Christian Martin

SS Peoria Chiefs
Age 24 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202421ASTL96.206/.432/.2210567—.187/.358/.200
202522A+/A/ROKSTL389.252/.359/.32822259—.214/.298/.281
202623A+/ASTL202.213/.355/.28001044—.172/.280/.224
2027PROJMLE24MLBSTL252.171/.260/.2301643-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB25MLBSTL41.179/.267/.2520150-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Z-Con%74
Chase%69
Whiff%60
Speed54
BB%53
wOBA25
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsCarlos Sepulveda (age 24) · Tyler Sullivan (age 24) · Alvaro Rondon (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 94 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .258 / .228
PA94
HR0
K%29
BB%9
ISO58
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202421 APalm Beach Cardinals — 9668 14100 24133 50 206432221652 15255 1425 333 67 — — — — — —
202522 A+Peoria Chiefs — 3024 4000 481 11 167310167477 235 2713 238 19 — — — — — —
202522 APalm Beach Cardinals — 337288 751612 38564 206 260353344697 83311 1711 316 62 — — — — — —
202522 ROKFCL Cardinals — 2214 3100 434 10 214500286786 71273 1418 401 76 — — — — — —
202623 A+Peoria Chiefs — 118100 23500 14353 63 230342280622 50354 3012 294 39 — — — — — —
202623 APalm Beach Cardinals — 8464 12410 1980 43 188373281655 94211 1023 314 52 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9675 14100 17183 50 187358200558 13233 1918 267 67 — — — — — —
202522 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 3025 4000 3111 11 160276160436 217 3710 196 19 — — — — — —
202522 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 337300 661412 27764 206 220293293586 73274 238 260 62 — — — — — —
202522 ROK MLEFCL Cardinals — 2216 3100 244 10 188409250659 62203 189 281 76 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 118104 19400 10443 63 183274221495 38311 378 226 39 — — — — — —
202623 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 8470 11310 13110 43 157289229518 71176 1315 245 52 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9675 14100 17183 50 187358200558 13246 1918 267 67 — — — — — —
202421 A RAWPalm Beach Cardinals — 9668 14100 24133 50 206432221652 15255 1425 333 67 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE3 teams — 389341 731512 32919 227 214298282580 67280 238 256 60 — — — — — —
202522 A RAW3 teams — 389326 821712 46679 227 252359328687 77304 1712 315 60 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 202174 30710 23553 106 172280224504 52250 2711 234 44 — — — — — —
202623 A+ RAW2 teams — 202164 35910 33433 106 213355280635 67287 2116 302 44 — — — — — —
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9676 14100 17183 50 184358197555 13233 1918 267 67 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE3 teams — 389345 731512 32919 227 212298278577 67266 238 256 60 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 202174 30710 23553 106 172280224504 52255 2711 234 44 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202421 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 9676 14100 17183 50 184358197555 13233 1918 267 67 — — — — — —
202522 A MLE3 teams — 389345 731512 32919 227 212298278577 67266 238 256 60 — — — — — —
202623 A+ MLE2 teams — 202174 30710 23553 106 172280224504 52255 2711 234 44 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202724 MLB MLESTL 0% 252224 38811 23743 62 171260230489 58247 299 231 43 -17 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202825 MLB MLESTL 30% 135119 20401 13392 31 178266252518 74250 2910 242 50 -8 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.4
202825 MLB CTXSTL 30% 4136 6100 4121 10 179267252519 73253 2910 243 50 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4136 6100 4121 10 167268194463 28250 2910 243 54 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 951600 6319016 160 166268194462 28249 2910 243 54 -39 +3 +0 +7 +14 -1.5
Career— MLE — 916793 1513023 9423018 4215 190291245535 54261 2510 248 54 -14 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650563 1062112 6716313 3011 188290240530 52257 2510 248 54 -41 +1 +0 +7 +14 -2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Peoria Chiefs · 118 PAwOBA .287 → .226 (−61)K% 29.7% → 37.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.66%÷1.000×1.270——37.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.86%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9988.41%
HBP% /PA2.54%—×0.790—×0.9982.00%
Singles /BIP27.69%÷1.000×0.920×0.983×0.99825.00%
Doubles /BIP7.69%÷1.000×0.810×0.983×0.9986.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×0.983×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9980.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.

Result: wOBA .287 → .226; ISO .050 → .037; BABIP .354 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 APalm Beach Cardinals · 84 PAwOBA .311 → .245 (−67)K% 9.5% → 13.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.52%÷1.000×1.360——12.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.62%÷1.000×0.690—×0.99015.45%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×0.9900.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.99010.82%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×0.9905.58%
Triples /BIP1.79%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×0.9901.53%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9900.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .311 → .245; ISO .094 → .081; BABIP .211 → .176. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 APalm Beach Cardinals · 337 PAwOBA .313 → .260 (−53)K% 16.6% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.62%÷1.000×1.360——22.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.28%÷0.988×0.690——7.87%
HBP% /PA1.19%—×0.780——0.93%
Singles /BIP24.14%÷0.995×0.920×0.953—21.29%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷0.896×0.830×0.953—6.09%
Triples /BIP0.43%÷0.900×0.910×0.953—0.42%
Home runs /BIP0.86%÷0.973×0.800——0.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 79, 3B 80, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .313 → .260; ISO .083 → .073; BABIP .311 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Peoria Chiefs · 30 PAwOBA .241 → .196 (−45)K% 26.7% → 35.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷0.951×1.270——35.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.33%÷1.027×0.710—×1.0129.33%
HBP% /PA3.33%—×0.790—×1.0122.66%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.010×0.920—×1.01223.04%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.083×0.810—×1.0120.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.850—×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.857×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 102, 2B 117, 3B 85, K 90, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .241 → .196; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .235 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Cardinals · 22 PAwOBA .393 → .281 (−112)K% 13.6% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.64%÷0.996×1.440——19.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.18%÷1.011×0.620—×0.97510.87%
HBP% /PA18.18%—×0.720—×0.97512.76%
Singles /BIP18.18%÷1.030×0.820—×0.97514.11%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.035×0.720—×0.9756.17%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9750.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.149×0.780—×0.9750.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 100, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .393 → .281; ISO .071 → .055; BABIP .273 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 APalm Beach Cardinals · 96 PAwOBA .327 → .267 (−60)K% 13.5% → 19.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.54%÷0.968×1.360——19.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.00%÷0.999×0.690—×1.01517.52%
HBP% /PA3.12%—×0.780—×1.0152.47%
Singles /BIP23.64%÷1.040×0.920×1.034×1.01521.95%
Doubles /BIP1.82%÷1.153×0.830×1.034×1.0151.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.946×0.910×1.034×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.036×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 108, 2B 131, 3B 89, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .327 → .267; ISO .015 → .012; BABIP .255 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).