Tyler Cleveland
P
Arkansas Travelers
+0.3
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
AA
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%11.6%
IP56
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
STUF4045
CMD4045
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | 25 | 20 | 136 | 566 | 111 | 26 | 10 | 14.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 3.56 | 3.95 | +2.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 37 | 0 | 39 | 172 | 52 | 23 | 5 | 22.5% | 16.1% | 3.2% | 3.43 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 41 | 0 | 52 | 196 | 50 | 17 | 0 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% | 0.87 | 2.66 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.64 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 20.3% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 60 | 258 | 51 | 28 | 7 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 4.85 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 55 | — | 55 | 234 | 48 | 24 | 6 | 20.6% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.44 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 48 | 23 | 6 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 4.46 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.48 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 52 | — | 52 | 219 | 45 | 22 | 6 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.53 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 50 | — | 50 | 211 | 43 | 22 | 6 | 20.4% | 10.3% | 2.9% | 4.59 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 41 | 21 | 6 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 46 | — | 46 | 193 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 19.8% | 10.7% | 3.0% | 4.76 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 19.5% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.86 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 41 | — | 41 | 173 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 19.1% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 38 | — | 38 | 162 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 18.6% | 11.3% | 3.4% | 5.10 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 106 | 20 | 232 | 956 | 163 | 82 | 21 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 3.06 | 3.93 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 91 | 17 | 200 | 824 | 141 | 71 | 18 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 3.06 | 3.93 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Cleveland (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 20.3% | 10.2% | 2.5% | — | 4.47 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 163 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .303 | 4.06 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 143 | +0.23 | 3.05 | 290 | 92 |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 90 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 90 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 90 |
| Carlos Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.79 | 18.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .266 | 4.46 | 14.3% | 2.3% | 36 | +0.67 | 3.75 | 154 | 89 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 89 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.38 | 19.1% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .279 | 4.03 | 21.5% | 10.2% | 92 | +0.65 | 2.43 | 225 | 89 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 88 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .318 | 3.29 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.61 | 2.45 | 362 | 88 |
| Cole Johnson R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.51 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.5% | .311 | 3.64 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | +0.13 | 3.51 | 101 | 88 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 88 |
| Tyler Myrick R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.74 | 20.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .307 | 5.33 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 59 | +1.59 | 3.36 | 204 | 88 |
| Héctor Neris R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.97 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 2.5% | .298 | 3.00 | 31.5% | 23.7% | 221 | -0.97 | 1.99 | 682 | 88 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.99 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 199 | 87 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.76 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 117 | 87 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 87 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.32 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 159 | 86 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.58 | 17.4% | 10.0% | 1.3% | .317 | 3.06 | 17.5% | 13.1% | 49 | -0.52 | 3.06 | 137 | 86 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.