Christian MartinSS Peoria Chiefs
Age 23 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION202 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .277 / .263
PA134
HR1
K%29
BB%10
BABIP254
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -23.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-23BATRUN: -0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +9.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -1.10-1.1WAR
0.00.51.00.00.0-$2M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 APalm Beach Cardinals 9674 13100 18203 50 176358189547 14241 2119 266 62
202421 APalm Beach Cardinals 9668 14100 24133 50 206432221652 15255 1425 333 113
202522 A3 teams 389339 751912 34969 227 221309301610 80296 259 272 66
202522 A3 teams 389326 821712 46679 227 252359328687 77304 1712 315 99
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 A+STL 202173 29710 24593 106 168280220500 52252 2912 236 39 -14 -0 +0 +2 +6 -0.7
YTD23 A+STL 202164 35910 33433 106 213355280635 67287 2116 302 89 -2 -0 +0 +2 +6 0.5
ROS23 A+STL 0% 134117 21511 14392 42 178277263540 85244 2910 237 39 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.4
ROS23 MLBSTL 0% 11 0000 000 00 244 00 226 31 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 A+STL 203174 29710 24593 106 167279218497 52250 2912 236 39 -14 -0 +0 +2 +6 -0.7
TOT23 A+STL 336290 501221 38985 148 172279237516 65253 2911 236 39 -23 -0 +0 +4 +10 -1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSTL 30% 416364 671524 431166 114 184281269550 85250 2810 253 51 -23 +1 +0 +4 +12 -0.6
202825 MLBSTL 44% 456400 751626 471256 125 188283282565 95254 2710 263 59 -21 +0 +0 +5 +13 -0.3
202926 MLBSTL 51% 480422 821728 491306 125 194287301588 107256 2710 269 64 -20 +0 +0 +5 +14 -0.1
203027 MLBSTL 52% 489429 841828 501327 125 196290303593 107257 2710 270 65 -19 +0 +0 +5 +14 0.0
203128 MLBSTL 53% 491430 841828 511337 125 195291302593 107257 2710 269 64 -20 +0 -1 +5 +14 -0.1
202724 MLBSTL 30% 126110 19401 13352 31 173272236508 64250 2810 242 44 -8 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.3
202825 MLBSTL 44% 202176 34713 21553 52 193290295585 102254 2710 253 52 -11 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.3
202926 MLBSTL 51% 244214 42914 25663 63 196289304593 107256 2710 258 56 -12 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
203027 MLBSTL 52% 256225 43914 26693 63 191283293577 102257 2710 260 57 -12 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.2
203128 MLBSTL 53% 262230 44914 27713 63 191285291576 100257 2710 259 57 -13 +0 -0 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 1091956 18238416 11229614 2612 190285289573 98256 2710 256 54 -57 +0 -0 +12 +31 -1.4
/ 162G 650570 10923210 671768 157 191285291576 100256 2710 256 54 -34 +0 -0 +7 +18 -0.8
Career 29512575 5011091237 30679146 9033 195291289581 95263 2710 265 61 -131 +5 -1 +32 +84 -1.2
/ 162G 650567 1112438 6717410 207 196292291583 95265 2710 265 61 -29 +1 -0 +7 +18 -0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 APalm Beach Cardinals 9668 14100 24133 50 206432221652 15255 1425 333 113 +1 +1 +3 0.5
202522 A+Peoria Chiefs 3024 4000 481 11 167310167477 235 2713 238 40 -2 -0 +1 -0.1
202522 APalm Beach Cardinals 337288 751612 38564 206 260353344697 83311 1711 316 100 -0 +2 +10 1.1
202522 ROKFCL Cardinals 2214 3100 434 10 214500286786 71273 1418 401 165 +2 +0 +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
21,0911627192283291+12+6-0.4-0.2
/1626641017+7.1+3.7-0.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Christian Martin (OGILVIE) 23 45 25 55 45 172/279/237 65253 114 29% 11% 39 -1.1
Cam Coursey
2022 · A
23 42 38→40 52→55 48 201/266/278 77257 516 23% 8% 50 -1.8 211/289/288 77274 510 23% 9% 63 -0.9 204/298/261572633421%11%58-0.5
Miguel Arrendell
2011 · A
23 43 37→30 50 49 203/281/278 74276 513 26% 9% 56 -1.3 218/273/311 93277 88 23% 7% 61 -1.0 226/274/319932629217%6%59-0.4
Julio Gonzalez
2018 · A
23 48 35→30 55→50 50 223/288/289 66286 212 22% 8% 62 -0.9 206/269/275 69268 28 22% 8% 50 -1.8 172/237/227552160519%7%21-1.0
Matt Smith
2006 · A
23 43→49 35→30 48→50 48 202/266/255 54267 210 24% 8% 43 -2.2 213/271/269 56290 39 25% 7% 49 -1.8 211/270/256452892926%7%43-1.7
Michael DeJesus
2006 · A
23 43→51 36→30 50→45 50 200/287/267 67290 311 30% 10% 56 -1.3 224/299/284 60278 47 19% 10% 66 -0.6 229/306/286572784518%10%66-0.5
Patrick Biondi
2015 · A
24 45→44 36→30 50→60 45 211/268/281 70279 315 24% 7% 50 -1.7 231/285/300 69308 425 24% 6% 63 -0.9 239/296/2965731833224%7%62-0.5
Wang-Wei Lin
2011 · A
23 47→54 36→30 50 47 219/286/279 60282 411 23% 8% 59 -1.1 232/306/301 69302 49 22% 8% 72 -0.2 235/315/299643064922%9%73-0.1
Sergio Burruel
2014 · AAA
23 44 36→30 50→30 43 207/264/272 65282 38 26% 6% 46 -2.0 233/280/304 71307 65 25% 6% 62 -0.9 241/305/316752938120%8%73-0.1
River Town
2022 · A
23 44→36 37→40 54→50 43 203/281/277 74287 312 28% 7% 57 -1.2 205/290/306 101264 915 24% 8% 69 -0.4 199/291/2949525191523%9%64-0.4
Danny Woodrow
2018 · A
23 46→56 34→30 51→55 44 215/269/272 56289 117 25% 7% 48 -1.9 239/289/305 66318 321 24% 6% 66 -0.6 241/288/3005932322325%6%60-0.5
Kier Meredith
2022 · A
22 42 36→30 51→60 45 198/268/265 67279 412 29% 8% 47 -1.9 206/304/278 72297 426 29% 9% 68 -0.5 217/333/2685129933525%10%75-0.0
Devyn Bolasky
2016 · A
23 44 37→30 47→45 49 208/276/280 73252 412 19% 7% 55 -1.4 230/278/306 76279 37 18% 5% 61 -1.0 251/293/319683001316%5%67-0.2
Elias Arias
2016 · A
22 45 36→30 46→55 46 211/274/274 63275 413 24% 7% 52 -1.6 200/254/283 83304 69 34% 6% 46 -2.0 161/210/245832547938%5%13-0.9
Carlos Sepulveda
2021 · A
24 46 34→30 49→45 46 215/276/269 53285 212 24% 7% 51 -1.7 211/276/283 72278 57 24% 8% 56 -1.3 192/260/254622545325%8%38-1.3
Bryant Flete
2016 · AA
23 40→44 36→40 46→50 47 189/257/250 61254 38 26% 8% 39 -2.5 206/258/286 80278 56 26% 6% 48 -1.9 207/269/273662875428%6%47-1.0
James Ramsay
2015 · A
23 43→53 38→40 58→50 46 201/269/295 94278 319 28% 8% 55 -1.4 223/281/321 98288 711 24% 7% 67 -0.5 227/285/322952868822%7%66-0.5
Greg Miclat
2010 · A
23 43→53 34→30 52→60 44 203/252/255 51267 216 24% 6% 37 -2.7 243/297/311 68324 323 24% 6% 70 -0.3 261/318/3306934722824%6%80+0.2
Branden Cogswell
2015 · A
22 43→49 36→30 50→45 46 205/273/271 66270 48 24% 7% 51 -1.7 222/282/280 58303 26 25% 7% 56 -1.3 228/286/275483091525%7%54-1.0
Junior Sosa
2014 · A
23 45 35→30 47→55 44 210/258/269 59264 214 21% 6% 43 -2.2 222/276/293 71287 411 22% 7% 57 -1.2 227/303/254273100924%9%56-0.8
Dallas Poulk
2011 · A
23 42 40→30 50 44 204/263/298 94276 78 28% 7% 53 -1.5 210/276/281 71300 39 28% 8% 54 -1.4 203/274/265612941829%8%47-1.3