Rob Hensey

P Quad Cities River Bandits

Age 27 LHP 6'4" / 220 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	22	ROKCIN	2	0	2	0.00	0.10	37.5%	0.0%	—	K 37.5% · BB 0.0% · FIP -0.07
2023	23	MIX2 levels	14	3	34	6.42	3.75	26.5%	14.2%	—	K 18.6% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.91
2026	26	A+KC	7	0	21	3.43	3.10	18.4%	12.2%	—	K 14.1% · BB 14.1% · FIP 3.69
2027PROJ	27	MLBKC	11	0	12	5.03	5.03	18.4%	12.5%	-0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	28	MLBKC	7	0	7	5.01	5.04	18.8%	12.3%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJohn Bale (age 27) · Greg Nappo (age 27) · Matt Thornton (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112121vR 129

ERA5.03

FIP5.03

K%18.4%

BB%12.5%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	2	0	2	8	3	0	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	0.0%	37.5%	0.0%	0.00	-0.07	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	2	0	2	8	3	0	0	0%	1.0	37.5%	0.0%	37.5%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	3	34	162	43	23	3	21%	2.4	18.6%	15.3%	3.4%	2.6%	6.42	4.91	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	3	34	162	43	23	3	21%	2.4	26.5%	14.2%	12.3%	1.9%	6.42	3.75	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	7	0	21	98	18	12	0	0%	3.0	14.1%	14.1%	0.1%	0.0%	3.43	3.69	—
2026	26	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	7	0	21	98	18	12	0	0%	3.0	14.1%	14.1%	0.1%	0.0%	3.43	3.69	—
2026	26	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	7	0	21	98	18	12	0	0%	3.0	18.4%	12.2%	6.1%	0.0%	3.43	3.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	KC	11	0	12	51	9	6	1	0%	1.1	18.4%	12.5%	5.9%	2.8%	5.03	5.03	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	19	0	20	84	16	10	2	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.3%	6.5%	2.9%	5.01	5.04	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.3%	6.5%	2.9%	5.01	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	12.3%	6.5%	2.9%	5.01	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	109	27	0%	1.1	18.8%	12.3%	6.5%	2.9%	5.01	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		23	3	57	268	47	39	4	13%	2.5	17.6%	14.4%	3.2%	1.6%	5.08	4.32	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	11	200	946	166	136	15	13%	2.5	17.6%	14.4%	3.2%	1.6%	5.08	4.32	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rob Hensey (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.03	18.4%	12.5%	2.8%	—	5.04	18.8%	6.5%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	79
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	78
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	77
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	75
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	74
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	74
Dan Meyer L 2008 · 5.66 FIP	27	SW	5.66	15.2%	10.6%	4.5%	.315	3.73	23.1%	15.2%	58	-1.93	3.73	112	73
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	73
Mike Gosling L 2007 · 4.67 FIP	26	SU	4.67	19.5%	12.2%	3.0%	.346	5.66	11.4%	2.6%	25	+0.99	4.44	116	73
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	72
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	72
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	427	72
Russell Smith L 2024 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	19.0%	13.9%	1.4%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	175	72
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	72
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	72
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	71
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	71
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	70
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	70
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.36 FIP	27	SU	4.36	19.3%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	70