Jackson Brockett

P South Bend Cubs

Age 24 LHP 6'1" / 205 lbs A+ peak 0.2 · 2029

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX3 levels	27	2	79	2.28	2.96	27.7%	8.8%	—	K 21.4% · BB 10.0% · FIP 3.90
2027PROJ	24	MLBCHC	52	0	55	4.49	4.49	21.8%	9.9%	0.0
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBCHC	30	0	31	4.42	4.38	22.3%	9.5%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBCHC	46	0	48	4.38	4.36	22.6%	9.4%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsGarrett Irvin (age 24) · R.C. Orlan (age 24) · Pedro Feliciano (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.49

FIP4.49

K%21.8%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%11.8%

Proj IP55

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 55 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	2	79	307	85	27	6	7%	2.9	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.4%	2.28	3.90	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	2	79	307	85	27	6	7%	2.9	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.4%	2.28	3.90	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	2	79	307	85	27	6	7%	2.9	27.7%	8.8%	18.9%	2.0%	2.28	2.96	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	CHC	52	0	55	232	51	23	7	0%	1.1	21.8%	9.9%	11.8%	2.9%	4.49	4.49	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	69	0	72	304	68	29	9	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	2.9%	4.42	4.38	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	69	0	72	304	69	29	9	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.36	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	68	0	71	299	68	28	9	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.5%	13.1%	3.0%	4.39	4.39	+0.1
2031	28	MLB MLE	CHC	66	0	69	290	65	28	9	0%	1.0	22.5%	9.6%	12.9%	3.1%	4.44	4.47	+0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	CHC	63	0	66	277	62	27	9	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.8%	12.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.61	-0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	CHC	59	0	62	261	57	26	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.4%	4.69	4.78	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	30	0	31	131	29	12	4	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.5%	12.8%	2.9%	4.42	4.38	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	46	0	48	203	46	19	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	2.9%	4.38	4.36	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52	0	55	232	53	22	7	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.5%	13.1%	3.0%	4.39	4.39	+0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55	0	58	245	55	24	7	0%	1.1	22.5%	9.6%	12.9%	3.1%	4.44	4.47	+0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	CHC	55	0	58	245	55	24	8	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.8%	12.4%	3.2%	4.54	4.61	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53	0	56	236	52	24	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.1%	11.8%	3.4%	4.69	4.78	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		290	0	305	1286	288	125	40	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.7%	12.7%	3.1%	4.48	4.13	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	82	26	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.7%	12.7%	3.1%	4.48	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		27	2	79	307	66	31	7	7%	2.9	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.4%	2.28	3.90	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		68	5	200	777	166	78	19	7%	2.9	21.4%	10.0%	11.4%	2.4%	2.28	3.90	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Brockett (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.49	21.8%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.38	22.5%	13.0%	215	-0.11	—	—	—
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	87
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	85
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	83
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	83
Ben Wereski L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	18.6%	7.6%	4.2%	.287	3.73	29.0%	21.6%	20	-1.05	3.73	142	82
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2017 · 3.60 FIP	24	SU	3.60	21.0%	9.8%	1.9%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	201	80
Matt Whitehouse L 2016 · 3.37 FIP	25	SU	3.37	19.0%	9.9%	1.1%	.304	4.46	16.9%	7.4%	276	+1.09	3.37	353	80
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	80
Shane McCain L 2016 · 4.48 FIP	24	SU	4.48	18.3%	8.7%	3.3%	.261	5.14	14.2%	10.7%	51	+0.66	4.34	201	79
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	79
Christian Jones L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	24	SU	3.32	18.5%	7.4%	1.6%	.319	4.00	15.0%	3.7%	89	+0.68	3.32	161	79
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	78
Emilio Marquez L 2022 · 4.49 FIP	24	SU	4.49	22.0%	8.8%	3.9%	.271	4.46	22.8%	13.1%	31	-0.03	1.33	244	78
Graeme Stinson L 2022 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	23.0%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	4.85	19.5%	3.9%	45	+1.29	3.56	146	78
Trey Cumbie L 2019 · 3.44 FIP	23	SU	3.44	22.5%	12.6%	1.2%	.318	4.78	24.4%	8.7%	91	+1.34	3.44	152	77
Enny Romero L 2015 · 3.52 FIP	24	SU	3.52	20.7%	9.0%	1.8%	.354	4.22	24.8%	14.6%	111	+0.70	3.51	188	77
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	77
Haylen Green L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	24	SU	4.02	16.9%	8.1%	2.4%	.291	4.09	18.6%	7.8%	49	+0.07	4.02	104	77
Trevor Lane L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	24	SU	3.56	21.5%	7.3%	2.5%	.360	3.10	21.2%	12.6%	91	-0.46	2.13	246	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	67	22.3%	9.7%	1.18	4.47
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Neal Cotts ('15)	2.2	63	21.9%	10.1%	1.18	3.96
Frank DiPino ('81-'93, 3 WAR*)	3.5	78	22.5%*	9.0%*	1.00*	4.44*
Xavier Hernandez ('89-'98, 3 WAR*)	3.4	67	23.9%*	9.1%*	1.12*	4.20*