Garrett Edwards

P Montgomery Biscuits

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 218 lbs AA peak 0.5 · 2029

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	7	6	13	2.77	2.87	25.5%	7.3%	—	K 25.5% · BB 7.3% · FIP 2.87
2025	23	A+TB	22	22	107	2.78	2.92	24.0%	6.4%	—	K 18.5% · BB 7.3% · FIP 3.85
2026	24	AATB	26	25	127	4.33	4.96	17.5%	7.6%	—	K 14.2% · BB 8.4% · FIP 5.85
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	14	14	84	5.30	5.30	14.8%	7.9%	-0.4
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTB	8	8	50	5.15	5.12	16.3%	7.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTB	12	12	71	5.09	5.10	16.7%	7.9%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control55Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJavier Solano (age 25) · Enrique Gonzalez (age 24) · Nestor Molina (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.30

FIP5.30

K%14.8%

BB%7.9%

K-BB%6.9%

Proj IP84

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 84 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	6	13	55	14	4	1	86%	1.9	25.5%	7.3%	18.2%	1.8%	2.77	2.87	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	6	13	55	14	4	1	86%	1.9	25.5%	7.3%	18.2%	1.8%	2.77	2.87	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	6	13	55	14	4	1	86%	1.9	25.5%	7.3%	18.2%	1.8%	2.77	2.87	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	107	425	102	27	8	100%	4.9	18.5%	7.3%	11.2%	2.5%	2.78	3.85	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	107	425	102	27	8	100%	4.9	18.5%	7.3%	11.2%	2.5%	2.78	3.85	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	107	425	102	27	8	100%	4.9	24.0%	6.4%	17.6%	1.9%	2.78	2.92	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	26	25	127	525	92	40	23	96%	4.9	14.2%	8.4%	5.8%	5.3%	4.33	5.85	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	26	25	127	525	92	40	23	96%	4.9	14.2%	8.4%	5.8%	5.3%	4.33	5.85	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	26	25	127	525	92	40	23	96%	4.9	17.5%	7.6%	9.9%	4.4%	4.33	4.96	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	14	14	84	355	52	28	13	100%	6.0	14.8%	7.9%	6.9%	3.8%	5.30	5.30	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	19	19	114	481	78	38	18	100%	6.0	16.3%	7.8%	8.5%	3.7%	5.15	5.12	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	19	19	112	474	79	37	18	100%	5.9	16.7%	7.9%	8.8%	3.7%	5.09	5.10	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	TB	18	18	109	460	77	37	17	100%	6.1	16.9%	8.0%	8.8%	3.8%	5.10	5.14	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	TB	17	17	104	439	74	36	17	100%	6.1	16.7%	8.2%	8.5%	3.9%	5.18	5.25	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	TB	16	16	98	413	68	35	17	100%	6.1	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	4.1%	5.33	5.42	-0.6
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	8	8	50	211	34	17	8	100%	6.2	16.3%	7.8%	8.5%	3.7%	5.15	5.12	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	12	12	71	300	50	24	11	100%	5.9	16.7%	7.9%	8.8%	3.7%	5.09	5.10	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	TB	14	14	82	346	58	28	13	100%	5.9	16.9%	8.0%	8.8%	3.8%	5.10	5.14	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	TB	14	14	85	359	60	30	14	100%	6.1	16.7%	8.2%	8.5%	3.9%	5.18	5.25	-0.3
2032	30	MLB CTX	TB	14	14	84	355	58	30	15	100%	6.0	16.4%	8.6%	7.8%	4.1%	5.33	5.42	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		62	62	372	1572	261	128	60	100%	6.0	16.6%	8.1%	8.5%	3.8%	5.17	4.84	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	140	69	32	100%	6.0	16.6%	8.1%	8.5%	3.8%	5.17	4.84	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		55	53	247	1005	167	79	39	96%	4.5	16.6%	7.9%	8.8%	3.9%	3.58	4.84	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	43	200	815	135	64	32	96%	4.5	16.6%	7.9%	8.8%	3.9%	3.58	4.84	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Garrett Edwards (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	14.8%	7.9%	3.8%	—	5.12	16.6%	8.7%	335	-0.18	—	—	—
Javier Solano R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	25	SP	4.96	11.0%	6.2%	3.6%	.331	4.12	12.3%	7.3%	275	-0.84	3.67	506	86
Enrique Gonzalez R 2006 · 4.49 FIP	24	SP-	4.49	14.3%	7.4%	3.0%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.49	132	85
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	85
Claudio Vargas R 2003 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP	4.75	12.6%	7.3%	3.2%	.251	5.02	16.5%	8.5%	418	+0.27	3.66	765	84
Josh Banks R 2008 · 4.81 FIP	26	SP-	4.81	11.6%	7.3%	3.2%	.283	6.01	9.0%	6.0%	23	+1.20	4.81	108	83
Ryan Hawks R 2024 · 5.26 FIP	23	SP	5.26	13.6%	7.3%	4.4%	.303	5.12	13.6%	4.3%	221	-0.14	4.78	342	83
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	82
Chase Solesky R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	14.9%	10.0%	3.0%	.322	4.43	16.0%	8.7%	271	-0.34	4.07	567	82
J.D. Martin R 2009 · 5.18 FIP	26	SP	5.18	10.9%	5.9%	4.1%	.263	4.79	14.6%	9.9%	48	-0.39	4.79	414	82
Jordan Pries R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	25	SP	4.29	14.0%	7.5%	2.6%	.307	4.43	17.4%	9.2%	131	+0.14	4.29	219	82
Jayden Murray R 2022 · 4.50 FIP	25	SP	4.50	16.9%	8.6%	3.2%	.258	4.60	19.1%	7.9%	105	+0.10	3.74	365	81
Brooks Hall R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	25	SP-	4.12	14.3%	6.9%	2.5%	.291	4.00	14.0%	7.0%	153	-0.12	3.45	274	81
Angel Araiza R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SP-	4.57	16.7%	6.5%	3.8%	.287	3.79	15.0%	7.6%	193	-0.78	3.40	289	81
Mike Thompson R 2006 · 4.95 FIP	25	SP	4.95	8.6%	6.4%	3.2%	.272	4.85	6.7%	0.0%	16	-0.10	4.85	108	81
Trenton Toplikar R 2021 · 5.25 FIP	25	SP-	5.25	16.4%	9.3%	4.3%	.325	5.83	16.9%	4.2%	30	+0.58	4.32	232	81
Jason Berken R 2009 · 4.92 FIP	25	SP	4.92	11.8%	7.5%	3.4%	.335	4.32	16.8%	9.6%	129	-0.60	3.37	468	81
Hector Velázquez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	26	SP	4.31	15.0%	8.7%	2.5%	.297	3.35	18.1%	12.8%	343	-0.96	2.75	536	81
Davis Daniel R 2022 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP	4.67	17.1%	7.9%	3.7%	.261	4.28	18.9%	11.5%	282	-0.39	3.04	593	80
Jarrod Cande R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SP	5.42	16.7%	11.0%	4.3%	.256	5.72	11.7%	-3.6%	23	+0.30	4.31	315	80
Brad Lincoln R 2010 · 5.24 FIP	25	SP-	5.24	10.4%	6.2%	4.0%	.298	4.10	19.9%	12.2%	167	-1.14	3.78	280	80

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	104	16.4%	8.1%	1.48	5.18
Brandon Claussen ('06)	1.6	105	16.0%	8.5%	1.37	5.04
Bill Grahame ('08-'10, 0 WAR*)	1.7	116	17.7%*	9.3%*	1.52*	5.11*
Dan Griner ('12-'18, 3 WAR*)	3.4	135	17.1%*	8.0%*	1.50*	4.97*
Paul Mitchell ('75-'80, 1 WAR*)	3.1	104	16.7%*	7.1%*	1.59*	4.98*
Steve Parris ('03)	3.8	94	14.4%	8.7%	1.36	4.75
Armando Galarraga ('12)	2.7	108	14.6%	9.6%	1.56	4.78