Emilio Marquez
P
Northwest Arkansas Naturals
Age 28
LHP
5'8" / 170 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 9 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.3% | 2.2% | 22.1% | 0.0% | 0.61 | 1.33 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Royals 1 | 9 | 0 | 15 | 56 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 35.7% | 1.8% | 33.9% | 0.0% | 0.61 | 0.58 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 50 | 207 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 43% | 3.6 | 22.5% | 4.6% | 17.9% | 2.2% | 2.50 | 2.99 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 50 | 207 | 67 | 8 | 3 | 43% | 3.6 | 32.4% | 3.9% | 28.5% | 1.4% | 2.50 | 1.69 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 7 | 77 | 313 | 101 | 19 | 11 | 28% | 3.1 | 24.3% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 3.9% | 3.26 | 4.10 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 7 | 77 | 313 | 101 | 19 | 11 | 28% | 3.1 | 32.3% | 6.1% | 26.2% | 3.5% | 3.26 | 3.07 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 76 | 321 | 89 | 25 | 10 | 0% | 2.2 | 22.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 3.77 | 4.43 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 34 | 0 | 76 | 321 | 89 | 25 | 10 | 0% | 2.2 | 27.7% | 7.8% | 19.9% | 3.1% | 3.77 | 3.45 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 0 | 33 | 144 | 41 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.8% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 4.0% | 4.41 | 4.62 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 0 | 33 | 144 | 41 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.5% | 8.3% | 20.1% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | KC | 17 | 0 | 18 | 77 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | KC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | KC | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 96 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 13 | 251 | 1041 | 240 | 75 | 35 | 12% | 2.4 | 23.1% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 3.26 | 3.91 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 10 | 200 | 828 | 191 | 60 | 28 | 12% | 2.4 | 23.1% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 3.3% | 3.26 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Emilio Marquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 23.1% | 13.6% | 20 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .308 | 5.05 | 13.8% | -5.1% | 35 | +0.81 | 3.43 | 134 | 75 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 74 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.69 | 221 | 74 |
| Juan Grullon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 73 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.31 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .348 | 4.21 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 39 | +0.90 | 3.04 | 153 | 73 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 73 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | .267 | 3.21 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.63 | 2.44 | 124 | 71 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2024 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 71 |
| Jake McSteen L 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.92 | 19.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | .348 | 2.22 | 18.9% | 13.2% | 18 | -2.70 | 2.22 | 286 | 71 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.61 | 24.7% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .336 | 3.52 | 20.7% | 8.3% | 27 | -0.09 | 3.41 | 160 | 70 |
| Jordan Harrison L 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.93 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 2.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 244 | 70 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.02 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 353 | 70 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.20 | 25.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% | .329 | 4.44 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 59 | +0.24 | 2.66 | 230 | 70 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.25 | 24.6% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .268 | 3.20 | 26.6% | 13.5% | 55 | -0.05 | 3.20 | 194 | 70 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 70 |
| Tristan Garnett L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.13 | 19.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.50 | 185 | 69 |
| Jason Blanchard L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.60 | 19.9% | 12.4% | 2.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 171 | 69 |
| A.J. Block L 2025 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 22.7% | 12.4% | 1.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 203 | 69 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 26.5% | 11.9% | 1.9% | .310 | 3.21 | 27.0% | 15.3% | 106 | -0.19 | 2.33 | 455 | 68 |
| Aaron Brown L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 68 |