Carter Graham

1B Dayton Dragons

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 228 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP40MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+CIN	229	.248/.311/.354	4	7	50	—	.210/.262/.290
2025	23	ACIN	179	.231/.314/.391	5	5	47	—	.186/.251/.311
2026	24	AACIN	260	.277/.388/.514	12	6	102	—	.234/.319/.416
2026	24	A+CIN	292	.322/.453/.614	17	7	131	—	.263/.370/.490
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBCIN	2	.211/.293/.377	0	0	86	-0.0
2028PROJ22% MLB	26	MLBCIN	81	.213/.294/.379	3	1	86	-0.1
2029PROJ32% MLB	27	MLBCIN	126	.214/.295/.378	4	2	86	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

wOBA88

ISO86

Chase%86

wRC+85

BB%78

K%54

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 4, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 82%

CompsBrandon Meredith (age 25) · Ryan McBroom (age 25) · Devin Mann (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .293 / .377

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP259

ISO155

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED41

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	31	6	1	0	0	6	11	2	2	0	194	359	226	585	32	286	28	15	287	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	131	117	22	5	0	5	10	45	3	3	1	188	269	359	628	171	250	34	8	281	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	187	162	38	10	1	3	15	38	8	5	2	235	330	364	694	130	285	20	8	314	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	229	206	51	10	0	4	13	50	6	7	1	248	311	354	665	107	301	22	6	298	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	179	156	36	8	1	5	16	41	3	5	1	231	314	391	705	160	272	23	9	310	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	260	220	61	14	1	12	35	62	5	6	2	277	388	514	902	236	336	24	13	398	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	292	233	75	17	0	17	45	55	11	7	0	322	453	614	1.067	292	356	19	15	458	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	40	31	5	3	0	0	6	10	2	3	0	161	333	258	591	97	227	25	15	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	33	5	1	0	0	4	15	2	2	0	152	282	182	464	30	248	38	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	131	120	17	4	0	3	7	57	3	3	1	142	208	250	458	108	212	44	5	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	187	167	33	8	1	2	10	52	8	5	2	198	276	293	569	96	254	28	5	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	229	210	44	8	0	3	9	63	6	7	1	210	262	290	553	81	269	28	4	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	179	161	30	6	1	4	11	55	3	5	1	186	251	311	562	124	229	31	6	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	260	231	54	13	1	9	24	76	5	6	2	234	319	416	735	182	303	29	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	292	247	65	14	0	14	31	70	11	7	0	263	370	490	860	227	299	24	11	362	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	33	5	1	0	0	4	15	2	2	0	152	282	182	464	30	263	38	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	31	6	1	0	0	6	11	2	2	0	194	359	226	585	32	286	28	15	287	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	318	287	48	11	1	5	17	109	11	8	3	167	241	265	506	98	244	34	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	318	279	60	15	1	8	25	83	11	8	3	215	305	362	667	147	272	26	8	301	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	408	371	73	14	1	6	20	119	9	12	2	197	255	288	543	92	264	29	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	408	362	87	18	1	9	29	91	9	12	2	240	312	370	683	130	289	22	7	303	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	592	511	127	28	1	25	59	156	18	16	2	249	347	454	801	205	306	26	10	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	592	484	141	34	1	29	86	127	18	16	2	291	417	545	962	254	338	21	15	420	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	40	34	5	1	0	0	4	15	2	2	0	147	282	176	459	29	248	38	10	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	318	287	48	11	1	5	17	109	11	8	3	167	241	265	506	98	237	34	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	408	376	73	14	1	6	20	119	9	12	2	194	255	285	540	90	251	29	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	592	510	127	28	1	25	59	156	18	16	2	249	347	455	802	206	301	26	10	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	318	287	48	11	1	5	17	109	11	8	3	167	241	265	506	98	237	34	5	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	408	376	73	14	1	6	20	119	9	12	2	194	255	285	540	90	251	29	5	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	592	510	127	28	1	25	59	156	18	16	2	249	347	455	802	206	301	26	10	342	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	380	338	71	15	1	12	31	103	8	7	1	209	290	366	657	158	258	27	8	295	86	-7	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	211	293	377	670	166	259	50	0	300	86	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CIN	22%	365	325	69	14	1	12	30	98	7	6	1	210	292	368	660	158	259	27	8	296	86	-6	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	CIN	32%	388	345	73	15	1	12	32	104	8	6	1	211	292	367	659	156	260	27	8	296	86	-6	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	CIN	22%	81	72	15	3	0	3	7	22	2	1	0	213	294	379	674	166	260	27	9	301	86	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CIN	32%	126	113	24	5	0	4	10	34	2	2	0	214	295	378	673	164	261	27	8	301	86	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	207	185	39	8	0	7	17	56	4	3	0	211	291	368	659	157	260	27	8	301	80	-3	+1	+0	-4	+4	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	122	25	0	22	53	176	13	9	0	210	291	367	657	157	259	27	8	301	80	-11	+2	+0	-12	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2431	2156	454	95	6	70	188	688	62	56	10	211	293	358	650	147	271	28	8	287	80	-18	+2	+0	-19	+23	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	122	25	2	19	50	184	17	15	3	212	294	361	655	149	272	28	8	287	80	-11	+1	+0	-12	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Dave McCarty'93-'05 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,647 PA	2.5	1,647	36	9	233*	295*	365*	-26	+16	-1.1	0.5
/162	664	15	4	-10.5	+6.6	-0.4	pk7: 2
#5Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	208	7	3	211	290	369	-4	+0	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	21	11	-11.9	+0.0	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Rocky Nelson'49-'61 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,555 PA	2.3	1,555	31	7	241*	307*	388*	-27	-8	-1.9	-0.7
/162	664	13	3	-11.6	-3.5	-0.8	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carter Graham (OGILVIE)	25	40→44	35→47	50→41	25	207/288/363	156	258	10	6	27%	8%	86	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	40→39	50	43→45	47	210/290/365	155	269	18	7	28%	9%	86	+0.3	213/280/334	121	286	13	8	29%	8%	74	-0.5	194/257/282	89	260	10	5	28%	7%	51	-0.6
●Ryan McBroom 2017 · AA	25	42→52	47→50	44→40	39	217/267/352	135	284	16	6	29%	5%	74	-0.6	234/284/368	134	307	16	3	28%	5%	83	+0.1	243/297/382	139	314	17	1	27%	6%	90	+0.5
✕Devin Mann 2022 · AA	25	41→45	50	43→45	44	212/287/367	154	275	17	7	29%	7%	85	+0.2	220/300/368	148	290	16	5	28%	9%	90	+0.6	215/299/360	144	285	15	3	28%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Eric Wagaman 2023 · AA	25	39→49	48→50	48→45	45	202/264/339	137	251	16	5	27%	7%	70	-0.9	233/283/375	142	283	15	12	23%	6%	84	+0.2	244/291/387	143	291	14	11	21%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Ryan Goleski 2007 · AA	25	43→51	52→50	42→45	41	224/281/390	166	299	21	6	32%	7%	88	+0.4	222/281/347	125	291	13	6	27%	7%	78	-0.3	212/274/321	109	276	11	5	26%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Anthony García 2017 · AAA	25	43→48	46→55	42→45	47	217/285/350	133	258	14	6	22%	7%	80	-0.2	223/290/363	140	270	16	6	23%	7%	85	+0.2	219/291/361	142	265	17	4	24%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Daniel Paolini 2015 · AA	25	44→49	48→50	42→40	50	224/292/371	148	259	15	4	20%	8%	87	+0.4	219/285/315	96	284	8	6	24%	8%	71	-0.8	212/283/275	62	285	5	4	25%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Xavier Scruggs 2013 · AA	25	39→47	50	46→45	39	202/269/354	152	294	18	6	36%	7%	75	-0.5	209/285/354	145	295	17	7	33%	8%	81	-0.1	216/293/366	150	286	17	4	29%	8%	85	+0.2
✕Rusty Ryal 2008 · AA	25	46	47→55	44→45	38	234/278/374	140	287	15	7	24%	4%	82	+0.0	234/281/381	147	296	15	5	26%	5%	85	+0.2	235/283/384	149	300	15	4	26%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Chad Tracy 2010 · AA	25	45→49	49→55	46→45	43	231/279/380	149	276	17	5	23%	6%	84	+0.2	218/275/373	155	261	19	5	24%	6%	82	-0.0	203/265/350	146	249	18	4	26%	6%	71	-0.6
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→41	51→55	46→45	47	194/276/357	163	259	19	7	32%	9%	78	-0.3	192/259/327	135	269	16	6	33%	7%	65	-1.2	167/233/291	124	223	18	2	34%	6%	45	-1.8
✕Chris Gittens 2019 · AA	25	40→46	49→50	41→30	42	201/278/342	141	305	17	4	38%	9%	76	-0.4	225/309/380	155	335	20	3	35%	10%	96	+1.0	223/319/391	168	320	23	0	35%	12%	99	+0.7
✕Eliseo Aldazaba 2016 · AAA	25	43→47	52→55	47→50	42	227/282/388	161	279	21	12	27%	6%	88	+0.4	217/276/351	134	275	14	13	26%	6%	77	-0.3	206/267/328	122	262	11	14	25%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Johermyn Chavez 2013 · AA	24	42→49	48→50	38→45	43	215/281/353	139	278	16	5	28%	7%	79	-0.2	212/276/321	109	291	11	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	197/258/282	85	277	12	0	32%	5%	54	-0.5
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2015 · AA	25	45→46	49→55	42→45	44	227/280/376	150	250	16	5	17%	5%	84	+0.2	226/276/389	163	260	19	4	21%	5%	86	+0.3	221/282/404	183	256	23	3	24%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Brian McFall 2009 · AA	25	40→44	51→55	44→50	40	210/271/367	157	280	19	8	32%	6%	79	-0.2	217/282/353	136	294	15	9	30%	6%	80	-0.2	201/271/327	126	271	14	6	30%	6%	67	-0.4
✕Wes Bankston 2009 · MLB	25	43→53	50	42→40	39	224/262/372	148	264	19	3	24%	4%	76	-0.4	217/256/355	138	258	15	4	22%	4%	70	-0.9	228/292/353	125	265	14	0	19%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Yermín Mercedes 2018 · AA	25	47→53	49→50	44→45	42	238/280/383	144	282	17	4	22%	5%	85	+0.2	239/288/396	157	286	19	5	23%	6%	91	+0.7	242/292/392	150	282	20	3	21%	6%	92	+0.5
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	41→40	49→50	45	40	210/273/356	146	293	17	7	34%	7%	76	-0.4	207/269/351	144	294	17	4	34%	7%	74	-0.5	196/259/339	143	277	17	1	34%	6%	66	-0.9
✕Jon Zeringue 2008 · AA	25	41→47	47→50	43→45	41	210/264/340	130	274	15	6	29%	6%	70	-0.9	219/283/370	151	283	18	6	28%	7%	84	+0.1	212/280/368	156	264	20	3	27%	7%	78	-0.2

Carter Graham

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps