Jordan Dissin
C Reading Fightin Phils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 361 | .207/.338/.324 | 9 | 3 | 54 | — | .176/.273/.291 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+PHI | 215 | .182/.305/.215 | 0 | 2 | 6 | — | .139/.216/.159 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AAPHI | 155 | .182/.235/.245 | 1 | 0 | 14 | — | .171/.209/.226 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBPHI | 2 | .186/.247/.251 | 0 | 0 | 41 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 57 | .192/.253/.269 | 1 | 1 | 47 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 24 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 542 | 353 | 895 | 545 | 25 | 21 | 433 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 263 | 226 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 83 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 252 | 352 | 358 | 711 | 106 | 379 | 32 | 12 | 324 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 23 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 435 | 188 | 622 | 250 | 17 | 22 | 334 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 302 | 252 | 54 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 77 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 338 | 349 | 687 | 135 | 266 | 25 | 13 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 36 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 278 | 194 | 471 | 32 | 357 | 47 | 14 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 37 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 297 | 235 | 533 | 500 | 49 | 8 | 252 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 178 | 147 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 55 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 170 | 307 | 211 | 518 | 41 | 266 | 31 | 15 | 254 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 30 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 200 | 172 | 372 | 227 | 23 | 3 | 174 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 125 | 114 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 244 | 263 | 507 | 79 | 256 | 30 | 7 | 230 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 453 | 38 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 263 | 235 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 204 | 284 | 285 | 569 | 81 | 357 | 42 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 23 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 391 | 176 | 568 | 253 | 22 | 17 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 302 | 267 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 24 | 98 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 176 | 264 | 300 | 564 | 124 | 225 | 32 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 37 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 243 | 200 | 443 | 515 | 59 | 5 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 178 | 159 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 72 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 126 | 210 | 151 | 361 | 25 | 217 | 40 | 8 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 30 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 200 | 172 | 372 | 222 | 27 | 3 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 125 | 117 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 211 | 239 | 451 | 68 | 252 | 36 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 500 | 38 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | — | 24 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 542 | 353 | 895 | 545 | 25 | 21 | 433 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 263 | 235 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 204 | 284 | 285 | 569 | 81 | 369 | 42 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 263 | 226 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 83 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 252 | 352 | 358 | 711 | 106 | 379 | 32 | 12 | 324 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 361 | 317 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 115 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 265 | 274 | 540 | 104 | 230 | 32 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 361 | 299 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 49 | 98 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 338 | 324 | 662 | 117 | 272 | 27 | 14 | 308 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 194 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 139 | 216 | 160 | 376 | 21 | 265 | 44 | 8 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 215 | 181 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 73 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 182 | 305 | 215 | 521 | 33 | 300 | 34 | 14 | 254 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 146 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 203 | 219 | 422 | 55 | 247 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 155 | 143 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 235 | 245 | 480 | 63 | 250 | 28 | 6 | 219 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 417 | 263 | 680 | 453 | 38 | 12 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 263 | 235 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 204 | 284 | 285 | 569 | 81 | 357 | 42 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 361 | 317 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 115 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 265 | 274 | 540 | 104 | 227 | 32 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 194 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 139 | 216 | 160 | 376 | 21 | 268 | 44 | 8 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 147 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 203 | 218 | 420 | 54 | 246 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 361 | 317 | 54 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 31 | 115 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 265 | 274 | 540 | 104 | 227 | 32 | 9 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 215 | 194 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 139 | 216 | 160 | 376 | 21 | 268 | 44 | 8 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 155 | 147 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 203 | 218 | 420 | 54 | 246 | 35 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 2% | 205 | 187 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 186 | 247 | 250 | 497 | 64 | 258 | 28 | 7 | 229 | 41 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 247 | 251 | 498 | 65 | 258 | 50 | 0 | 229 | 41 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 31% | 185 | 170 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 51 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 253 | 267 | 520 | 76 | 260 | 28 | 6 | 238 | 47 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 31% | 57 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 253 | 269 | 522 | 78 | 260 | 28 | 7 | 239 | 47 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 57 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 246 | 283 | 529 | 94 | 250 | 28 | 7 | 239 | 41 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 114 | 23 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 182 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 189 | 246 | 281 | 528 | 93 | 251 | 28 | 7 | 239 | 41 | -41 | +2 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1312 | 1181 | 210 | 33 | 2 | 16 | 100 | 465 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 178 | 253 | 250 | 503 | 72 | 273 | 35 | 8 | 229 | 41 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 104 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 50 | 230 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 178 | 253 | 250 | 503 | 72 | 273 | 35 | 8 | 229 | 41 | -43 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 125 PAwOBA .228 → .198 (−30)K% 29.6% → 36.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×1.012 | 18.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.040 | ×1.012 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.040 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .228 → .198; ISO .079 → .065; BABIP .256 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 30 PAwOBA .170 → .152 (−17)K% 23.3% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 22.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .170 → .152; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .227 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 178 PAwOBA .252 → .172 (−79)K% 30.9% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.90% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 40.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.17% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 8.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.65% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 17.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.951 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .252 → .172; ISO .041 → .027; BABIP .266 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAReading Fightin Phils · 37 PAwOBA .246 → .202 (−44)K% 48.6% → 58.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 48.65% | ÷1.016 | ×1.220 | — | — | 58.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 50.00% | ÷0.968 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 51.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 94, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .246 → .202; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .500 → .515. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 302 PAwOBA .311 → .246 (−64)K% 25.5% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.50% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.91% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 8.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.71% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 18.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 3.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | ×1.009 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.14% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.94% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .311 → .246; ISO .135 → .124; BABIP .266 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAReading Fightin Phils · 23 PAwOBA .328 → .286 (−42)K% 17.4% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.39% | ÷0.974 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.74% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 15.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.70% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 7.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.042 | 25.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 104, 3B 97, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .328 → .286; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AClearwater Threshers · 263 PAwOBA .318 → .252 (−66)K% 31.6% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.56% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.17% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.37% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 28.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.99% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.70% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×1.008 | ×1.015 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 111, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .318 → .252; ISO .106 → .078; BABIP .379 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Phillies · 24 PAwOBA .424 → .313 (−111)K% 25.0% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 35.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 13.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 54.55% | ÷0.981 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 45.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.178 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .424 → .313; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .545 → .453. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .