Peyton Carr — OGILVIE

Peyton Carr3B Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .268 / .289

PA135

HR2

K%28

BB%8

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	304	261	59	9	2	4	35	63	7	1	1	226	333	322	655	96	282	21	12	304	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	304	273	49	7	2	3	23	86	7	1	1	179	261	253	513	73	243	28	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	304	273	49	7	2	3	23	86	7	1	1	179	261	253	513	73	249	28	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	304	261	59	9	2	4	35	63	7	1	1	226	333	322	655	96	282	21	12	304	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	304	271	49	7	2	3	23	86	7	1	1	181	261	255	515	74	243	28	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	304	271	49	7	2	3	23	86	7	1	1	181	261	255	515	74	243	28	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	354	320	63	11	2	5	27	98	4	5	1	198	270	291	561	94	266	28	8	256	60	-17	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	152	137	27	5	1	2	12	42	2	2	1	201	273	299	572	98	267	28	8	261	63	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	46	41	8	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	201	273	299	572	99	267	28	9	261	63	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	46	41	8	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	195	283	293	575	98	259	28	9	261	52	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	113	14	0	14	57	184	14	14	0	195	283	292	575	97	260	28	9	261	52	-29	+3	+0	+2	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	591	532	100	16	4	7	45	165	11	5	3	188	265	273	538	85	256	28	8	244	52	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	110	18	4	8	49	181	12	5	3	188	264	274	538	85	256	28	8	244	52	-30	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Peyton Carr (OGILVIE)	25	35	30	40	45	196/268/289	93	266	2	2	28%	8%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕J.J. Franco 2017 · A	25	40	36→30	37→45	42	192/243/253	62	256	3	5	26%	6%	40	-3.0	209/278/264	55	292	2	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	211/288/246	35	294	0	4	26%	10%	54	-0.7
✕D.K. Carey 2017 · A	25	38→37	41→40	39→45	47	187/261/280	93	251	9	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/268/283	89	290	7	6	33%	9%	58	-1.7	162/248/230	68	259	4	2	36%	10%	37	-1.4
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2016 · A	25	40	38→30	44→50	44	192/249/266	75	242	5	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	211/264/269	58	257	4	3	18%	6%	52	-2.2	221/269/269	47	257	5	0	16%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Brian Ward 2011 · A	25	40	36→40	43→45	47	191/268/254	63	265	4	6	28%	8%	52	-2.2	215/279/298	83	267	6	8	20%	7%	65	-1.2	220/283/302	82	265	6	8	18%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Robbie Shields 2013 · A	25	43→38	39→40	47→45	45	207/262/298	91	262	6	8	23%	6%	58	-1.7	196/248/273	77	272	4	7	28%	6%	47	-2.5	176/222/238	61	248	2	5	28%	5%	26	-2.5
✕Richard Mercado 2008 · A	25	43	40	42→30	43	210/259/301	92	269	7	3	25%	6%	57	-1.8	210/264/294	84	278	6	5	25%	6%	58	-1.7	180/235/216	36	244	0	0	24%	6%	28	-1.0
✕Josh Adams 2014 · A	25	40→41	41→40	44→45	41	198/247/290	92	260	9	4	27%	6%	51	-2.2	192/242/284	92	266	8	6	29%	6%	47	-2.5	116/157/182	65	162	4	0	31%	5%	-11	-1.3
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	199/272/283	84	272	8	13	28%	8%	59	-1.6	209/279/316	107	283	11	11	28%	8%	70	-0.9	174/252/307	134	221	17	8	29%	8%	56	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	43→45	42→45	48	191/274/298	107	258	11	5	29%	9%	64	-1.3	195/276/301	106	276	9	7	31%	8%	65	-1.2	110/220/193	83	161	7	0	33%	9%	22	-1.0
✕Chase Pinder 2021 · AA	25	40	39→45	40→45	44	193/270/272	79	283	7	5	32%	8%	57	-1.8	215/305/341	126	282	13	8	26%	10%	86	+0.3	219/322/357	138	284	14	11	26%	12%	93	+0.4
✕Matt McLaughlin 2021 · A	25	45→43	36→30	44→45	44	209/273/276	67	289	3	10	27%	7%	57	-1.8	202/264/280	78	269	6	7	25%	6%	55	-1.9	180/243/240	60	234	4	3	24%	6%	36	-1.8
✕David Masters 2018 · A	25	36→37	40→45	40	42	179/238/262	82	236	8	3	27%	6%	42	-2.9	200/266/314	114	276	12	3	30%	7%	64	-1.3	187/256/313	125	256	16	1	32%	7%	58	-0.7
✕Bubba Hollins 2021 · A	25	43	37→30	42→45	42	206/257/279	73	265	4	4	23%	5%	52	-2.2	207/274/299	92	281	7	6	27%	6%	64	-1.3	191/265/273	82	263	6	5	28%	6%	53	-0.8
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Stuart Levy 2018 · A	25	40	39→30	43→40	41	193/261/280	87	281	7	6	32%	7%	55	-2.0	177/240/257	80	280	7	5	37%	6%	42	-2.9	121/189/176	55	198	7	1	40%	5%	2	-1.4
✕Kyle Knudson 2013 · A	25	44	36→30	41→30	43	207/272/271	64	290	3	3	28%	7%	56	-1.9	220/277/289	69	295	3	3	25%	6%	62	-1.4	223/273/281	58	296	2	0	24%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Ryan Gridley 2019 · A	24	45→44	39→40	41→45	46	216/281/302	86	277	7	6	24%	7%	67	-1.1	213/266/297	84	267	6	9	22%	6%	60	-1.6	206/259/280	74	255	5	10	20%	5%	50	-1.2