Eiver Espinoza — OGILVIE

Eiver Espinoza P Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 23 RHP 6'6" / 168 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2028

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%23.4%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%14.2%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	1	20	94	19	15	0	10%	2.0	13.7%	19.9%	-6.2%	0.0%	1.35	4.47	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	10	1	20	94	19	15	0	10%	2.0	20.2%	16.0%	4.3%	0.0%	1.35	3.45	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	13	2	27	133	35	14	2	15%	2.1	17.9%	13.2%	4.7%	1.6%	6.33	4.16	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	13	2	27	133	35	14	2	15%	2.1	26.3%	10.5%	15.8%	1.5%	6.33	3.03	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	2	26	94	33	7	0	18%	2.4	23.9%	9.3%	14.6%	0.0%	0.34	2.26	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	11	2	26	94	33	7	0	18%	2.4	23.9%	9.3%	14.6%	0.0%	0.34	2.26	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	11	2	26	94	33	7	0	18%	2.4	35.1%	7.4%	27.7%	0.0%	0.34	1.39	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	12	49	18	8	2	0%	0.9	36.7%	16.3%	20.4%	4.1%	3.00	4.31	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	12	49	18	8	2	0%	0.9	36.7%	16.3%	20.4%	4.1%	3.00	4.31	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	12	49	18	8	2	0%	0.9	36.7%	16.3%	20.4%	4.1%	3.00	4.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIA	15	0	16	68	16	6	2	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.2%	14.2%	3.0%	4.31	4.31	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	19	0	20	84	20	7	2	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.9%	15.1%	3.0%	4.25	4.20	+0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	9	0	9	38	9	3	1	0%	1.0	24.0%	8.9%	15.1%	3.0%	4.25	4.20	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	9	3	1	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.9%	15.1%	3.0%	4.25	3.82	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	211	70	23	0%	1.1	24.0%	8.9%	15.1%	3.0%	4.25	3.82	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		47	5	85	370	77	53	4	11%	1.8	20.9%	14.3%	6.5%	1.1%	2.85	3.77	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		110	12	200	867	181	124	10	11%	1.8	20.9%	14.3%	6.5%	1.1%	2.85	3.77	+0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eiver Espinoza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	23.4%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.20	24.0%	15.1%	20	-0.11	—	—	—
Michael Gomez R 2019 · 3.32 FIP	22	SU	3.32	22.6%	9.2%	1.8%	.283	3.81	17.9%	8.3%	110	+0.49	3.27	286	87
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	87
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	86
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	86
Grant Balfour R 2003 · 4.13 FIP	25	SU	4.13	26.1%	10.4%	3.5%	.275	3.79	24.4%	12.8%	39	-0.34	2.04	533	86
Stolmy Pimentel R 2014 · 4.13 FIP	24	SU	4.13	25.7%	9.5%	3.6%	.319	4.17	14.8%	4.3%	143	+0.04	3.87	176	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	85
Reilly Hovis R 2017 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	21.1%	7.7%	3.6%	.250	4.36	19.8%	6.4%	50	+0.08	4.28	130	85
Garrett Mock R 2008 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	25.6%	11.1%	2.2%	.300	4.06	17.1%	7.4%	91	+0.49	3.57	132	84
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.35	22.4%	13.7%	185	+0.62	3.73	223	84
Kevin Coulter R 2019 · 3.27 FIP	22	SU	3.27	21.0%	7.4%	1.8%	.287	4.51	16.1%	7.6%	92	+1.24	3.27	128	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	84
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	84
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	84
Devon Roedahl R 2019 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	19.7%	6.7%	3.0%	.305	4.64	16.5%	9.2%	100	+0.70	3.94	122	83
Jake Bray R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	23	SU	3.28	21.1%	7.7%	1.8%	.245	4.56	21.4%	10.8%	158	+1.28	2.51	198	83
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	83
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	83
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	83