Carlos TavaresOF FCL Nationals
Age 20 L/L 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION126 act + 84 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .250 / .250
PA84
HR1
K%31
BB%8
BABIP245
ISO79
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +5.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-0.8-0.8-0.7-0.6262830
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Nationals — 151132 25211 13473 31 189277242519 53276 319 238 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROKDSL Nationals — 151125 32411 20343 31 256372328700 72333 2313 321 104 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Nationals — 11595 191001 15320 00 200309337646 137269 2813 286 77 — — — — — —
202418 ROKFCL Nationals — 11587 241301 23220 00 276427460887 184333 1920 381 150 — — — — — —
202519 AFredericksburg Nationals — 180169 15301 10911 10 89144124269 36182 516 132 -41 — — — — — —
202519 AFredericksburg Nationals — 180163 25611 16601 10 153233221454 67235 339 215 23 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD20 ROKWSH — 126107 16604 17521 20 150272318590 168231 4113 257 55 -6 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.3
YTD20 ROKWSH — 12696 21805 28361 20 219400458858 240286 2922 382 151 +7 +0 +0 -1 +4 1.1
ROS20 ROKWSH 0% 8476 13301 7261 10 171250250500 79253 318 241 43 -5 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
ROS20 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 253 —— 235 38 — — +0 -0 — —
FULL20 ROKWSH — 126108 16604 17521 20 148272315587 167226 4113 257 55 -6 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.3
TOT20 ROKWSH — 210183 29905 24782 30 158263290553 131238 3711 251 50 -12 +1 +0 -1 +6 -0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202721 MLBWSH 34% 272244 461114 24822 31 189267291558 102257 309 255 53 -14 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.8
202822 MLBWSH 48% 380341 661527 331113 51 194271311581 117261 299 264 60 -17 +1 +0 -2 +11 -0.8
202923 MLBWSH 54% 449402 801829 401284 61 199278321599 122264 299 270 65 -18 +1 +0 -3 +13 -0.7
203024 MLBWSH 55% 495443 8920210 441405 71 201280323603 122265 289 274 68 -18 +1 +0 -3 +14 -0.6
202721 MLBWSH 34% 9384 15401 8281 10 179258262520 83257 309 248 48 -5 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.3
202822 MLBWSH 48% 184164 31713 16542 21 189269299568 110261 299 258 55 -9 +0 +0 -1 +5 -0.5
202923 MLBWSH 54% 244218 441015 22702 31 202281326607 124264 299 263 60 -11 +0 +0 -1 +7 -0.6
203024 MLBWSH 55% 274245 491116 24783 41 200279327606 127265 289 267 62 -12 +0 +0 -2 +8 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 795712 13932315 702308 103 195275312587 117264 299 261 58 -37 +1 +0 -5 +23 -1.9
/ 162G— — 650582 11326212 571887 82 194274308582 113263 299 261 58 -31 +1 +0 -4 +18 -1.6
Career— — 21261902 35382834 18665719 265 186265291556 105260 319 254 52 -115 +3 +0 -13 +60 -6.5
/ 162G— — 650582 10725210 572016 82 184264285549 101258 319 254 52 -35 +1 +0 -4 +18 -2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202317 ROKDSL Nationals — 151125 32411 20343 31 256372328700 72333 2313 321 104 +1 +0 — — +4 0.5
202418 ROKFCL Nationals — 11587 241301 23220 00 276427460887 184333 1920 381 150 +7 +0 — — +3 1.0
202519 AFredericksburg Nationals — 180163 25611 16601 10 153233221454 67235 339 215 23 -16 +0 — — +5 -1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
39731713196269306-6+0-2.3-1.1
/162664119-4.0+0.0-1.6pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Tavares (OGILVIE) 20 20 20 40 35 158/263/290 131238 53 37% 11% 50 -0.7 ————————— —————————
✕Leandro Pineda
2022 · A 		20 35→39 37→45 43→45 46 171/257/239 68251 47 31% 9% 37 -2.6 189/260/297 108280 95 33% 7% 53 -1.5 202/271/32212026112626%7%62-0.5
✕Oswal Leones
2021 · A 		20 41 36→30 46→50 46 196/259/262 66262 412 25% 7% 43 -2.2 196/259/262 66296 38 32% 7% 43 -2.2 176/243/231552712933%7%25-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz
2016 · A 		20 41 36→40 45→50 44 192/261/262 70277 49 30% 8% 43 -2.2 192/257/257 65308 310 35% 8% 40 -2.4 156/232/1883126901438%9%10-1.5
✕Hector Hernandez
2016 · A 		20 41 35→30 46→45 45 192/262/254 62262 27 26% 7% 43 -2.2 190/260/256 66301 38 35% 8% 42 -2.3 114/195/1493422701045%8%-12-1.3
✕Grabiel Jimenez
2015 · A 		20 41 34→40 43→50 43 191/248/239 48256 211 25% 6% 32 -3.0 195/254/253 58275 16 27% 6% 37 -2.6 183/242/236532610328%6%26-1.1
✕Miguel Arrendell
2008 · A 		20 39 36→30 39→50 49 183/257/243 60229 45 21% 8% 37 -2.6 205/297/270 65270 412 23% 11% 62 -0.9 199/293/2596126741524%11%55-0.6
✕Vicmal De La Cruz
2014 · A 		20 39 38→40 47→50 39 189/242/268 78269 65 31% 6% 37 -2.7 186/245/258 72280 36 32% 6% 36 -2.7 147/214/205582250632%6%7-1.5
✕Branden Becker
2018 · A 		21 41 35→40 40→30 41 196/240/250 53255 24 23% 5% 30 -3.1 233/275/313 80323 64 28% 5% 62 -0.9 248/286/321733447129%4%64-0.5
✕Aaron Shipman
2013 · A 		21 39→35 35→30 44→50 48 182/265/240 58277 29 32% 10% 40 -2.4 219/302/285 66307 216 26% 10% 67 -0.5 235/324/2935831912124%11%73-0.1
✕Deivis Nadal
2022 · A 		20 39 35→40 46→55 38 186/250/240 55271 311 31% 5% 34 -2.8 173/252/259 86311 618 42% 8% 40 -2.4 145/233/2409627882346%9%25-1.4
✕Herman Armas
2006 · A 		19 37 36→45 41→50 44 179/250/243 64257 47 30% 8% 35 -2.8 210/278/316 106287 910 28% 7% 66 -0.6 212/283/329117282111227%7%69-0.2
✕Dahiandy Johnson
2019 · A 		19 38 39→40 43→45 42 187/245/267 80253 64 28% 6% 38 -2.6 201/263/294 93259 86 25% 7% 53 -1.5 189/256/2829323010522%7%45-0.9
✕Cristhian Vasquez
2017 · A 		20 32 38→30 49→50 42 161/225/240 79224 68 30% 7% 23 -3.6 195/251/268 73259 49 25% 6% 40 -2.4 190/244/2485824721122%5%30-1.4
✕Bryan Santos
2019 · A 		20 41 36→30 39→40 44 195/257/265 71267 34 27% 7% 43 -2.2 205/262/277 72269 35 23% 7% 47 -1.9 192/251/255632462421%7%35-1.3
✕Erick Gonzalez
2011 · A 		20 38 34→40 43→50 42 182/243/237 55268 27 31% 7% 29 -3.2 210/295/284 74272 310 22% 10% 64 -0.8 214/322/2877326121416%13%74-0.0
✕Corey Adamson
2013 · A 		21 37→47 36→40 41→50 43 179/241/240 61255 38 30% 7% 29 -3.2 221/289/318 97298 716 26% 8% 69 -0.4 230/299/33410530771926%8%76+0.0
✕Luis Ubiera
2017 · A 		20 38 34→30 45→50 41 178/237/225 46258 19 30% 6% 24 -3.6 198/272/259 61260 29 23% 7% 48 -1.9 182/277/2304822901018%9%41-0.8
✕Emmanuel Daniel
2011 · A 		19 32 36→30 46→45 38 161/215/219 58226 45 30% 5% 13 -4.3 190/245/255 65261 47 28% 4% 35 -2.8 202/270/257552722725%4%48-0.6
✕Yoel Romero
2017 · A 		19 33 34→40 46→50 39 162/214/214 53232 19 30% 5% 11 -4.5 216/276/287 71278 412 22% 7% 56 -1.3 225/285/3047829761025%7%62-0.4
✕Jacob Pearson
2018 · A 		20 40→39 35→40 46→50 40 189/241/247 59274 28 31% 6% 30 -3.1 190/244/271 81270 510 30% 6% 38 -2.6 173/239/278105242101932%7%37-1.0