Hoss Brewer P Brooklyn Cyclones
Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 39 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114104vR 95
ERA4.15
FIP4.15
K%22.0%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP39
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 72 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -3.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-3CONTACTSTAM: +5.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: +0.11 (72 IP)+0.1WAR
0.20.22627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202423ASt. Lucie Mets10261000%2.016.7%0.0%16.7%0.0%0.001.69
202423ASt. Lucie Mets10261000%2.016.7%0.0%16.7%0.0%0.002.10
202524MIX2 levels40156228581312%1.419.1%6.6%12.5%0.5%2.092.59
202524MIX2 levels40156228581312%1.425.4%5.7%19.7%0.4%2.091.96
▸ 2026 Season
202625A+Brooklyn Cyclones28133153351554%1.217.6%11.3%6.3%4.1%4.365.28-0.3
ROS25MLBNYM37039166361440%1.122.0%8.5%13.5%2.7%4.154.15+0.2
ROS25MLBNYM022.0%8.5%13.5%2.7%4.154.15
2026 TOT25MLBNYM723197129922.4%9.1%13.3%2.9%4.254.67+0.1
2026 FULL25MLBNYM0100022.0%8.5%13.5%2.7%4.153.77+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBNYM37039166371440%1.122.3%8.5%13.8%2.7%4.154.15+0.2
202726MLBNYM160177216620%1.122.3%8.5%13.8%2.7%4.154.15+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career160177216620%1.122.3%8.5%13.8%2.7%4.153.77+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084418870230%1.122.3%8.5%13.8%2.7%4.153.77+3.8
Career69291387723273%1.318.5%8.4%10.1%1.9%2.873.64+1.7
/ 200 IP152420085115771163%1.318.5%8.4%10.1%1.9%2.873.64+4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Hoss Brewer (OGILVIE) 4.15 22.0%8.5%2.7% 4.15 22.3%13.8%39 +0.00
Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP 26 SU 3.80 22.0%7.5%2.9%.333 4.41 18.1%6.6%151 +0.61 3.74 185 91
Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 25 SU 4.12 19.1%8.1%2.9%.275 4.62 20.2%10.4%118 +0.50 4.12 230 90
Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 23.4%10.1%2.1%.267 3.70 27.2%19.2%59 +0.16 3.54 103 90
Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 25 SU 3.55 22.2%7.6%2.5%.313 3.38 23.4%12.8%93 -0.17 2.88 312 90
Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP 25 SU 3.74 22.4%10.2%2.3%.330 4.97 16.5%3.9%101 +1.23 3.74 140 90
Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.18 FIP 25 SU 3.18 23.6%8.3%1.8%.257 5.16 23.6%12.0%44 +1.98 3.18 117 89
Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.28 FIP 25 SU 3.28 19.4%7.4%1.6%.312 3.96 20.7%7.8%65 +0.68 3.28 113 87
Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP 24 SU 3.26 22.0%8.0%1.8%.263 4.49 23.2%14.6%72 +1.23 3.26 139 87
Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 25 SU 3.57 23.7%10.1%2.2%.284 3.71 20.3%12.4%167 +0.14 3.05 290 87
Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 25 SU 3.24 22.1%7.8%1.8%.274 4.67 24.1%8.8%38 +1.43 3.24 172 87
Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 25 SU 3.94 22.6%10.5%2.6%.336 2.17 116 87
Jhan Mariñez R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 26 SU 3.46 23.1%9.3%2.1%.244 3.76 18.9%11.1%168 +0.30 3.23 253 87
Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 86
Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP 25 SU 3.88 25.6%8.0%3.5%.299 5.10 22.4%6.5%121 +1.22 3.88 158 86
Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 25 SU 3.70 21.9%10.3%2.1%.291 3.67 18.9%6.4%50 -0.03 3.17 153 86
Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 25 SU 4.36 21.7%10.1%3.3%.311 5.39 24.0%10.9%22 +1.03 4.36 152 86
Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP 25 SU 3.43 24.1%7.4%2.6%.257 2.89 20.7%13.6%124 -0.54 2.31 225 86
Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.33 FIP 25 SU 3.33 19.6%7.7%1.7%.293 4.70 17.7%7.8%115 +1.37 3.33 258 86
Colton Hock R 2026 · 3.80 FIP 25 SU 3.80 21.3%7.2%2.9%.304 3.77 17.7%11.7%60 -0.03 3.41 253 86
Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 25 SU 3.53 26.4%10.9%2.3%.301 4.31 28.4%19.1%97 +0.78 3.48 138 86

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23922.1%8.5%1.034.15
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Trevor Gott ('23)45122.0%7.4%0.793.97
Zach McAllister ('18)45724.8%7.9%1.143.63
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85