Arxy Hernandez — OGILVIE

Arxy Hernandez1B Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .236 / .275

PA1

HR0

K%32

BB%5

BABIP260

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	84	70	14	1	1	1	10	25	3	4	2	200	325	286	611	86	289	30	12	287	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	183	159	44	7	1	1	18	34	5	4	2	277	368	352	720	75	344	19	10	331	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	132	115	28	4	0	0	15	32	2	6	6	243	341	278	619	35	337	24	11	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	457	403	96	19	7	4	37	115	10	4	0	238	318	350	668	112	316	25	8	300	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	309	288	59	7	3	4	14	84	6	3	0	205	256	292	548	87	274	27	5	249	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	151	125	28	3	1	2	23	33	3	5	2	224	358	312	670	88	289	22	15	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	212	190	47	9	0	7	17	54	3	0	0	247	319	405	724	158	308	25	8	322	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	123	114	27	5	0	2	6	29	1	0	0	237	281	333	614	96	294	24	5	273	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	84	73	9	1	1	0	7	31	3	4	2	123	229	164	393	41	186	37	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	183	165	29	4	1	0	12	42	5	4	2	176	253	212	465	36	227	23	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	132	120	22	3	0	0	10	46	2	6	6	183	258	208	466	25	288	35	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	457	413	80	14	5	4	27	158	10	4	0	194	260	281	541	87	284	35	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	309	293	47	5	2	3	9	115	6	3	0	160	201	222	423	61	246	37	3	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	151	133	25	2	1	2	15	45	3	5	2	188	285	263	548	75	263	30	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	212	197	36	6	0	6	10	71	3	0	0	183	233	305	538	122	246	33	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	123	116	22	4	0	1	4	39	1	0	0	190	223	250	473	60	261	32	3	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	84	73	9	1	1	0	7	31	3	4	2	123	229	164	393	41	209	37	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	84	70	14	1	1	1	10	25	3	4	2	200	325	286	611	86	289	30	12	287	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	183	165	29	4	1	0	12	42	5	4	2	176	253	212	465	36	234	23	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	183	159	44	7	1	1	18	34	5	4	2	277	368	352	720	75	344	19	10	331	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	132	120	22	3	0	0	10	46	2	6	6	183	258	208	466	25	297	35	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	132	115	28	4	0	0	15	32	2	6	6	243	341	278	619	35	337	24	11	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	457	413	80	14	5	4	27	158	10	4	0	194	260	281	541	87	295	35	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	457	403	96	19	7	4	37	115	10	4	0	238	318	350	668	112	316	25	8	300	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	460	426	71	7	3	5	24	160	9	8	2	167	227	232	459	66	252	35	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	460	413	87	10	4	6	37	117	9	8	2	211	290	298	588	87	278	25	8	271	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	335	313	58	10	0	7	14	110	4	0	0	185	230	284	514	99	256	33	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	335	304	74	14	0	9	23	83	4	0	0	243	305	378	683	135	302	25	7	304	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	84	74	9	1	1	0	7	31	3	4	2	122	229	162	391	41	186	37	8	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	183	164	29	4	1	0	12	42	5	4	2	177	253	213	466	37	227	23	7	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	132	119	22	3	0	0	10	46	2	6	6	185	258	210	468	25	288	35	8	210	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	457	417	80	14	5	4	27	158	10	4	0	192	260	278	538	86	284	35	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	460	424	71	7	3	5	24	160	9	8	2	167	227	233	460	66	252	35	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	335	314	58	10	0	7	14	110	4	0	0	185	230	283	513	99	252	33	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	457	417	80	14	5	4	27	158	10	4	0	192	260	278	538	86	284	35	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	460	424	71	7	3	5	24	160	9	8	2	167	227	233	460	66	252	35	5	209	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	335	314	58	10	0	7	14	110	4	0	0	185	230	283	513	99	252	33	4	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	380	353	66	11	2	6	19	121	5	3	1	185	236	273	509	88	260	32	5	231	42	-26	+0	+0	-7	+8	-1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CWS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	185	236	275	511	89	260	0	0	232	42	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	30%	316	293	55	9	1	5	16	99	4	3	1	189	242	285	527	96	262	31	5	238	47	-20	+0	+0	-6	+7	-1.9
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	30%	96	90	17	3	0	2	5	30	1	1	0	190	242	287	529	97	262	31	5	239	47	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	96	90	17	3	0	2	5	30	1	1	0	189	240	289	528	100	259	31	5	239	38	-6	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	609	115	20	0	14	34	203	7	7	0	189	240	291	531	102	258	31	5	239	38	-41	+1	+0	-12	+14	-3.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2253	2069	373	56	12	25	124	737	41	31	14	180	241	255	496	75	263	33	6	224	38	-39	+0	+0	-11	+13	-3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	107	16	3	7	36	213	12	9	4	179	241	251	492	72	262	33	6	224	38	-43	+0	+0	-12	+14	-4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arxy Hernandez (OGILVIE)	24	30	30	45	20	183/234/271	88	260	4	2	32%	5%	42	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jalen Battles 2024 · AA	24	37	39→30	41→45	35	184/232/259	75	281	8	9	36%	5%	38	-3.2	193/244/263	70	288	5	10	33%	5%	43	-2.8	182/232/235	54	269	2	10	32%	5%	30	-1.3
✕Chris Okey 2019 · AA	24	34	40→45	48→40	36	175/227/261	86	258	9	5	35%	5%	37	-3.3	194/249/303	109	286	12	4	34%	6%	55	-1.9	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Max Burt 2021 · AA	24	39→35	40→45	44→55	34	194/240/276	82	279	8	6	33%	4%	45	-2.7	201/252/312	111	285	12	16	32%	5%	59	-1.7	191/247/304	113	267	13	21	32%	6%	52	-1.2
✕Jayson Hernandez 2013 · AA	24	39	39→30	49→30	37	192/235/277	84	281	6	8	33%	5%	43	-2.8	212/258/285	73	281	5	5	25%	4%	53	-2.1	222/266/253	31	284	2	0	21%	3%	46	-1.0
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	38	41→40	44→45	37	189/252/280	92	280	9	5	34%	5%	52	-2.2	205/257/297	92	299	7	7	32%	5%	56	-1.9	209/257/292	83	303	6	6	32%	5%	51	-0.8
✕Johnny Adams 2019 · A	24	36→32	41→40	46→45	37	182/232/275	93	270	9	6	35%	6%	42	-2.9	179/230/268	89	276	9	7	37%	6%	40	-3.1	146/198/219	73	225	9	5	38%	5%	14	-3.6
✕Alberti Chavez 2019 · AA	24	38	36→30	39→50	34	186/228/241	55	281	4	5	34%	4%	32	-3.7	206/257/276	70	290	5	6	29%	5%	51	-2.2	200/251/246	46	278	3	3	27%	5%	41	-1.0
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Chris Baker 2019 · A	24	37→30	41→40	50→45	33	185/229/281	96	285	9	6	38%	4%	42	-2.9	195/249/283	88	308	8	8	37%	6%	51	-2.3	141/204/184	43	231	6	4	39%	7%	11	-1.0
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Kenny Diekroeger 2015 · A	24	37	39→40	46→45	35	186/225/261	75	269	8	8	33%	4%	36	-3.4	217/265/297	80	286	6	10	25%	5%	59	-1.7	227/275/287	59	290	4	11	22%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Michael Rockett 2011 · A	24	38→35	41→40	42→45	34	193/223/292	100	256	8	6	28%	3%	42	-2.9	206/228/296	90	297	6	6	32%	3%	44	-2.8	206/222/290	83	303	5	5	33%	2%	37	-1.6
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	37→30	43→45	38	202/247/268	67	288	5	8	31%	5%	45	-2.7	213/260/289	76	299	4	7	29%	5%	55	-1.9	209/264/268	59	287	2	4	26%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Mateo Gil 2024 · AA	24	37→33	44→45	45	38	192/239/311	120	269	12	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	190/231/300	110	273	11	6	33%	5%	47	-2.5	156/185/252	96	223	10	3	35%	3%	16	-2.5
✕Austin Rei 2018 · A	24	37	39→40	37→40	39	178/254/266	88	271	6	4	34%	6%	50	-2.3	193/266/285	92	285	7	5	32%	7%	58	-1.7	181/261/268	87	260	8	2	31%	8%	50	-0.8
✕Chris Paul 2017 · A	24	40→37	38→40	52→40	36	194/241/271	78	282	5	5	32%	4%	44	-2.8	218/260/314	96	295	7	4	27%	4%	61	-1.5	228/265/331	103	298	8	2	26%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Travis Tartamella 2012 · AA	24	37	39→30	47→30	38	185/234/270	86	273	7	4	34%	6%	41	-3.0	177/219/242	65	261	5	3	33%	5%	29	-3.8	163/200/201	38	244	3	0	33%	4%	10	-1.7
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	36	39→40	45→40	38	178/242/260	81	271	6	4	35%	6%	42	-2.9	202/271/288	86	309	6	4	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/276/284	83	307	6	2	34%	7%	59	-0.8