Ricardo Brizuela

P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs A peak 0.7 · 2029

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	20	ROKCWS	14	5	51	4.62	3.93	25.0%	7.3%	—	K 17.0% · BB 9.1% · FIP 4.09
2024	21	MIX2 levels	20	12	71	3.57	2.25	24.1%	4.5%	—	K 17.1% · BB 5.4% · FIP 3.20
2025	22	ACWS	23	23	87	4.98	4.17	19.5%	9.7%	—	K 14.4% · BB 11.5% · FIP 5.54
2027PROJ	24	MLBCWS	12	12	67	5.54	5.54	13.6%	12.0%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCWS	6	6	34	5.34	5.29	15.5%	11.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCWS	9	9	52	5.20	5.16	16.7%	11.2%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff30Control40Command35

CompsJonathan Hughes (age 24) · David Rodriguez (age 22) · Jacob Meador (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.54

FIP5.54

K%13.6%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%1.6%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	15	4	38	162	48	15	3	27%	2.5	20.1%	11.6%	8.6%	2.1%	5.02	4.03	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	15	4	38	162	48	15	3	27%	2.5	29.6%	9.3%	20.4%	1.9%	5.02	2.78	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	14	5	51	220	55	16	8	36%	3.6	17.0%	9.1%	7.9%	2.3%	4.62	4.09	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	14	5	51	220	55	16	8	36%	3.6	25.0%	7.3%	17.7%	3.6%	4.62	3.93	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	12	71	286	69	13	3	60%	3.5	17.1%	5.4%	11.7%	1.6%	3.57	3.20	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	12	71	286	69	13	3	60%	3.5	17.1%	5.4%	11.7%	1.6%	3.57	3.20	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	12	71	286	69	13	3	60%	3.5	24.1%	4.5%	19.6%	1.0%	3.57	2.25	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	87	380	74	37	10	100%	3.8	14.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.0%	4.98	5.54	—
2025	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	87	380	74	37	10	100%	3.8	14.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.0%	4.98	5.54	—
2025	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	23	23	87	380	74	37	10	100%	3.8	19.5%	9.7%	9.7%	2.6%	4.98	4.17	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CWS	12	12	67	283	38	34	9	100%	5.6	13.6%	12.0%	1.6%	3.1%	5.54	5.54	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	14	14	79	334	52	38	10	100%	5.6	15.5%	11.4%	4.1%	3.0%	5.34	5.29	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	79	334	56	37	10	100%	6.1	16.7%	11.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.20	5.16	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	78	328	56	37	10	100%	6.0	17.0%	11.2%	5.8%	3.1%	5.16	5.16	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	76	319	54	36	10	100%	5.8	17.0%	11.3%	5.8%	3.2%	5.19	5.22	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	72	304	51	35	10	100%	6.0	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	3.3%	5.29	5.35	-0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	68	286	47	34	10	100%	6.2	16.4%	11.8%	4.6%	3.5%	5.43	5.53	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	34	144	22	16	4	100%	5.7	15.5%	11.4%	4.1%	3.0%	5.34	5.29	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CWS	9	9	52	220	37	25	7	100%	5.8	16.7%	11.2%	5.5%	3.0%	5.20	5.16	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	CWS	10	10	60	253	43	28	8	100%	6.0	17.0%	11.2%	5.8%	3.1%	5.16	5.16	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	CWS	10	10	63	266	45	30	8	100%	6.3	17.0%	11.3%	5.8%	3.2%	5.19	5.22	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	CWS	10	10	63	266	45	31	9	100%	6.3	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	3.3%	5.29	5.35	-0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	CWS	10	10	61	258	42	30	9	100%	6.1	16.4%	11.8%	4.6%	3.5%	5.43	5.53	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	56	334	1409	235	160	45	100%	6.0	16.7%	11.4%	5.3%	3.2%	5.26	4.91	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	141	96	27	100%	6.0	16.7%	11.4%	5.3%	3.2%	5.26	4.91	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		72	44	246	1048	174	98	28	61%	3.4	16.6%	9.3%	7.2%	2.7%	4.51	4.36	-2.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	36	200	853	142	80	23	61%	3.4	16.6%	9.3%	7.2%	2.7%	4.51	4.36	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ricardo Brizuela (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.54	13.6%	12.0%	3.1%	—	5.20	16.4%	5.1%	236	-0.34	—	—	—
Jonathan Hughes R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	24	SP-	4.60	12.9%	12.5%	1.8%	.351	3.79	16.5%	6.2%	146	-0.81	3.44	219	87
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	85
Jacob Meador R 2024 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP-	5.34	15.6%	14.0%	3.2%	.301	6.73	14.7%	-6.6%	50	+1.39	5.34	139	83
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	83
Justin Dillon R 2018 · 5.26 FIP	24	SP-	5.26	11.8%	8.8%	3.7%	.265	4.34	15.6%	9.1%	124	-0.92	3.65	239	82
Oscar Verdugo R 2015 · 6.33 FIP	25	SP-	6.33	10.5%	13.9%	4.3%	.241	5.78	10.8%	-1.8%	74	-0.55	5.01	144	82
Ryan Jensen R 2001 · 5.03 FIP	25	SP-	5.03	13.5%	13.0%	2.6%	.285	4.82	13.4%	5.2%	185	-0.21	4.35	253	82
Cobi Johnson R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	23	SP-	5.52	16.0%	14.8%	3.5%	.257	4.54	19.9%	1.4%	41	-0.98	4.54	140	81
Zach Miner R 2006 · 4.35 FIP	24	SP-	4.35	14.8%	7.8%	2.8%	.300	4.24	13.8%	4.6%	264	-0.11	3.55	386	81
Justin Miller R 2002 · 5.01 FIP	24	SP-	5.01	14.5%	13.6%	2.6%	.280	5.41	12.5%	2.1%	82	+0.40	2.63	373	81
Marco Camarena R 2016 · 4.49 FIP	25	SW	4.49	11.0%	9.3%	2.1%	.365	3.75	8.4%	0.9%	73	-0.74	3.75	142	81
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	80
Felipe Gonzalez R 2016 · 5.47 FIP	24	SP-	5.47	14.7%	10.6%	4.1%	.330	4.12	19.9%	10.4%	139	-1.35	3.27	339	80
Tyler Schlaffer R 2024 · 5.08 FIP	23	SP-	5.08	14.5%	13.3%	2.8%	.298	4.13	20.3%	7.7%	190	-0.95	3.79	399	80
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	80
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	80
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	80
Boone Whiting R 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	11.3%	13.9%	2.6%	.337	4.88	10.9%	4.8%	132	-0.45	4.88	227	80
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	80
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	74	16.2%	11.5%	1.23	5.30
Mike Mohler ('01)	2.1	60	15.0%	12.4%	0.97	4.99
Luther Hackman ('03)	1.1	71	13.3%	10.9%	1.10	5.09
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Paul Mirabella ('78-'90, -0 WAR*)	2.5	71	17.2%*	10.7%*	0.95*	4.64*