Juan Hernandez

SS West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ADET	20	.312/.450/.312	0	0	89	—	.235/.350/.235
2025	19	ROKDET	159	.265/.359/.301	0	9	41	—	.204/.276/.232
2026	20	A+DET	296	.213/.275/.279	3	1	26	—	.180/.227/.227
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBDET	1	.187/.239/.252	0	0	40	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	22	MLBDET	119	.193/.247/.273	1	2	49	-0.4
2029PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBDET	205	.199/.254/.289	3	3	55	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%32

Speed32

Z-Con%15

BB%13

wRC+11

K%11

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRicardo Cespedes (age 21) · Garrison Lassiter (age 21) · Bryant Aragon (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .239 / .252

PA1

HR0

K%32

BB%5

BABIP274

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	144	42	9	0	1	24	29	5	6	5	292	410	375	785	83	360	17	14	364	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	176	153	37	5	1	3	17	41	6	3	1	242	341	346	687	105	312	23	10	318	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	20	16	5	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	312	450	312	762		417	20	15	368	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	159	136	36	5	0	0	15	35	5	9	3	265	359	301	660	37	346	22	9	306	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	296	272	58	7	1	3	21	99	2	1	1	213	275	279	554	66	322	33	7	255	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	151	28	5	0	0	17	36	5	6	5	185	289	219	508	33	248	21	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	176	160	27	3	1	2	10	59	6	3	1	169	244	237	482	69	256	34	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	20	17	4	0	0	0	2	5	1	0	0	235	350	235	585		381	25	10	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	159	142	29	4	0	0	9	50	5	9	3	204	276	232	508	28	292	31	6	229	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	296	278	50	5	1	2	15	126	2	1	1	180	227	227	454	47	315	43	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	151	28	5	0	0	17	36	5	6	5	185	289	219	508	33	243	21	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	144	42	9	0	1	24	29	5	6	5	292	410	375	785	83	360	17	14	364	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	176	160	27	3	1	2	10	59	6	3	1	169	244	237	482	69	253	34	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	176	153	37	5	1	3	17	41	6	3	1	242	341	346	687	105	312	23	10	318	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	179	158	34	4	0	0	12	56	6	9	3	215	295	241	536	25	324	31	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	179	152	41	5	0	0	18	39	6	9	3	270	369	303	672	33	353	22	10	313	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	296	278	50	5	1	2	15	126	2	1	1	180	227	227	454	47	318	43	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	296	272	58	7	1	3	21	99	2	1	1	213	275	279	554	66	322	33	7	255	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 2	—	173	149	28	5	0	0	17	36	5	6	5	188	289	221	510	34	248	21	10	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	176	158	27	3	1	2	10	59	6	3	1	171	244	241	485	70	256	34	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	179	159	34	4	0	0	12	56	6	9	3	214	295	239	534	25	302	31	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	296	277	50	5	1	2	15	126	2	1	1	181	227	227	455	47	315	43	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	176	158	27	3	1	2	10	59	6	3	1	171	244	241	485	70	256	34	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	179	159	34	4	0	0	12	56	6	9	3	214	295	239	534	25	302	31	7	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	296	277	50	5	1	2	15	126	2	1	1	181	227	227	455	47	315	43	5	207	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	DET	0%	406	377	72	13	2	3	22	130	4	6	2	190	241	257	498	67	278	32	5	228	40	-29	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	187	239	252	491	65	274	0	0	224	40	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	DET	35%	344	319	63	12	1	4	19	107	3	5	1	197	250	278	528	82	280	31	6	240	49	-21	+1	+0	+4	+7	-1.0
2029	23	MLB MLE	DET	49%	422	390	78	14	2	6	25	129	4	6	2	202	257	296	552	93	281	31	6	250	55	-22	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	DET	53%	474	437	90	16	2	8	29	142	5	7	2	206	262	308	570	101	283	30	6	257	60	-22	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	DET	55%	501	460	97	18	2	9	31	148	5	7	2	209	266	316	582	107	284	30	6	262	64	-22	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.5
2032	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	517	474	100	18	2	10	33	151	5	7	2	211	269	321	590	110	284	29	6	266	66	-21	+1	+0	+6	+11	-0.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	522	479	100	18	2	10	33	153	5	7	2	210	268	319	587	109	283	29	6	264	65	-22	+1	+0	+6	+11	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	DET	35%	119	110	21	4	0	1	7	37	1	2	1	193	247	273	519	79	276	31	6	236	49	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	DET	49%	205	189	38	7	1	3	12	63	2	3	1	199	254	289	543	90	277	31	6	246	55	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	DET	53%	250	231	46	8	1	4	15	75	2	4	1	203	259	301	560	98	278	30	6	253	60	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	DET	55%	274	252	52	9	1	5	17	81	3	4	1	206	263	309	572	103	279	30	6	258	64	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2032	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	288	265	54	10	1	5	18	84	3	4	1	207	266	314	580	107	279	29	6	261	66	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2033	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	287	264	54	10	1	5	18	84	3	4	1	206	265	312	576	105	279	29	6	260	65	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1423	1311	265	48	5	23	87	424	14	21	6	202	259	299	558	97	278	30	6	255	54	-65	+2	+0	+15	+31	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	121	22	2	11	40	194	6	10	3	202	259	301	559	98	277	30	6	255	54	-30	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	3892	3574	718	123	14	53	239	1199	49	62	22	201	260	288	548	87	284	31	6	249	54	-151	+4	+0	+33	+66	-4.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	120	21	2	9	40	200	8	10	4	201	260	288	549	87	284	31	6	249	54	-32	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.1	1,424	24	21	208	262	311	+15	+9	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+4.2	-0.4	pk7: 0
#4Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Hernandez (OGILVIE)	21	40	20	55	35	188/240/255	66	278	2	4	32%	5%	40	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Cespedes 2019 · A	21	44	37→30	51→45	37	212/248/282	70	288	4	10	28%	4%	49	-2.4	198/242/282	84	302	6	11	34%	5%	47	-2.6	151/186/215	64	240	3	14	37%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Garrison Lassiter 2011 · A	21	42	36→30	48→40	38	194/253/256	62	310	4	6	37%	6%	45	-2.7	207/258/276	69	347	4	7	39%	6%	51	-2.2	233/286/286	53	372	2	3	35%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Bryant Aragon 2019 · A	21	44	40→30	50→40	40	210/264/305	95	300	8	6	31%	6%	61	-1.5	227/279/301	74	353	4	5	34%	6%	65	-1.2	239/288/295	56	374	4	2	35%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Alejandro Juvier 2017 · A	21	41→43	35→30	52→45	35	193/233/250	57	296	2	8	34%	4%	35	-3.4	202/244/264	62	313	4	5	35%	4%	43	-2.8	195/237/245	50	302	4	3	35%	4%	33	-2.0
✕Jeremias Pineda 2012 · A	21	39→49	36→30	50→65	37	178/247/246	68	307	4	10	40%	7%	41	-3.0	212/260/274	62	322	3	19	33%	5%	51	-2.2	236/294/282	46	358	1	40	32%	7%	62	-0.9
✕Shane Opitz 2013 · A	21	41	38→40	48→50	40	199/241/281	81	267	4	5	26%	5%	46	-2.6	238/277/316	78	303	4	9	22%	5%	67	-1.1	254/288/325	71	310	3	9	18%	5%	69	-0.4
✕Shane Mardirosian 2017 · A	21	41→40	36→40	46→45	39	198/244/266	69	266	3	9	26%	4%	44	-2.8	203/257/283	80	293	6	8	31%	6%	53	-2.1	198/267/282	84	301	7	7	34%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Connor Oliver 2015 · A	21	44→45	37→40	48→50	40	207/260/285	78	290	4	10	29%	6%	55	-2.0	189/244/266	77	280	4	11	32%	6%	44	-2.8	147/205/208	61	220	2	11	32%	7%	13	-2.4
✕Charles Mack 2021 · A	21	44	37→45	49→40	42	207/268/285	77	297	4	7	30%	7%	57	-1.8	183/261/286	103	304	10	4	39%	9%	57	-1.8	154/240/258	104	248	11	1	40%	10%	40	-1.3
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	41→45	35→40	53→55	44	191/255/252	61	281	3	10	31%	8%	45	-2.7	220/280/300	80	293	8	18	26%	7%	65	-1.2	220/282/295	75	288	8	21	25%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Rashad Crawford 2015 · A	21	41→45	35→40	54→55	40	190/251/253	64	295	2	12	34%	7%	44	-2.8	211/257/293	82	303	5	16	30%	5%	55	-2.0	199/253/282	83	279	5	17	29%	6%	48	-1.7
✕Reivaj Garcia 2023 · AA	21	41→51	39→30	50	37	199/242/279	80	296	7	8	34%	5%	47	-2.6	241/280/310	69	309	3	11	22%	5%	67	-1.1	247/284/306	58	311	2	12	20%	5%	66	-0.8
✕Travis Adair 2009 · A	21	46→50	34→40	50→45	41	216/263/270	54	302	2	10	28%	6%	51	-2.2	232/273/296	64	294	3	9	21%	5%	61	-1.5	249/285/317	68	302	4	7	18%	4%	67	-0.5
✕Kenneth Betancourt 2021 · A	21	41→51	35→30	50	39	196/239/263	66	272	2	9	28%	5%	40	-3.0	219/261/284	65	297	3	8	26%	5%	54	-2.0	239/279/298	59	308	3	9	23%	5%	61	-0.7
✕Trace Loehr 2016 · A	21	43→49	35→40	50	42	205/256/265	61	280	2	8	27%	6%	48	-2.5	212/244/290	78	286	3	10	25%	4%	49	-2.4	222/264/295	73	300	4	9	26%	5%	55	-1.2
✕Rashad Brown 2015 · A	21	48	35→30	50→55	40	221/278/279	58	304	2	9	27%	5%	60	-1.6	230/275/286	56	307	1	14	24%	5%	59	-1.6	235/277/282	47	314	0	17	24%	5%	56	-1.0
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A	21	40	37→45	55→45	39	195/234/270	75	262	4	7	27%	5%	40	-3.0	244/269/336	92	305	5	7	21%	3%	69	-0.9	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕T.J. Schofield-Sam 2021 · A	20	43→48	36→40	50→40	43	202/264/271	69	295	4	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	214/268/311	97	296	7	5	29%	5%	64	-1.3	218/267/306	88	286	6	4	25%	3%	61	-1.2
✕Sean McCraw 2006 · A	20	42	37→30	48→30	39	199/263/265	66	299	5	5	33%	6%	52	-2.2	213/291/299	86	302	8	4	29%	9%	70	-0.8	208/295/283	75	292	7	3	28%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Jean Walters 2023 · A	21	40	34→40	48→45	38	192/235/244	52	279	2	8	31%	5%	35	-3.4	210/250/284	74	285	4	6	26%	5%	50	-2.3	214/261/301	87	283	6	5	26%	6%	55	-1.0

Juan Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps