Caden Connor

LF Charlotte Knights

Age 26 L/L 6'0" / 200 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AACWS	390	.266/.348/.363	4	10	81	—	.252/.306/.342
2025	24	INTLGlendale Dese…	83	.359/.500/.391	0	8	164	—
2026	25	AAACWS	399	.258/.333/.365	6	15	68	—	.234/.290/.316
2026	25	AACWS	46	.244/.311/.366	1	0	56	—	.214/.267/.333
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBCWS	25	.247/.304/.340	0	1	82	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	27	MLBCWS	104	.246/.304/.341	1	2	82	-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	28	MLBCWS	153	.244/.302/.340	2	3	81	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Whiff%85

K%82

Z-Con%72

Speed61

Max EV50

BB%37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsDrew Heid (age 26) · Kevin Kaczmarski (age 26) · Jordan Smith (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .304 / .340

PA25

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP301

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	22	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	36	28	4	1	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	143	314	179	493	36	190	22	19	247	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	176	160	43	9	1	3	16	31	0	1	0	269	335	394	729	125	317	18	9	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	356	300	92	24	2	4	42	61	5	6	1	307	401	440	841	133	361	17	12	369	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	45	39	13	0	0	1	5	10	1	1	2	333	422	410	832	77	429	22	11	381	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	390	342	91	19	1	4	43	59	0	10	1	266	348	363	711	96	309	15	11	320	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	81	64	17	0	0	2	12	12	2	2	0	266	397	359	757	94	283	15	15	340	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	83	64	23	2	0	0	18	9	0	8	0	359	500	391	891	31	411	11	22	411	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	399	353	91	18	1	6	37	64	3	15	7	258	333	365	699	108	294	16	9	313	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	46	41	10	2	0	1	4	10	0	0	0	244	311	366	677	122	290	22	9	299	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	31	3	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	97	200	129	329	32	149	33	11	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	176	166	35	6	1	3	10	43	0	1	0	211	256	313	569	102	268	24	6	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	356	312	82	19	2	4	30	84	5	6	1	263	337	375	712	112	318	24	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	45	40	12	0	0	1	4	12	1	1	2	300	378	375	753	75	404	27	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	390	357	90	18	1	4	28	71	0	10	1	252	306	342	648	90	299	18	7	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	81	69	17	0	0	2	7	16	2	2	0	246	333	333	667	87	261	20	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	399	364	85	16	1	4	26	77	3	15	7	234	290	316	606	82	272	19	7	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	46	42	9	2	0	1	3	12	0	0	0	214	267	333	600	119	262	26	7	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	31	3	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	97	200	129	329	32	150	33	11	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	36	28	4	1	0	0	7	8	0	0	0	143	314	179	493	36	190	22	19	247	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	532	479	117	25	2	7	39	126	5	7	1	244	308	349	656	104	310	24	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	532	460	135	33	3	7	58	92	5	7	1	293	379	424	802	130	346	17	11	356	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	599	541	139	21	1	8	46	115	3	21	3	257	319	344	662	87	308	19	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	4 teams	—	599	509	144	21	1	7	78	90	3	21	3	283	381	369	751	86	327	15	13	340	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	445	406	93	17	1	5	29	89	3	15	7	229	285	313	598	84	276	20	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	445	394	101	20	1	7	41	74	3	15	7	256	331	365	697	109	294	17	9	312	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	36	32	3	1	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	94	200	125	325	31	149	33	11	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	532	483	117	25	2	7	39	126	5	7	1	242	308	346	654	104	301	24	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	599	545	139	21	1	8	46	115	3	21	3	255	319	341	660	86	302	19	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	445	410	93	17	1	5	29	89	3	15	7	227	285	310	595	83	271	20	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	532	483	117	25	2	7	39	126	5	7	1	242	308	346	654	104	301	24	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	4 teams	—	599	545	139	21	1	8	46	115	3	21	3	255	319	341	660	86	302	19	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	445	410	93	17	1	5	29	89	3	15	7	227	285	310	595	83	271	20	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	10%	380	349	86	16	1	5	26	77	2	9	3	246	303	339	642	93	300	20	7	289	82	-8	+1	+0	-4	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	25	23	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	1	0	247	304	340	644	94	301	20	8	290	82	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	31%	336	307	75	14	1	4	24	69	2	7	3	245	303	339	642	94	299	21	7	290	82	-7	+0	+0	-4	+7	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	CWS	42%	364	333	81	15	1	5	26	75	2	7	3	243	302	338	640	95	298	21	7	289	81	-8	+0	-1	-4	+8	-0.5
2030	29	MLB MLE	CWS	46%	373	341	82	15	1	5	27	79	2	5	3	241	300	335	635	94	296	21	7	287	80	-9	-0	-1	-4	+8	-0.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	31%	104	95	22	4	0	1	7	21	1	2	1	246	304	341	645	96	300	20	7	291	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	CWS	42%	153	140	33	6	0	2	11	32	1	3	1	244	302	340	643	96	299	21	7	290	81	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	CWS	46%	172	157	37	7	0	2	12	36	1	2	1	242	301	337	638	96	297	21	7	288	80	-4	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	429	392	92	17	0	5	30	89	3	7	3	235	294	316	610	82	289	21	7	289	79	-10	+0	-1	-5	+9	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	140	26	0	8	45	135	5	11	5	236	295	320	615	84	289	21	7	289	79	-15	+0	-1	-7	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2935	2668	646	118	8	37	212	615	18	68	22	242	302	334	636	92	298	21	7	285	79	-29	+1	-2	-14	+29	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	143	26	2	8	47	136	4	15	5	242	302	333	636	91	297	21	7	285	79	-14	+0	-1	-7	+14	-0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Nate Schierholtzlast yr '14 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,275 PA	3.4	2,275	52	30	253	302	405	-24	-6	2.0	2.8
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-1.8	0.6	pk7: 4
#2Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#3So Taguchi'02-'09 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,524 PA	2.3	1,524	19	39	268*	320*	372*	-8	-8	0.9	1.2
/162	664	8	17	-3.7	-3.3	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Alex Presley'10-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,502 PA	2.3	1,502	29	30	265*	309*	397*	-12	-10	0.6	0.9
/162	664	13	13	-5.3	-4.6	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Eric Owens'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,576 PA	3.9	2,576	26	126	253*	303*	334*	-18	+1	-0.9	0.4
/162	664	7	32	-4.5	+0.2	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	454	6	8	244	299	339	-3	+0	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	9	12	-4.2	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 0
#6Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Caden Connor (OGILVIE)	26	55	35	50	50	244/301/336	92	300	3	6	20%	7%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Heid 2014 · AAA	26	51→57	41→40	46→50	49	242/305/341	100	307	8	12	23%	8%	84	+0.2	225/279/311	86	284	5	10	21%	7%	68	-1.0	228/275/293	65	282	3	9	19%	6%	59	-1.1
✕Kevin Kaczmarski 2018 · AA	26	53→56	38→40	50	48	248/307/336	88	308	4	12	20%	7%	83	+0.1	236/301/314	78	319	4	11	25%	8%	76	-0.4	233/302/293	60	333	2	10	28%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Jordan Smith 2016 · AA	26	50→58	38→40	49→50	46	237/287/322	85	294	5	12	21%	6%	73	-0.6	219/269/310	91	286	7	14	24%	6%	63	-1.3	209/259/297	87	275	7	15	25%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Luis Barrera 2022 · AAA	26	49→56	41→45	55→50	45	233/281/341	108	292	7	14	22%	6%	75	-0.5	230/283/351	121	290	9	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	228/281/356	128	286	9	15	23%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Alan Sanchez 2015 · AAA	26	57→58	38→40	48→50	43	271/309/354	83	336	5	12	21%	5%	88	+0.4	260/298/337	77	321	4	12	19%	5%	80	-0.2	266/301/333	67	323	3	12	18%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Darius Hill 2024 · AAA	26	54→60	40	47→45	45	256/298/355	99	305	6	6	18%	5%	84	+0.2	225/275/315	90	290	5	6	23%	6%	67	-1.1	213/264/290	77	280	4	3	24%	6%	55	-1.0
✕Max Schrock 2021 · MLB	26	47→57	40	50	48	226/282/322	96	268	7	15	18%	7%	72	-0.7	240/284/360	120	288	12	7	21%	5%	81	-0.1	243/286/358	115	286	12	3	19%	5%	79	-0.1
✕James Rapoport 2011 · AAA	26	52→55	37→40	49→55	50	245/304/320	74	291	4	11	17%	7%	78	-0.3	230/302/298	68	268	5	9	15%	9%	74	-0.6	216/301/254	38	247	3	7	13%	9%	61	-1.2
✕Ben Copeland 2010 · AAA	26	49→53	42→45	54→55	46	237/286/347	109	286	8	17	20%	6%	78	-0.3	230/280/338	108	288	8	21	22%	7%	74	-0.5	221/274/326	105	279	7	24	22%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Ryan Lollis 2013 · AAA	26	53→60	40	44→45	47	254/301/352	98	307	6	7	19%	6%	84	+0.2	245/292/338	93	284	7	7	16%	6%	78	-0.3	249/296/338	89	284	7	7	14%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Francisco Ferreiro 2019 · AAA	25	47→55	41→40	46→45	44	227/275/332	105	282	8	11	22%	6%	71	-0.8	245/289/342	97	316	6	8	23%	6%	78	-0.3	258/298/345	87	333	3	5	22%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Alec Keller 2018 · AA	26	52→55	37→40	51→50	41	244/280/319	76	312	4	10	23%	4%	69	-0.9	262/300/343	81	323	5	9	19%	5%	82	-0.0	282/318/358	76	340	4	8	18%	4%	90	+0.4
✕Todd Cunningham 2015 · AAA	26	53→59	39→40	52→55	45	252/300/340	88	296	6	19	17%	5%	82	-0.0	237/299/321	84	280	6	17	17%	6%	78	-0.3	232/304/310	78	275	5	17	16%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Oscar Castaneda 2009 · AAA	26	50	39→40	50→55	44	238/295/319	81	293	6	13	20%	6%	76	-0.4	222/291/314	92	284	7	11	23%	7%	74	-0.6	188/276/245	56	250	0	8	22%	9%	49	-0.5
✕Chris Frey 2010 · AAA	26	51→57	38→40	55→50	44	244/280/328	85	287	5	16	17%	4%	71	-0.8	228/274/325	97	283	7	14	21%	5%	69	-0.9	221/271/296	75	283	1	12	21%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Charlie Tilson 2019 · MLB	26	50→60	36→40	51→55	45	235/281/301	65	291	3	15	20%	6%	65	-1.2	235/284/315	80	302	5	15	22%	5%	70	-0.8	243/292/324	80	317	3	17	23%	5%	73	-0.4
✕BJ Boyd 2018 · AAA	25	54→57	39→45	50	43	259/297/350	91	312	6	11	19%	5%	82	+0.0	247/289/330	83	307	5	10	20%	5%	75	-0.5	259/306/366	107	315	10	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Sebastien Boucher 2008 · AAA	26	50→60	37→40	51→55	49	233/301/305	72	303	4	20	23%	8%	74	-0.5	232/295/342	110	311	10	13	27%	7%	81	-0.1	239/301/367	129	322	12	10	28%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Danry Vasquez 2019 · AA	25	48→55	42→40	49→45	48	234/286/342	108	269	9	13	17%	6%	78	-0.3	234/293/386	152	285	18	19	24%	7%	91	+0.6	225/286/400	174	252	23	34	21%	8%	88	+0.1
✕Clay Timpner 2009 · AAA	26	50→58	38→40	46→50	45	239/280/316	77	282	5	13	18%	5%	68	-1.0	230/275/316	86	270	7	9	17%	5%	67	-1.1	233/277/316	83	270	6	6	16%	5%	65	-0.9

Caden Connor

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps