Zach Jacobs

P Akron RubberDucks

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	A+CLE	34	5	80	2.36	2.89	26.3%	8.6%	—	K 20.3% · BB 9.8% · FIP 3.58
2025	23	MIX2 levels	37	3	69	4.46	4.76	20.9%	15.1%	—	K 16.9% · BB 16.4% · FIP 5.76
2026	24	MIX2 levels	25	0	32	5.40	5.25	16.6%	11.7%	—	K 12.6% · BB 10.8% · FIP 5.56
2027PROJ	25	MLBCLE	57	0	60	5.86	5.86	14.9%	15.0%	-0.9
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCLE	26	0	27	5.67	5.65	16.3%	14.4%	-0.3
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBCLE	37	0	39	5.58	5.59	16.9%	14.1%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control30Command35

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJeff Soptic (age 25) · Stephen Johnson (age 25) · Juan Paniagua (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.86

FIP5.86

K%14.9%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%-0.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	11	2	1	1	0%	1.2	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	9.1%	3.86	7.71	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	2	0	2	11	2	1	1	0%	1.2	18.2%	9.1%	9.1%	9.1%	3.86	8.24	—
2023	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	29	3	91	397	94	29	4	10%	3.1	17.5%	8.6%	8.9%	1.3%	4.43	3.42	—
2023	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	29	3	91	397	94	29	4	10%	3.1	23.7%	7.3%	16.4%	1.0%	4.43	2.56	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	34	5	80	304	80	26	5	15%	2.4	20.3%	9.8%	10.4%	1.7%	2.36	3.58	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	34	5	80	304	80	26	5	15%	2.4	20.3%	9.8%	10.4%	1.7%	2.36	3.58	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	34	5	80	304	80	26	5	15%	2.4	26.3%	8.6%	17.8%	1.6%	2.36	2.89	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	69	292	61	44	8	8%	1.9	16.9%	16.4%	0.6%	3.7%	4.46	5.76	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	69	292	61	44	8	8%	1.9	16.9%	16.4%	0.6%	3.7%	4.46	5.76	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	3	69	292	61	44	8	8%	1.9	20.9%	15.1%	5.8%	2.7%	4.46	4.76	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	32	145	24	17	5	0%	1.3	12.6%	10.8%	1.8%	3.9%	5.40	5.56	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	0	32	145	24	17	5	0%	1.3	12.6%	10.8%	1.8%	3.9%	5.40	5.56	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	0	32	145	24	17	5	0%	1.3	16.6%	11.7%	4.8%	3.4%	5.40	5.25	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	CLE	57	0	60	253	38	38	8	0%	1.1	14.9%	15.0%	-0.2%	3.2%	5.86	5.86	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	CLE	59	0	62	261	43	38	8	0%	1.0	16.3%	14.4%	1.9%	3.1%	5.67	5.65	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	CLE	58	0	61	257	43	36	8	0%	1.1	16.9%	14.1%	2.8%	3.2%	5.58	5.59	-0.7
2028	26	MLB CTX	CLE	26	0	27	114	19	16	4	0%	1.0	16.3%	14.4%	1.9%	3.1%	5.67	5.65	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	CLE	37	0	39	165	28	23	5	0%	1.1	16.9%	14.1%	2.8%	3.2%	5.58	5.59	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		63	0	66	277	46	39	9	0%	1.0	16.6%	14.2%	2.4%	3.2%	5.62	5.23	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	140	119	27	0%	1.1	16.6%	14.2%	2.4%	3.2%	5.62	5.23	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		127	11	274	1149	201	129	28	9%	2.2	17.5%	11.2%	6.3%	2.4%	3.94	4.37	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	8	200	839	147	94	20	9%	2.2	17.5%	11.2%	6.3%	2.4%	3.94	4.37	-2.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zach Jacobs (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.86	14.9%	15.0%	3.2%	—	5.62	16.6%	2.3%	123	-0.24	—	—	—
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	87
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	85
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	85
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	85
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	85
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	85
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	85
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	84
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	83
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	83
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	82
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	82
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	82
Tanner Duncan R 2019 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	17.5%	14.8%	3.4%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.28	123	82
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	82
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	81
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	61	16.0%	14.5%	1.22	5.70
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*