Tyler Cleveland — OGILVIE

Tyler Cleveland P Arkansas Travelers

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION60 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 105

ERA4.65

FIP4.65

K%18.3%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%7.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 66 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4045

CTRL—50

CMD4045

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	25	20	136	566	111	26	10	80%	5.5	14.5%	5.4%	9.1%	2.6%	3.56	3.99	—
2023	23	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	25	20	136	566	111	26	10	80%	5.5	14.5%	5.4%	9.1%	2.6%	3.56	3.99	—
2023	23	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	25	20	136	566	111	26	10	80%	5.5	19.6%	4.6%	15.0%	1.8%	3.56	3.00	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	39	172	52	23	5	0%	1.1	22.5%	16.1%	6.4%	3.2%	3.43	5.02	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	39	172	52	23	5	0%	1.1	22.5%	16.1%	6.4%	3.2%	3.43	5.02	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	39	172	52	23	5	0%	1.1	30.2%	13.4%	16.9%	2.9%	3.43	3.86	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	52	196	50	17	0	0%	1.3	19.9%	9.8%	10.1%	0.0%	0.87	2.66	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	52	196	50	17	0	0%	1.3	19.9%	9.8%	10.1%	0.0%	0.87	2.66	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	52	196	50	17	0	0%	1.3	25.5%	8.7%	16.8%	0.0%	0.87	2.15	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	46	0	60	272	53	36	8	0%	1.3	15.8%	14.6%	1.2%	3.5%	4.83	5.55	—
YTD	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	46	0	60	272	53	36	8	0%	1.3	15.8%	14.6%	1.2%	3.5%	4.83	5.55	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	SEA	46	0	60	272	53	36	8	0%	1.3	19.5%	13.2%	6.2%	2.9%	4.83	4.75	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	5	3	1	0%	1.0	18.3%	10.4%	7.9%	2.5%	4.65	4.65	-0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	66	297	58	39	9	—	—	19.4%	13.0%	6.4%	2.9%	4.81	5.47	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	66	0	69	291	55	30	8	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.64	4.65	-0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	64	0	67	282	54	29	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.4%	8.6%	2.8%	4.67	4.71	-0.1
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	61	0	64	270	51	29	8	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.6%	8.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.82	-0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	21	11	3	0%	1.0	18.8%	10.4%	8.5%	2.6%	4.64	4.65	-0.0
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	38	0	40	169	32	18	5	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.4%	8.6%	2.8%	4.67	4.71	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	43	0	45	190	36	20	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.6%	8.4%	2.9%	4.75	4.82	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	469	89	49	13	0%	1.0	19.0%	10.5%	8.5%	2.8%	4.70	4.36	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	88	23	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.5%	8.5%	2.8%	4.70	4.36	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		149	20	287	1206	203	117	30	13%	1.9	16.8%	9.7%	7.1%	2.5%	3.32	4.27	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		104	14	200	840	141	82	21	13%	1.9	16.8%	9.7%	7.1%	2.5%	3.32	4.27	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Cleveland (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	18.3%	10.4%	2.5%	—	4.72	19.0%	8.5%	200	+0.07	—	—	—
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	90
Logan Bawcom R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	26	SU	3.85	15.8%	9.1%	1.7%	.320	4.35	15.9%	6.2%	259	+0.50	3.73	399	89
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	88
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	88
Gonzalez Germen R 2015 · 4.24 FIP	27	SU	4.24	18.0%	12.5%	1.9%	.296	3.88	19.2%	8.3%	54	-0.36	3.70	146	87
Carlos Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.2%	8.7%	2.0%	.266	4.37	14.3%	2.3%	36	+0.59	3.75	154	87
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	87
Cody Hall R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	27	SU	3.51	16.5%	9.3%	1.1%	.306	4.08	23.1%	11.7%	66	+0.57	3.51	134	86
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	86
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	86
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	86
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	86
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	299	86
Junior Lopez R 2016 · 3.89 FIP	25	SU	3.89	15.7%	9.9%	1.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	128	86
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	85
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	85
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	85
Kyle Martin R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	18.3%	10.0%	2.9%	.304	3.22	23.0%	10.0%	51	-1.19	3.01	214	85
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	85
Héctor Neris R 2015 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.9%	10.0%	2.5%	.298	3.03	31.5%	23.7%	221	-0.97	2.03	682	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	18.8%	10.4%	1.05	4.68
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58