Luis Marquez — OGILVIE

Luis MarquezIF Hickory Crawdads

Age 20 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION162 act + 108 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†31

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .243 / .242

PA108

HR1

K%34

BB%6

BABIP274

ISO61

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	145	130	22	3	1	2	7	40	6	6	3	169	245	254	499	85	225	28	5	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	145	126	30	4	2	3	11	26	6	6	3	238	329	373	702	135	276	18	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	212	187	35	3	1	3	14	55	7	11	6	187	269	262	531	75	246	26	7	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	212	176	44	4	2	5	25	37	7	11	6	250	365	381	746	131	289	17	12	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	171	150	26	6	0	2	15	47	0	4	4	173	248	253	502	80	224	27	9	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	171	142	36	9	0	3	23	32	0	4	4	254	358	380	738	127	292	19	13	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	267	247	51	8	1	2	12	85	7	5	4	206	263	271	534	65	304	32	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	2 teams	—	267	238	61	11	1	2	21	60	7	5	4	256	335	336	671	80	333	22	8	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	162	146	24	1	1	2	11	67	2	3	0	164	233	226	459	62	278	41	7	198	10	-17	+1	+0	+0	+5	-1.2
YTD	20	A	TEX	—	162	139	28	1	1	2	18	47	2	3	0	201	302	266	568	65	283	29	11	264	60	-7	+1	+0	+0	+5	-0.2
ROS	20	A	TEX	0%	108	99	18	3	0	1	6	37	2	2	1	182	243	242	485	61	274	34	6	226	31	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
ROS	20	MLB	TEX	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	215	23	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TEX	—	162	147	24	1	1	2	11	67	2	3	0	163	233	224	457	61	275	41	7	198	10	-17	+1	+0	+0	+5	-1.2
TOT	20	A	TEX	—	270	245	42	4	1	3	17	104	4	5	1	171	237	233	469	61	277	39	6	209	18	-25	+1	+0	+0	+8	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	326	297	58	9	1	5	21	106	5	5	2	195	260	283	543	88	276	33	6	244	45	-20	+0	+0	+0	+9	-1.1
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	421	383	78	12	2	8	28	132	7	6	2	204	270	308	578	104	279	31	7	257	55	-22	+0	+0	+0	+12	-0.9
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	483	440	90	14	2	10	33	147	7	7	3	205	271	314	584	109	280	30	7	264	61	-22	+0	+0	+0	+14	-0.8
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	523	473	98	15	2	11	37	157	8	8	3	207	276	317	593	110	281	30	7	269	64	-21	+0	+0	+0	+15	-0.6
2031	25	MLB	TEX	60%	545	493	103	16	2	12	39	163	8	8	3	209	278	323	600	114	281	30	7	270	65	-21	+0	+0	+0	+15	-0.6
2027	21	MLB	TEX	34%	112	102	20	3	0	2	7	36	2	2	1	196	261	284	546	88	278	32	6	234	37	-8	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.5
2028	22	MLB	TEX	48%	204	185	38	6	1	4	14	64	3	3	1	205	272	314	586	108	280	31	7	247	47	-12	+0	+0	+0	+6	-0.6
2029	23	MLB	TEX	54%	262	238	49	8	1	5	18	80	4	4	2	206	273	311	584	105	282	31	7	255	53	-14	+0	+0	+0	+7	-0.7
2030	24	MLB	TEX	55%	290	264	55	9	1	6	20	87	4	4	2	208	274	318	592	110	283	30	7	259	56	-14	+0	+0	+0	+8	-0.6
2031	25	MLB	TEX	60%	326	295	62	10	1	7	23	98	5	5	2	210	279	322	601	112	283	30	7	261	58	-16	+0	+0	+0	+9	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1194	1085	224	36	4	24	82	365	18	18	8	206	274	313	587	107	285	31	7	254	53	-64	+0	+0	+0	+34	-3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	122	20	2	13	45	199	10	10	4	206	274	313	587	107	285	31	7	254	53	-35	+0	+0	+0	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	3201	2899	579	89	12	56	212	969	57	62	31	200	268	297	564	97	276	30	7	253	52	-173	+0	+0	+0	+91	-8.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	117	18	2	11	43	197	12	13	6	199	267	292	559	93	275	30	7	253	52	-35	+0	+0	+0	+18	-1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL TEX Blue	—	145	126	30	4	2	3	11	26	6	6	3	238	329	373	702	135	276	18	8	315	99	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	212	176	44	4	2	5	25	37	7	11	6	250	365	381	746	131	289	17	12	336	115	+4	-0	—	—	+6	1.0
2024	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	171	142	36	9	0	3	23	32	0	4	4	254	358	380	738	127	292	19	13	325	107	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	19	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	68	63	21	5	0	0	4	18	0	0	0	333	373	413	786	79	457	26	6	348	125	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	199	175	40	6	1	2	17	42	7	5	4	229	322	309	630	80	290	21	9	294	83	-4	-1	—	—	+6	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,449	26	22	202	265	301	+0	+0	-3.2	-1.6
	/162	664	12	10	202	265	301	+0.0	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Marquez (OGILVIE)	20	35	25	45	35	171/237/233	61	277	3	5	39%	6%	18	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Yan Olmo 2011 · A	20	40	35→30	47→55	37	189/241/246	57	258	3	9	27%	4%	30	-3.1	212/272/282	70	280	5	13	25%	5%	54	-1.4	218/288/274	56	269	6	23	20%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Enger Jimenez 2015 · A	20	39	40	48→50	38	191/241/288	97	267	7	9	30%	5%	42	-2.3	214/267/304	90	282	5	10	24%	6%	56	-1.3	223/275/315	92	285	5	14	22%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Luis Reynoso 2015 · A	20	41	37→30	43→50	39	194/249/260	66	291	4	7	33%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/244	53	335	3	5	41%	6%	32	-3.0	171/227/194	23	314	1	2	43%	6%	9	-1.2
✕Luis Ubiera 2017 · A	20	38	34→30	45→50	41	178/237/225	46	258	1	9	30%	6%	24	-3.6	198/272/259	61	260	2	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	182/277/230	48	229	0	10	18%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Luis Gomez 2006 · A	20	40	37→30	46→45	44	190/262/256	67	288	4	9	33%	8%	43	-2.2	206/258/264	58	286	2	7	27%	5%	42	-2.3	234/279/287	53	328	0	9	27%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Francisco Medina 2018 · A	20	40	38→40	45→40	39	194/247/263	69	280	6	5	32%	6%	37	-2.6	179/229/253	74	344	5	6	46%	6%	27	-3.3	135/180/213	77	254	5	6	47%	5%	-6	-1.3
✕Eduardo Urbina 2008 · A	20	42	37→40	44→50	41	198/260/265	67	276	4	8	28%	6%	44	-2.1	209/279/285	76	290	5	8	28%	7%	57	-1.2	193/274/251	58	260	5	7	26%	7%	47	-0.6
✕James Harris 2014 · A	20	36→46	36→40	46→50	42	175/238/243	68	248	3	10	29%	6%	29	-3.2	211/272/302	91	306	7	12	31%	7%	58	-1.2	225/287/315	90	321	7	14	30%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Junior Boni 2011 · A	20	42	35→40	49→55	39	194/266/258	65	295	2	13	33%	6%	46	-2.0	200/274/276	76	262	2	14	23%	8%	53	-1.5	189/270/269	79	238	1	19	19%	9%	46	-0.6
✕Rehiner Cordova 2014 · A	20	42	34→30	45→40	40	196/252/246	50	290	2	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	208/266/251	43	288	2	6	26%	7%	42	-2.3	197/263/216	19	267	1	4	24%	7%	28	-1.1
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	15	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	52	-1.6	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	73	-0.0
✕Luis Ramos 2008 · A	20	41	37→30	44→50	37	196/247/266	70	288	4	7	32%	5%	38	-2.6	205/255/279	74	273	5	11	25%	5%	45	-2.1	213/260/271	58	259	4	17	18%	4%	40	-1.0
✕Adonis Paula 2013 · A	19	37	37→40	48→40	35	180/236/252	72	281	4	8	36%	5%	30	-3.1	196/258/274	78	286	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.0	177/237/252	75	275	4	2	35%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44→41	36→40	49→50	42	206/276/277	71	285	3	10	27%	6%	55	-1.4	220/288/301	81	285	6	13	24%	6%	66	-0.6	212/286/289	77	272	6	14	22%	6%	59	-0.6
✕Victor Moscote 2014 · A	20	40	37→30	40→45	37	194/243/263	69	285	4	5	32%	5%	36	-2.7	209/262/265	56	278	2	5	24%	6%	44	-2.1	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Ronaldo Pulgar 2017 · A	20	38	35→30	45→55	40	182/242/240	58	271	3	7	32%	6%	30	-3.1	184/250/243	59	252	3	11	26%	7%	34	-2.8	163/236/208	44	213	3	16	23%	7%	16	-1.2
✕Erick Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	38	34→40	43→50	42	182/243/237	55	268	2	7	31%	7%	29	-3.2	210/295/284	74	272	3	10	22%	10%	64	-0.8	214/322/287	73	261	2	14	16%	13%	74	-0.0
✕Richard Nunez 2016 · A	21	41	36→30	45→55	43	193/260/262	69	278	3	7	30%	7%	43	-2.2	196/273/264	68	268	3	11	26%	9%	50	-1.8	200/288/269	69	247	5	16	19%	10%	56	-0.3
✕Edwin Ventura 2018 · A	20	42	35→30	52→55	39	198/239/256	58	257	3	9	24%	4%	31	-3.0	194/248/246	52	266	2	16	26%	6%	33	-2.9	176/234/198	22	242	0	27	25%	6%	14	-1.7