	172	485	26	195	20	16	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Blue	—	144	106	24	4	0	0	33	25	5	12	4	226	431	264	695	38	296	17	23	347	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	156	134	13	4	1	0	19	54	2	7	3	97	218	142	360	45	152	35	12	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	134	117	11	2	1	0	12	37	4	8	2	94	205	128	333	34	124	28	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	144	115	17	3	0	0	23	29	5	12	4	148	312	174	486	26	191	20	16	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	134	117	11	2	1	0	12	37	4	8	2	94	205	128	333	34	124	28	9	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Blue	—	144	115	17	3	0	0	23	29	5	12	4	148	312	174	486	26	191	20	16	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	254	225	47	8	2	2	23	68	4	6	1	205	289	277	566	72	283	27	9	262	64	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	118	104	22	4	1	1	11	31	2	3	1	210	294	294	588	84	284	26	9	271	69	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	254	226	48	8	2	3	23	67	3	6	1	214	297	309	606	95	286	26	9	278	74	-8	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	352	312	68	11	3	5	32	91	5	8	2	218	300	321	622	103	287	26	9	284	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.3
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	412	366	80	13	3	7	37	106	6	9	2	221	303	331	634	111	288	26	9	288	81	-9	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	450	400	89	15	3	8	41	115	6	10	2	223	304	339	643	116	288	26	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	468	416	92	15	3	9	43	120	6	10	2	222	303	336	640	115	288	26	9	290	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	476	424	92	15	3	8	43	123	6	10	2	220	301	332	633	112	287	26	9	288	81	-11	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	474	422	91	15	3	8	43	124	6	10	2	218	299	326	625	108	286	26	9	284	78	-12	+1	-1	+5	+10	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	468	417	90	15	3	8	42	124	6	10	2	215	295	319	614	104	284	26	9	280	75	-14	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	41	36	7	1	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	207	291	291	582	84	280	27	10	268	69	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	123	109	24	4	1	2	11	32	2	3	1	212	295	306	601	94	282	26	9	276	74	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	186	164	36	6	1	3	17	48	3	4	1	216	298	319	617	103	283	26	9	282	78	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	225	200	44	7	2	4	20	58	3	5	1	218	300	329	630	111	283	26	9	286	81	-5	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	250	222	50	8	2	5	23	64	3	6	1	220	302	337	639	117	284	26	9	290	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	257	229	50	8	2	5	23	66	3	6	1	219	301	335	636	115	283	26	9	288	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	260	231	51	8	2	5	24	67	3	6	1	218	299	330	629	112	282	26	9	286	81	-6	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	253	225	50	8	2	5	23	66	3	5	1	215	297	324	620	109	281	26	9	282	78	-6	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2036	30	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	246	219	47	7	2	4	22	65	3	5	1	212	293	316	610	104	280	26	9	278	75	-7	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1841	1635	359	57	14	33	167	477	24	41	8	220	301	332	633	113	288	26	9	284	72	-45	+5	-2	+20	+40	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	127	20	5	12	59	168	8	14	3	220	301	334	635	114	287	26	9	284	72	-16	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3977	3518	726	122	27	57	375	1040	58	105	25	206	293	305	598	99	274	26	9	274	72	-89	+9	-4	+38	+77	3.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	118	20	4	9	61	170	9	17	4	205	291	301	592	96	273	26	9	274	72	-16	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#2Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.9	1,912	31	42	219	298	327	+20	+18	3.1	3.0
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+6.2	1.1	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joan Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	203/287/274	71	283	0	2	27%	9%	64	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Liberato 2016 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→50	42	177/241/251	73	261	4	13	32%	7%	40	-3.1	211/262/329	118	307	9	6	32%	7%	65	-1.2	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Conner Capel 2017 · A	20	40→48	36→45	52→55	44	191/238/258	68	240	2	13	21%	5%	40	-3.1	210/265/335	125	281	12	11	28%	7%	68	-1.0	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Adonis Pacheco 2012 · A	21	39	34→45	49→55	48	180/243/239	59	229	1	14	21%	7%	38	-3.2	191/249/275	84	239	4	13	20%	7%	48	-2.5	178/238/276	98	216	4	15	19%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Luis Barrera 2015 · A	19	34→44	38→45	49→50	47	168/236/246	78	214	5	7	24%	7%	37	-3.3	204/248/281	77	285	4	8	28%	5%	48	-2.5	248/293/357	110	319	5	17	23%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Yeison Asencio 2011 · A	21	37→47	38→45	49→45	47	179/244/262	83	217	5	11	20%	7%	44	-2.8	239/271/351	112	275	8	8	16%	4%	73	-0.6	270/292/382	111	295	11	6	13%	2%	86	+0.3
✕Daniel Montano 2019 · A	20	37→47	40→45	47→50	42	182/236/275	92	242	6	9	27%	6%	43	-2.8	187/232/268	81	275	5	10	32%	5%	40	-3.1	213/289/324	112	322	9	6	34%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Michael Beltre 2016 · A	21	40→50	35→45	50→60	39	185/254/245	60	288	3	12	34%	7%	44	-2.8	212/276/297	85	297	4	12	28%	7%	63	-1.3	224/296/341	118	306	9	22	28%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	175/242/244	69	268	3	6	34%	5%	40	-3.1	213/255/306	93	315	7	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Corey Adamson 2013 · A	21	38→48	36→40	41→50	43	181/243/244	62	258	3	8	30%	7%	39	-3.1	224/289/317	93	304	6	16	26%	8%	73	-0.6	232/300/332	100	312	6	19	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Matthew Sulentic 2008 · A	20	39→49	37→45	46→50	42	188/239/253	66	241	4	6	24%	5%	39	-3.1	242/290/344	102	337	8	11	29%	6%	79	-0.2	256/305/351	95	360	7	13	29%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Kyler Burke 2009 · A	21	37→47	37→45	49→45	39	179/242/249	69	287	5	6	37%	7%	40	-3.1	208/273/323	115	287	9	7	29%	8%	69	-0.9	202/270/320	118	275	9	6	28%	8%	65	-1.1
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	38	38→40	47→50	40	185/239/260	76	260	6	5	30%	6%	41	-3.0	185/243/256	71	278	3	6	32%	6%	42	-2.9	144/211/202	57	222	0	6	32%	6%	17	-1.5
✕Brooks Baldwin 2023 · A	22	40→50	36→50	50	39	193/243/256	63	285	4	7	32%	6%	41	-3.0	232/284/364	132	300	15	16	27%	7%	82	-0.0	243/295/390	147	302	18	17	25%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2012 · A	19	36	36→55	49→50	47	171/243/242	71	219	2	9	22%	7%	39	-3.1	185/227/288	103	244	9	8	27%	4%	42	-2.9	193/219/314	122	250	12	8	28%	3%	42	-0.9
●Óscar Mercado 2015 · A	20	37→47	37→50	53→60	42	180/236/248	68	230	5	19	23%	5%	37	-3.3	205/252/275	70	255	4	26	20%	5%	49	-2.4	245/308/380	135	288	13	27	19%	7%	93	+0.7
✕Mickey Hall 2007 · A	22	37→44	38→50	48→45	35	172/235/257	85	315	5	9	44%	7%	39	-3.1	197/273/323	126	306	11	7	36%	9%	69	-0.9	193/278/330	137	280	13	6	34%	10%	71	-0.5
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	34	40→45	47→45	46	171/237/257	86	202	9	12	21%	6%	40	-3.0	218/268/334	116	259	12	8	20%	5%	70	-0.9	255/297/374	119	283	12	8	14%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Jhon Goncalves 2010 · A	21	38→48	37→40	48→50	40	186/244/253	67	273	5	12	32%	6%	41	-3.0	200/271/259	59	302	3	9	32%	8%	53	-2.1	202/274/273	71	279	2	12	26%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Juan Kelly 2015 · A	21	41→48	35→45	52→45	52	191/267/249	58	242	2	7	20%	9%	49	-2.4	214/275/322	108	291	8	6	27%	7%	69	-0.9	215/276/341	126	296	11	3	30%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Derrick Loveless 2013 · A	20	36→46	38→45	53→50	38	169/237/250	81	288	4	6	40%	7%	38	-3.2	196/267/290	94	301	6	7	34%	9%	59	-1.7	192/275/292	101	297	8	8	35%	10%	61	-1.0

Joan Gutierrez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps