Kevin Hacen — OGILVIE

Kevin Hacen3B ACL Padres

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†44

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .247 / .254

PA76

HR1

K%30

BB%7

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	205	164	29	5	0	3	28	50	12	7	5	177	338	262	600	85	232	24	14	293	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	149	122	23	5	1	1	18	42	6	5	1	189	322	270	592	82	268	28	12	279	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Padres	—	160	137	26	5	1	0	15	37	5	3	0	190	293	241	534	51	252	23	9	252	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	205	171	19	3	0	1	21	60	12	7	5	111	255	146	401	35	157	29	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	149	128	16	3	1	1	12	54	6	5	1	125	233	188	420	62	176	36	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	160	143	20	3	1	0	9	52	5	3	0	140	217	175	391	35	200	32	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	205	171	19	3	0	1	21	60	12	7	5	111	255	146	401	35	162	29	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	205	164	29	5	0	3	28	50	12	7	5	177	338	262	600	85	232	24	14	293	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	149	128	16	3	1	1	12	54	6	5	1	125	233	188	420	62	197	36	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	149	122	23	5	1	1	18	42	6	5	1	189	322	270	592	82	268	28	12	279	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	160	143	20	3	1	0	9	52	5	3	0	140	217	175	391	35	213	32	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	160	137	26	5	1	0	15	37	5	3	0	190	293	241	534	51	252	23	9	252	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	205	170	19	3	0	1	21	60	12	7	5	112	255	147	402	35	157	29	10	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	149	130	16	3	1	1	12	54	6	5	1	123	233	185	417	62	176	36	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	160	145	20	3	1	0	9	52	5	3	0	138	217	172	389	34	200	32	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	149	130	16	3	1	1	12	54	6	5	1	123	233	185	417	62	176	36	8	182	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	160	145	20	3	1	0	9	52	5	3	0	138	217	172	389	34	200	32	6	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SD	0%	270	246	46	8	2	2	18	80	4	4	1	184	249	256	505	72	260	30	7	233	44	-18	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	SD	34%	119	108	21	4	1	1	8	35	2	2	0	189	256	271	527	82	262	29	7	242	50	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.4
2028	22	MLB CTX	SD	34%	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	186	253	266	519	80	257	29	7	238	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	6	1	0	0	3	12	1	1	0	162	244	189	433	27	240	29	7	238	22	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	95	16	0	0	48	190	16	16	0	162	245	189	434	27	239	29	7	238	22	-39	+3	+0	+2	+14	-2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	709	620	89	15	4	4	55	223	26	18	6	144	243	200	443	56	212	31	8	201	22	-12	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	83	14	4	4	50	204	24	17	6	146	244	206	450	60	215	31	8	201	22	-41	+2	+0	+2	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Hacen (OGILVIE)	21	25	20	40	35	182/247/254	71	260	1	1	30%	7%	44	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Rodriguez 2017 · A	21	30	37→30	38→45	41	151/215/217	66	210	4	4	29%	6%	23	-4.3	173/273/238	65	252	3	6	29%	10%	51	-2.2	139/281/181	43	201	2	5	28%	14%	41	-1.2
✕Daniel Berg 2006 · A	21	38	37→40	44→40	40	184/249/253	69	256	5	9	29%	6%	45	-2.7	189/255/279	90	281	7	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	188/258/276	89	278	8	2	33%	7%	51	-1.2
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Luis Palacios 2010 · A	21	38	39→30	46→50	37	187/233/269	82	257	6	5	29%	4%	40	-3.0	193/240/271	78	304	5	7	36%	5%	43	-2.8	142/192/178	36	239	0	6	38%	6%	1	-1.0
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	33	35→40	45→40	50	160/258/217	57	223	3	5	27%	10%	41	-3.0	176/256/247	71	278	4	4	35%	8%	46	-2.6	168/246/241	74	269	4	2	36%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2008 · A	21	37	35→40	43→45	40	178/228/237	59	229	3	4	23%	4%	32	-3.7	198/262/275	77	253	4	6	22%	6%	53	-2.1	186/261/268	81	233	3	5	20%	6%	50	-1.1
✕Ariel Baez 2012 · A	21	36	38→40	43→45	46	176/252/255	79	230	5	5	25%	7%	47	-2.6	186/247/259	73	254	4	6	27%	6%	44	-2.8	148/209/202	54	199	2	6	25%	6%	15	-1.5
✕Carlos Torres 2015 · A	22	36	37→30	44→50	40	179/226/242	63	240	5	7	27%	5%	32	-3.7	196/234/267	71	268	4	6	27%	4%	40	-3.0	194/228/257	62	261	4	4	26%	4%	32	-1.0
✕Juan Montes 2016 · A	21	37	37→30	43→55	45	178/258/252	73	234	5	5	25%	7%	48	-2.5	178/261/238	60	224	4	16	21%	6%	47	-2.6	161/251/205	44	203	3	21	21%	6%	34	-1.0
✕Luis Rubio 2023 · A	21	40	35→30	46→45	39	185/246/242	57	294	2	7	36%	7%	40	-3.1	189/260/250	61	285	3	8	32%	8%	47	-2.5	129/223/151	21	199	0	8	31%	10%	11	-1.2
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	43	37→30	43→45	41	206/253/279	74	271	4	5	25%	5%	51	-2.3	193/250/276	83	271	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	183/252/261	78	263	7	10	31%	7%	45	-0.6
✕Francisco Garcia 2023 · A	20	34	37→40	43→50	35	169/231/239	70	269	5	6	37%	5%	34	-3.5	176/235/259	83	289	7	5	39%	5%	40	-3.1	143/196/212	69	231	6	4	39%	4%	15	-1.4
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	37	36→30	40→45	40	180/234/240	60	249	3	5	28%	6%	34	-3.5	194/250/246	52	252	2	5	22%	6%	42	-2.9	190/250/229	39	240	1	3	20%	6%	36	-1.1
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Joey Paciorek 2010 · A	21	38	37→30	47→50	43	185/253/256	71	263	5	9	30%	7%	46	-2.6	196/256/270	74	291	4	7	32%	6%	50	-2.3	199/252/284	84	281	6	2	30%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Orlando Sandoval 2007 · A	21	37	38→40	46→50	36	181/230/261	81	267	5	9	33%	5%	38	-3.2	199/233/277	78	317	5	8	37%	3%	42	-2.9	209/253/309	99	321	7	9	35%	3%	54	-1.0
✕Arxy Hernandez 2024 · A	21	40	34→40	43→40	43	190/258/241	51	277	2	9	30%	7%	45	-2.7	189/246/268	79	286	6	5	34%	6%	46	-2.6	180/234/262	82	268	8	3	34%	5%	38	-2.2
✕Diego Gonzalez 2024 · A	21	43	37→40	41→40	43	203/259/272	68	273	4	6	26%	6%	51	-2.2	192/262/262	70	275	6	4	30%	8%	51	-2.3	164/244/217	52	234	5	2	30%	8%	33	-1.2