Ryan Bourassa

P Columbus Clingstones

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 230 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	24	MIX3 levels	31	35	3.63	3.97	34.9%	12.3%	—	K 30.4% · BB 11.1% · FIP 4.84
2025	25	MIX2 levels	38	54	2.52	2.75	35.8%	12.7%	—	K 28.1% · BB 14.9% · FIP 4.58
2026	26	AAATL	11	17	6.35	5.98	27.3%	16.9%	—	K 22.1% · BB 18.6% · FIP 7.01
2027PROJ	27	MLBATL	57	60	4.93	4.93	27.0%	14.9%	-0.3
2028PROJ38% MLB	28	MLBATL	21	22	4.92	4.96	26.5%	14.4%	-0.1
2029PROJ56% MLB	29	MLBATL	30	31	4.97	5.04	26.1%	14.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff65Control30Command60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsBeck Wheeler (age 27) · Peyton Gray (age 26) · Jacob Bosiokovic (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.93

FIP4.93

K%27.0%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%12.2%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6565

CTRL3030

CMD6060

K†6565

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	5	0	5	21	7	4	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	19.0%	14.3%	0.0%	1.80	2.70	—
2023	23	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	5	0	5	21	7	4	0	0%	1.0	33.3%	19.0%	14.3%	0.0%	1.80	2.70	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	35	146	51	18	6	0%	1.1	30.4%	11.1%	19.3%	5.3%	3.63	4.84	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	35	146	51	18	6	0%	1.1	30.4%	11.1%	19.3%	5.3%	3.63	4.84	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	35	146	51	18	6	0%	1.1	34.9%	12.3%	22.6%	4.1%	3.63	3.97	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	212	76	27	4	0%	1.4	28.1%	14.9%	13.2%	3.6%	2.52	4.58	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	54	212	76	27	4	0%	1.4	28.1%	14.9%	13.2%	3.6%	2.52	4.58	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	54	212	76	27	4	0%	1.4	35.8%	12.7%	23.1%	1.9%	2.52	2.75	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	11	0	17	77	21	13	4	0%	1.5	22.1%	18.6%	3.5%	6.2%	6.35	7.01	—
2026	26	AA MLE	Columbus Clingstones	11	0	17	77	21	13	4	0%	1.5	22.1%	18.6%	3.5%	6.2%	6.35	7.01	—
2026	26	AA RAW	Columbus Clingstones	11	0	17	77	21	13	4	0%	1.5	27.3%	16.9%	10.4%	5.2%	6.35	5.98	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	ATL	57	0	60	253	68	38	9	0%	1.1	27.0%	14.9%	12.2%	3.4%	4.93	4.93	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55	0	58	244	65	35	8	0%	1.0	26.5%	14.4%	12.1%	3.4%	4.92	4.96	-0.3
2029	29	MLB MLE	ATL	52	0	55	233	61	33	8	0%	1.1	26.1%	14.3%	11.8%	3.6%	4.97	5.04	-0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	ATL	21	0	22	93	25	13	3	0%	1.0	26.5%	14.4%	12.1%	3.4%	4.92	4.96	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	ATL	30	0	31	131	34	19	5	0%	1.0	26.1%	14.3%	11.8%	3.6%	4.97	5.04	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	58	32	8	0%	1.0	26.3%	14.3%	11.9%	3.5%	4.95	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	222	122	31	0%	1.1	26.3%	14.3%	11.9%	3.5%	4.95	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		85	0	110	456	128	66	20	0%	1.3	28.1%	14.5%	13.6%	4.4%	3.43	4.99	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		154	0	200	827	232	120	36	0%	1.3	28.1%	14.5%	13.6%	4.4%	3.43	4.99	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Bourassa (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.93	27.0%	14.9%	3.4%	—	5.00	26.3%	11.9%	113	+0.07	—	—	—
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	88
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	86
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2021 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	26.4%	14.3%	2.3%	.274	4.80	21.7%	10.2%	69	+0.87	3.84	181	86
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	84
Dennis Sarfate R 2008 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.0%	16.7%	2.2%	.263	4.81	19.8%	5.9%	23	+0.39	4.42	103	83
Parker Markel R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	28	SU	4.87	29.7%	16.5%	4.0%	.250	4.33	28.9%	11.6%	97	-0.54	3.18	266	81
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	80
Scott Dohmann R 2005 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	24.5%	12.6%	4.2%	.321	4.69	18.9%	7.5%	96	-0.24	4.28	173	80
Jason Bulger R 2008 · 4.60 FIP	29	SU	4.60	27.4%	12.3%	4.1%	.293	3.94	25.1%	13.3%	90	-0.66	3.78	106	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	80
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	79
Grant Balfour R 2004 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	24.4%	11.6%	2.3%	.292	4.01	24.8%	8.3%	25	+0.22	2.04	533	79
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	79
Nelson L. Alvarez R 2024 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	23.2%	13.1%	2.4%	.282	4.70	18.5%	9.4%	35	+0.58	2.58	233	79
Matt Blackham R 2019 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	25.4%	12.0%	2.6%	.206	6.85	26.9%	8.7%	25	+2.95	2.08	187	78
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	78
Michael Stryffeler R 2022 · 4.24 FIP	26	SU	4.24	30.4%	17.3%	2.8%	.277	4.89	19.4%	1.1%	33	+0.65	2.43	140	78
Braden Webb R 2021 · 5.15 FIP	26	SU	5.15	25.2%	14.8%	4.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.48	308	78
Colin McKee R 2021 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	29.3%	13.5%	4.1%	.302	4.40	16.6%	-4.7%	14	-0.20	4.18	148	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	26.5%	14.5%	1.34	4.94
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Amir Garrett ('24)	1.7	55	26.7%	13.3%	1.52	4.95
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*