Tyler Bradt

P Springfield Cardinals

Age 26 RHP 5'9" / 196 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+STL	37	0	60	3.92	2.35	29.1%	11.5%	—	K 22.4% · BB 13.2% · FIP 3.16
2025	24	MIX2 levels	37	3	63	2.98	3.95	24.3%	16.4%	—	K 19.0% · BB 18.7% · FIP 4.94
2026	25	MIX3 levels	12	0	13	9.24	6.73	13.6%	25.8%	—	K 8.8% · BB 30.0% · FIP 7.35
2027PROJ	26	MLBSTL	57	0	60	6.11	6.11	16.8%	20.0%	-1.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBSTL	21	0	22	5.96	5.97	17.4%	19.0%	-0.3
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBSTL	32	0	34	5.90	5.93	17.7%	18.4%	-0.5

Next 3 projected WAR -1.9Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control20Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTrey Haley (age 26) · Mike Hepple (age 26) · Luis García (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.11

FIP6.11

K%16.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	11	0	12	60	8	14	2	0%	1.1	9.9%	27.5%	-17.7%	4.3%	6.17	8.11	—
2023	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	11	0	12	60	8	14	2	0%	1.1	13.3%	23.3%	-10.0%	3.3%	6.17	7.56	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	37	0	60	244	71	28	1	0%	1.6	22.4%	13.2%	9.2%	0.5%	3.92	3.16	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	37	0	60	244	71	28	1	0%	1.6	22.4%	13.2%	9.2%	0.5%	3.92	3.16	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	37	0	60	244	71	28	1	0%	1.6	29.1%	11.5%	17.6%	0.4%	3.92	2.35	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	63	280	68	46	4	8%	1.7	19.0%	18.7%	0.3%	1.9%	2.98	4.94	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	63	280	68	46	4	8%	1.7	19.0%	18.7%	0.3%	1.9%	2.98	4.94	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	3	63	280	68	46	4	8%	1.7	24.3%	16.4%	7.9%	1.4%	2.98	3.95	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	13	66	9	17	1	0%	1.1	8.8%	30.0%	-21.2%	2.2%	9.24	7.35	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	13	66	9	17	1	0%	1.1	8.8%	30.0%	-21.2%	2.2%	9.24	7.35	—
2026	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	0	13	66	9	17	1	0%	1.1	13.6%	25.8%	-12.1%	1.5%	9.24	6.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	STL	57	0	60	253	42	51	7	0%	1.1	16.8%	20.0%	-3.2%	2.8%	6.11	6.11	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	56	0	59	247	43	47	7	0%	1.0	17.4%	19.0%	-1.6%	2.8%	5.96	5.97	-0.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	54	0	57	240	43	44	7	0%	1.1	17.7%	18.4%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.90	5.93	-0.8
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	21	0	22	93	16	18	3	0%	1.0	17.4%	19.0%	-1.6%	2.8%	5.96	5.97	-0.3
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	32	0	34	144	25	26	4	0%	1.1	17.7%	18.4%	-0.7%	2.9%	5.90	5.93	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	236	42	44	7	0%	1.1	17.6%	18.6%	-1.0%	2.9%	5.92	5.57	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	158	25	0%	1.1	17.6%	18.6%	-1.0%	2.9%	5.92	5.57	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		97	3	147	650	120	121	11	3%	1.5	18.4%	18.6%	-0.2%	1.7%	4.15	4.81	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	4	200	882	162	164	15	3%	1.5	18.4%	18.6%	-0.2%	1.7%	4.15	4.81	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Bradt (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.11	16.8%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.95	17.6%	-1.1%	115	-0.16	—	—	—
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	87
Mike Hepple R 2016 · 5.75 FIP	26	SU	5.75	11.1%	18.5%	2.3%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	116	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	83
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	83
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Jeff Soptic R 2016 · 5.52 FIP	25	SU	5.52	13.6%	15.3%	3.0%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	5.30	124	82
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	82
Jake Gozzo R 2023 · 5.04 FIP	26	SU	5.04	16.2%	17.6%	2.0%	.227	4.32	15.6%	-1.3%	32	-0.72	4.32	162	82
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	81
Mitchell Osnowitz R 2017 · 5.30 FIP	26	SU	5.30	16.5%	18.7%	2.2%	.366	5.43	19.2%	7.7%	42	+0.13	4.54	132	80
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	79
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	79
Jake Haberer R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	26	SU	6.54	13.4%	17.5%	4.3%	.287	5.15	19.6%	4.0%	106	-1.39	3.46	183	79
Wandi Montout R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	25	SU	5.59	13.4%	18.7%	2.3%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	103	79
Jairo Beras R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	24	SU	5.47	15.0%	20.3%	1.9%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	110	79
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	78
Leandro Linares R 2018 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	16.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	1.93	134	78
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	78
Ryan Sublette R 2024 · 5.72 FIP	25	SU	5.72	19.9%	17.5%	3.8%	.214	4.47	18.6%	5.0%	53	-1.25	3.74	203	78
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	17.3%	19.2%	1.10	5.99
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*