Carlos Tavares — OGILVIE

Carlos TavaresOF FCL Nationals

Age 21 L/L 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 127 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .253 / .266

PA127

HR1

K%30

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Nationals	—	151	125	32	4	1	1	20	34	3	3	1	256	372	328	700	72	333	23	13	321	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	115	87	24	13	0	1	23	22	0	0	0	276	427	460	887	184	333	19	20	381	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	180	163	25	6	1	1	16	60	1	1	0	153	233	221	454	67	235	33	9	215	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	132	101	22	8	0	5	29	38	1	2	0	218	397	446	842	228	288	29	22	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	151	130	21	2	1	0	15	40	3	3	1	162	264	192	456	31	223	26	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	95	19	10	0	1	15	32	0	0	0	200	309	337	646	137	251	28	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	180	167	18	4	1	1	12	84	1	1	0	108	172	162	334	54	206	47	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	132	112	16	5	0	4	18	55	1	2	0	143	267	295	562	152	220	42	14	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	151	130	21	2	1	0	15	40	3	3	1	162	264	192	456	31	226	26	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	—	151	125	32	4	1	1	20	34	3	3	1	256	372	328	700	72	333	23	13	321	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	95	19	10	0	1	15	32	0	0	0	200	309	337	646	137	269	28	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	115	87	24	13	0	1	23	22	0	0	0	276	427	460	887	184	333	19	20	381	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	180	167	18	4	1	1	12	84	1	1	0	108	172	162	334	54	207	47	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	180	163	25	6	1	1	16	60	1	1	0	153	233	221	454	67	235	33	9	215	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	132	112	16	5	0	4	18	55	1	2	0	143	267	295	562	152	222	42	14	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	—	132	101	22	8	0	5	29	38	1	2	0	218	397	446	842	228	288	29	22	377	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	—	151	132	21	2	1	0	15	40	3	3	1	159	264	189	453	30	223	26	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	99	19	10	0	1	15	32	0	0	0	192	309	323	632	131	251	28	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	180	165	18	4	1	1	12	84	1	1	0	109	172	164	336	55	206	47	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	132	112	16	5	0	4	18	55	1	2	0	143	267	295	562	152	220	42	14	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	115	99	19	10	0	1	15	32	0	0	0	192	309	323	632	131	251	28	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	180	165	18	4	1	1	12	84	1	1	0	109	172	164	336	55	206	47	7	149	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	132	112	16	5	0	4	18	55	1	2	0	143	267	295	562	152	220	42	14	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	242	219	40	9	1	2	19	71	2	3	1	184	255	269	523	85	257	29	8	240	49	-15	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	WSH	34%	221	199	38	8	1	3	18	64	2	3	1	190	261	285	547	96	260	29	8	250	55	-12	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.8
2028	22	MLB CTX	WSH	34%	76	69	13	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	190	261	284	545	94	259	29	8	249	55	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	76	69	13	3	0	1	6	22	1	1	0	188	263	275	539	87	261	29	8	249	41	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	112	26	0	9	51	188	9	9	0	190	265	280	544	90	262	29	8	249	41	-35	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	926	818	134	34	4	10	88	313	8	11	2	164	252	252	503	88	245	34	10	229	41	-20	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	94	24	3	7	62	220	6	8	1	164	253	253	505	89	245	34	10	229	41	-36	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	203	2	3	187	255	276	-1	+0	-0.7	-0.4
/162	664	7	9	-4.0	+0.0	-2.4	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Tavares (OGILVIE)	21	20	20	40	35	182/253/266	84	257	1	2	30%	8%	49	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Pearson 2019 · A	21	39	39→40	45→50	40	192/245/278	86	270	7	8	31%	6%	47	-2.5	194/249/286	92	266	7	11	28%	7%	51	-2.3	165/232/259	94	229	8	19	30%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	30	37→30	38→45	41	151/215/217	66	210	4	4	29%	6%	23	-4.3	173/273/238	65	252	3	6	29%	10%	51	-2.2	139/281/181	43	201	2	5	28%	14%	41	-1.2
✕David Berres 2008 · A	21	37	34→30	47→45	36	175/233/223	47	285	2	10	37%	6%	30	-3.8	207/278/263	56	287	3	7	26%	8%	57	-1.8	214/294/252	38	291	3	6	25%	10%	57	-1.0
✕Luis Mendez 2024 · A	21	38	38→40	47→50	43	182/254/259	77	275	6	10	34%	8%	47	-2.5	193/255/274	81	270	5	12	28%	7%	50	-2.3	187/247/263	77	253	5	13	27%	7%	43	-1.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A	21	40	40	48→45	40	192/263/283	91	288	8	7	34%	7%	57	-1.8	207/266/297	90	302	8	6	32%	6%	60	-1.6	195/255/278	83	281	9	4	32%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Nelson B Alvarez 2017 · A	21	40	37→40	42→40	52	190/273/265	75	243	4	3	22%	10%	56	-1.9	168/255/225	57	234	3	6	27%	10%	40	-3.0	103/211/125	22	148	2	6	28%	11%	2	-1.4
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	39→36	39→30	49→50	49	187/279/277	90	259	6	12	28%	9%	61	-1.5	182/288/248	66	288	3	14	34%	10%	59	-1.6	160/281/212	51	264	2	16	35%	11%	47	-1.3
✕Alan Sharkey 2015 · A	21	40	38→30	46→45	46	194/258/273	79	252	4	7	24%	7%	51	-2.2	198/260/266	68	257	4	5	23%	7%	50	-2.3	188/251/242	54	239	3	3	21%	7%	39	-1.6
✕David Medina 2010 · A	21	37→42	38→45	42→40	41	179/246/255	76	279	6	4	36%	8%	43	-2.8	212/265/322	110	322	9	4	35%	6%	65	-1.2	201/250/318	117	307	9	2	36%	6%	55	-1.6
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A	20	37	38→40	47→50	44	181/254/261	80	248	5	11	28%	7%	48	-2.5	197/270/285	88	250	7	9	23%	7%	59	-1.6	179/264/261	82	212	9	9	19%	8%	51	-1.2
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	184/249/253	69	256	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	189/255/279	90	281	7	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	188/258/276	89	278	8	2	33%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	185/236/280	95	238	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	206/275/317	111	300	10	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	193/270/308	115	299	12	4	36%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Grabiel Jimenez 2017 · A	22	39	34→30	41→50	44	182/244/234	53	248	1	6	26%	7%	37	-3.3	190/243/254	64	275	2	5	29%	6%	40	-3.0	148/195/191	43	211	0	2	28%	5%	7	-1.2
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	38	38→40	47→50	40	185/239/260	76	260	6	5	30%	6%	41	-3.0	185/243/256	71	278	3	6	32%	6%	42	-2.9	144/211/202	57	222	0	6	32%	6%	17	-1.5
✕Omar Martinez 2022 · A	21	38→37	40→45	40	50	183/281/271	88	263	8	4	31%	10%	61	-1.5	196/279/313	117	276	13	5	32%	9%	70	-0.9	176/253/289	113	268	15	1	38%	8%	53	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps