Carter Dierdorf

1B Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 23 L/L A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	A+NYM	17	.000/.353/.000	0	0	-15	—	.000/.235/.000
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBNYM	127	.173/.282/.247	1	1	56	-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBNYM	34	.172/.280/.249	0	0	59	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDanny Payne (age 23) · Trey Paige (age 23) · Ryan Aguilar (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.171 / .280 / .245

PA38

HR0

K%38

BB%13

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	17	11	0	0	0	0	6	7	0	0	0		353		353			41	35	246	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	17	13	0	0	0	0	4	9	0	0	0		235		235			53	24	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	17	13	0	0	0	0	4	9	0	0	0		235		235			53	24	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	17	11	0	0	0	0	6	7	0	0	0		353		353			41	35	246	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	17	13	0	0	0	0	4	9	0	0	0		235		235			53	24	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	17	13	0	0	0	0	4	9	0	0	0		235		235			53	24	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	127	109	20	4	1	1	16	48	1	1	1	173	282	247	529	74	289	38	13	251	56	-7	-0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYM	30%	111	95	17	3	1	1	14	41	1	1	1	177	285	257	542	80	290	37	13	255	59	-5	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYM	30%	34	30	5	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	172	280	249	530	77	281	35	12	251	59	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	34	30	5	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	167	265	200	465	33	278	35	12	251	51	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	95	19	0	0	76	229	0	0	0	166	263	199	462	33	275	35	12	251	51	-32	+0	+0	-12	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	166	141	22	4	1	1	23	64	1	1	1	156	279	220	499	64	273	39	14	243	51	-7	-0	+0	-3	+3	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	552	87	16	4	4	90	251	4	4	4	158	280	223	503	65	276	39	14	243	51	-32	-1	+0	-12	+14	-3.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Dierdorf (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	171/280/245	74	289	0	0	38%	13%	56	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danny Payne 2009 · A	23	41	37→45	45→50	50	192/285/265	73	297	5	7	34%	11%	61	-1.5	193/282/301	108	293	9	16	34%	11%	68	-1.0	182/274/297	116	276	9	18	35%	11%	63	-1.1
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Ryan Aguilar 2018 · A	23	39→40	36→45	50	44	188/253/251	63	273	3	8	31%	8%	45	-2.7	183/253/273	90	296	8	7	38%	8%	50	-2.3	181/274/286	106	291	12	12	39%	10%	59	-1.1
✕Ross Adolph 2021 · A	24	41→33	40→45	46→50	40	185/271/279	95	324	7	9	41%	8%	59	-1.6	206/298/326	120	344	12	10	40%	9%	80	-0.1	195/302/317	122	330	12	11	39%	10%	77	-0.2
✕Brenden Webb 2012 · A	22	40	38→45	47→50	43	184/264/259	76	312	5	9	39%	9%	51	-2.2	183/265/296	113	308	11	10	40%	9%	61	-1.5	168/249/289	121	278	12	10	41%	9%	51	-1.6
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Tyler Esplin 2022 · A	23	38→41	37→40	49→45	41	183/247/255	72	284	4	6	35%	7%	43	-2.8	200/256/284	84	308	4	6	34%	7%	53	-2.1	197/255/277	80	316	0	0	35%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Paul Kronenfeld 2015 · A	23	41	39→45	48→30	42	196/262/282	86	293	6	6	33%	8%	55	-1.9	203/257/301	98	293	7	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	192/242/298	107	269	8	1	30%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1
✕Will Bartlett 2023 · A	22	38	40	48→40	46	178/275/275	98	296	7	5	38%	11%	60	-1.6	178/276/266	88	300	7	6	38%	11%	58	-1.7	126/247/186	60	217	6	4	40%	13%	30	-1.9
✕PK Morris 2021 · A	22	43→41	40→45	48→40	41	201/267/292	91	314	7	6	36%	8%	59	-1.6	193/285/309	116	313	11	4	38%	11%	71	-0.8	174/269/291	117	278	12	3	38%	11%	60	-0.8
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	36→29	41→45	46→40	42	178/256/281	103	266	8	5	34%	8%	54	-2.0	190/254/301	111	273	12	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	167/234/273	106	234	13	3	33%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Garrett Spain 2024 · A	23	37→35	43→45	46→50	40	187/252/299	113	282	10	9	36%	7%	56	-1.9	173/235/288	115	249	13	12	34%	7%	47	-2.5	162/228/283	121	225	15	14	34%	7%	41	-2.3
✕Garrison Schwartz 2019 · A	23	42→40	40	44→45	41	199/268/291	92	306	7	7	35%	8%	60	-1.6	178/250/251	73	312	5	7	41%	7%	44	-2.8	115/199/158	43	225	4	6	47%	8%	4	-1.6
✕Chad McClanahan 2021 · A	23	37→30	38→40	45	42	179/253/253	74	277	6	7	35%	8%	46	-2.6	178/250/271	93	355	9	6	48%	8%	49	-2.4	126/207/206	81	274	9	1	53%	9%	17	-2.3
✕Brady Allen 2023 · A	23	41→40	40→45	50→45	42	196/267/280	84	306	8	6	36%	8%	57	-1.8	199/265/325	126	298	13	6	35%	7%	67	-1.1	192/259/330	138	282	15	5	36%	7%	64	-1.0
✕Branden Boissiere 2023 · A	23	44	38→45	50→40	46	203/286/280	77	320	5	4	35%	10%	64	-1.3	197/262/290	93	285	8	3	32%	7%	57	-1.8	206/260/330	124	298	12	2	34%	6%	63	-0.8
✕Ian Bladergroen 2006 · A	23	44→39	40→45	45→30	39	207/276/294	87	313	8	4	34%	6%	63	-1.3	203/277/314	111	296	10	4	33%	6%	69	-0.9	191/256/322	131	251	13	1	28%	6%	62	-1.0
✕Kyle Nowlin 2017 · A	23	43→39	38→40	49→30	47	198/279/282	84	305	5	4	34%	10%	62	-1.4	200/273/298	98	313	8	4	35%	9%	63	-1.3	187/263/286	99	288	9	1	36%	9%	53	-1.7
✕Greyson Jenista 2021 · AA	24	42→36	42→45	40→45	41	201/262/300	100	303	9	5	35%	8%	59	-1.6	188/252/339	151	301	20	7	42%	7%	65	-1.2	167/233/324	156	258	23	6	43%	7%	53	-1.2