Tyler Cleveland
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.69
FIP4.69
K%18.3%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 20 | 136 | 566 | 111 | 26 | 10 | 80% | 5.5 | 14.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 3.56 | 4.21 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 20 | 136 | 566 | 111 | 26 | 10 | 80% | 5.5 | 19.6% | 4.6% | 15.0% | 1.8% | 3.56 | 3.00 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 39 | 172 | 52 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 16.1% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.43 | 4.79 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 39 | 172 | 52 | 23 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 30.2% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 3.43 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 52 | 196 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.87 | 2.66 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 0 | 52 | 196 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.5% | 8.7% | 16.8% | 0.0% | 0.87 | 2.15 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 27 | 0 | 31 | 140 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.2% | 18.9% | -2.7% | 3.4% | 5.58 | 6.00 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 54 | 32 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.69 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 101 | 436 | 82 | 56 | 11 | — | — | 18.9% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 4.96 | 5.09 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.3% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.31 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 55 | 31 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.67 | 4.69 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 54 | 30 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 61 | 0 | 64 | 270 | 51 | 29 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 4.67 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.79 | 4.85 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 107 | 0 | 112 | 474 | 90 | 51 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.73 | 4.40 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 91 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.73 | 4.40 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 130 | 20 | 258 | 1074 | 183 | 104 | 27 | 15% | 2.0 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 3.24 | 4.25 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 101 | 16 | 200 | 833 | 142 | 81 | 21 | 15% | 2.0 | 17.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 3.24 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Cleveland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 2.5% | — | 4.76 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 200 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 90 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.95 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.07 | 2.39 | 167 | 88 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.76 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .320 | 4.36 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.60 | 3.76 | 399 | 87 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.11 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 3.74 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.37 | 3.74 | 146 | 87 |
| Josh Zeid R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.21 | 16.6% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .302 | 5.16 | 16.9% | 5.7% | 194 | +0.95 | 4.21 | 265 | 86 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .266 | 4.15 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.27 | 3.73 | 154 | 86 |
| Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.56 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .311 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | -0.08 | 3.48 | 101 | 86 |
| Cody Hall R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.53 | 16.5% | 9.3% | 1.2% | .306 | 4.31 | 23.1% | 11.7% | 66 | +0.78 | 3.53 | 134 | 85 |
| Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.32 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 111 | 85 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 85 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 85 |
| Nefi Ogando R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.92 | 17.0% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .266 | 4.19 | 14.7% | 3.1% | 40 | +0.27 | 3.92 | 103 | 85 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 85 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .304 | 3.13 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 51 | -1.15 | 3.02 | 214 | 85 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.28 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.58 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.70 | 3.50 | 219 | 85 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.96 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.08 | 3.05 | 290 | 85 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 85 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 85 |
| Junior Lopez R 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.82 | 15.7% | 9.9% | 1.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 128 | 85 |
| Taylor Floyd R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 1.9% | .266 | 5.46 | 18.7% | 9.7% | 102 | +1.49 | 3.34 | 334 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 67 | 18.8% | 10.8% | 1.05 | 4.71 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |