Carlos TavaresOF
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 20
L/L
6'2" / 190 lbs
A
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.5 · 2033
wRC+†48
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .253 / .287
PA168
HR3
K%35
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
20→20
SPD
40→40
EYE
51↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.4 | $2M | +$1.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.7M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.4M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $5M | $9M | +$4M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 151 | 132 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 47 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .189 | .277 | .242 | .519 | .053 | .276 | 31 | 9 | .237 | 40 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 115 | 95 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .309 | .337 | .646 | .137 | .269 | 28 | 13 | .285 | 76 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 180 | 169 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 88 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .107 | .161 | .160 | .321 | .053 | .212 | 49 | 6 | .140 | -35 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -2.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | WSH | 168 | 153 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 58 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .196 | .259 | .307 | .566 | .111 | .279 | 35 | 7 | .248 | 48 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | WSH | 257 | 232 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 83 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .198 | .271 | .310 | .581 | .112 | .282 | 32 | 8 | .267 | 63 | -11 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | WSH | 369 | 330 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 115 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .209 | .287 | .342 | .629 | .133 | .284 | 31 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -12 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | WSH | 442 | 396 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 133 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .210 | .287 | .343 | .630 | .134 | .284 | 30 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | WSH | 490 | 437 | 93 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 145 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .213 | .294 | .352 | .646 | .140 | .285 | 30 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -10 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 87% | WSH | 517 | 459 | 99 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 48 | 152 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .216 | .297 | .362 | .659 | .146 | .286 | 29 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | WSH | 532 | 470 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 51 | 157 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .217 | .302 | .366 | .668 | .149 | .286 | 30 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | WSH | 536 | 473 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 158 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .216 | .301 | .364 | .665 | .148 | .286 | 29 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -9 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | WSH | 535 | 473 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 159 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .216 | .300 | .364 | .664 | .148 | .286 | 30 | 10 | .297 | 85 | -9 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 527 | 466 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 158 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .212 | .297 | .352 | .649 | .139 | .285 | 30 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +15 | 0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 517 | 456 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 157 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .211 | .297 | .351 | .648 | .140 | .283 | 30 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -11 | +1 | -2 | -3 | +15 | -0.0 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 504 | 445 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 49 | 155 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .207 | .293 | .342 | .634 | .135 | .282 | 31 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -12 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +14 | -0.3 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 486 | 431 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 152 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .202 | .288 | .332 | .620 | .130 | .280 | 31 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -14 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +14 | -0.6 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 457 | 406 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 146 | 4 | 4 | 0 | .200 | .284 | .328 | .612 | .128 | .278 | 32 | 10 | .277 | 70 | -15 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +13 | -0.9 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 411 | 364 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 135 | 4 | 3 | 0 | .195 | .282 | .316 | .598 | .121 | .276 | 33 | 10 | .271 | 66 | -16 | +1 | -5 | -2 | +12 | -1.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7194 | 6387 | 1314 | 252 | 34 | 176 | 672 | 2230 | 70 | 86 | 10 | .206 | .288 | .339 | .627 | .133 | .283 | 31 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -207 | +13 | -20 | -43 | +204 | -5.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 119 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 61 | 201 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .206 | .289 | .340 | .629 | .133 | .283 | 31 | 9 | .283 | 75 | -19 | +1 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL Nationals | 151 | 125 | 32 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 34 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .256 | .372 | .328 | .700 | .072 | .333 | 23 | 13 | .321 | 104 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 115 | 87 | 24 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .276 | .427 | .460 | .887 | .184 | .333 | 19 | 20 | .381 | 150 | +7 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 19 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 180 | 163 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 60 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .153 | .233 | .221 | .454 | .067 | .235 | 33 | 9 | .215 | 23 | -16 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Tavares (OGILVIE) | 20 | 20 | 20 | 40 | 35 | .187/.253/.287 | .100 | .279 | 3 | 2 | 35% | 7% | 48 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40 | 44→55 | 39 | .185/.250/.273 | .088 | .268 | 9 | 9 | 33% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .200/.257/.289 | .089 | .277 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .197/.256/.288 | .091 | .265 | 4 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Quero 2019 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→40 | 44→30 | 45 | .196/.260/.275 | .079 | .253 | 7 | 3 | 25% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .202/.258/.311 | .109 | .257 | 10 | 6 | 25% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .196/.247/.344 | .148 | .225 | 15 | 4 | 21% | 6% | 63 | -0.2 |
|
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A |
20 | 40 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 41 | .194/.250/.274 | .080 | .270 | 5 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .184/.241/.255 | .071 | .277 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 6% | 33 | -2.9 | .147/.214/.205 | .058 | .225 | 0 | 6 | 32% | 6% | 7 | -1.5 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A |
21 | 33 | 41→45 | 41→50 | 41 | .168/.252/.259 | .091 | .262 | 9 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .197/.275/.307 | .110 | .307 | 11 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.9 | .204/.303/.338 | .134 | .292 | 14 | 2 | 32% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Felix G. Santana 2014 · A |
19 | 37 | 36→40 | 41→50 | 37 | .178/.237/.244 | .066 | .266 | 4 | 6 | 33% | 5% | 29 | -3.2 | .218/.275/.298 | .080 | .292 | 5 | 9 | 26% | 5% | 59 | -1.1 | .244/.300/.327 | .083 | .318 | 5 | 10 | 23% | 4% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Herman Armas 2007 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 47→50 | 41 | .197/.264/.291 | .093 | .287 | 7 | 11 | 32% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.285/.327 | .110 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .218/.293/.335 | .117 | .266 | 14 | 9 | 23% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A |
19 | 41→38 | 37→40 | 49→55 | 43 | .188/.266/.261 | .074 | .308 | 4 | 9 | 37% | 9% | 46 | -2.0 | .191/.277/.276 | .085 | .308 | 5 | 14 | 36% | 10% | 55 | -1.4 | .187/.286/.266 | .080 | .296 | 4 | 18 | 34% | 11% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A |
20 | 35 | 41→45 | 46→45 | 33 | .178/.217/.275 | .097 | .270 | 9 | 7 | 37% | 4% | 28 | -3.2 | .201/.248/.290 | .089 | .327 | 6 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .199/.244/.294 | .095 | .314 | 6 | 3 | 36% | 5% | 40 | -0.8 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
✕Cesar Quintas 2023 · A |
20 | 42→36 | 37→45 | 42→50 | 37 | .196/.267/.265 | .069 | .300 | 4 | 5 | 34% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.290/.303 | .096 | .304 | 8 | 5 | 32% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .200/.289/.313 | .113 | .283 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A |
20 | 35→38 | 36→45 | 43→45 | 46 | .169/.251/.233 | .063 | .244 | 4 | 7 | 30% | 8% | 33 | -2.9 | .185/.255/.290 | .105 | .274 | 8 | 6 | 33% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .196/.262/.319 | .124 | .258 | 14 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A |
20 | 42 | 36→40 | 45→50 | 46 | .195/.268/.263 | .067 | .280 | 3 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .189/.255/.254 | .065 | .302 | 3 | 10 | 35% | 8% | 38 | -2.6 | .156/.232/.188 | .031 | .269 | 0 | 14 | 38% | 9% | 10 | -1.5 |
|
✕Henry Pena 2010 · A |
19 | 40 | 39→45 | 45 | 44 | .188/.265/.277 | .089 | .300 | 5 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.275/.305 | .102 | .345 | 7 | 6 | 39% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .205/.278/.341 | .136 | .309 | 13 | 8 | 35% | 8% | 67 | -0.1 |
|
✕Gilbert Marrero 2016 · A |
19 | 38 | 39→45 | 44→40 | 42 | .184/.251/.266 | .082 | .281 | 6 | 4 | 35% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .181/.236/.250 | .069 | .325 | 4 | 5 | 42% | 6% | 29 | -3.2 | .129/.166/.166 | .037 | .267 | 0 | 3 | 49% | 4% | -26 | -1.2 |
|
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 46→55 | 39 | .209/.263/.293 | .084 | .303 | 7 | 12 | 32% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .221/.282/.295 | .074 | .295 | 3 | 15 | 24% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .240/.304/.313 | .072 | .307 | 1 | 23 | 20% | 6% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Nathan Mikolas 2015 · A |
21 | 39 | 40 | 47→45 | 40 | .188/.261/.276 | .088 | .288 | 8 | 7 | 35% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .207/.267/.300 | .093 | .301 | 8 | 6 | 32% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .196/.256/.282 | .085 | .282 | 9 | 4 | 32% | 6% | 44 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A |
20 | 40→36 | 40→30 | 49→50 | 49 | .191/.281/.282 | .091 | .264 | 6 | 11 | 28% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .179/.294/.247 | .068 | .289 | 3 | 14 | 35% | 11% | 57 | -1.2 | .155/.287/.208 | .053 | .265 | 2 | 16 | 36% | 11% | 43 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jose Roman 2011 · A |
20 | 45 | 40 | 46→45 | 45 | .215/.275/.308 | .093 | .293 | 6 | 5 | 28% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .231/.290/.327 | .096 | .288 | 7 | 6 | 21% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .249/.309/.344 | .095 | .292 | 8 | 6 | 17% | 8% | 81 | +0.2 |