Cole Paplham — OGILVIE

Cole Paplham P Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 8 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130122vR 114

ERA5.10

FIP5.10

K%20.9%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	30	126	36	12	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.1%	6.0%	0.0%	3.60	3.19	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	30	126	36	12	1	0%	1.0	28.6%	9.5%	19.0%	0.8%	3.60	2.33	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	0	9	41	11	5	1	0%	1.2	26.8%	12.2%	14.6%	2.4%	4.82	3.72	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	0	9	41	11	5	1	0%	1.2	26.8%	12.2%	14.6%	2.4%	4.82	3.72	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	0	9	41	11	5	1	0%	1.2	26.8%	12.2%	14.6%	2.4%	4.82	3.74	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	3	24	121	21	21	2	14%	1.2	14.7%	20.3%	-5.6%	2.0%	7.40	5.50	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	21	3	24	121	21	21	2	14%	1.2	14.7%	20.3%	-5.6%	2.0%	7.40	5.50	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	21	3	24	121	21	21	2	14%	1.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	1.7%	7.40	5.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SD	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.8%	7.1%	3.0%	5.10	5.10	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SD	19	0	20	84	18	11	3	0%	1.1	21.0%	13.5%	7.5%	3.1%	5.07	5.10	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SD	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	13.5%	7.5%	3.1%	5.07	5.10	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	4	1	0%	1.0	21.0%	13.5%	7.5%	3.1%	5.07	4.72	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	191	109	27	0%	1.1	21.0%	13.5%	7.5%	3.1%	5.07	4.72	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		60	3	64	288	54	47	3	5%	1.1	18.8%	16.4%	2.4%	1.2%	5.23	4.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		188	9	200	905	170	149	11	5%	1.1	18.8%	16.4%	2.4%	1.2%	5.23	4.24	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Paplham (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.10	20.9%	13.8%	3.0%	—	5.10	21.0%	7.5%	20	+0.00	—	—	—
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	86
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	85
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	84
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	81
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	81
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	81
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	81
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	81
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	81
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	80
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	80
Irving Jimenez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	27	SU	4.51	18.9%	12.4%	2.6%	.417	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	104	80
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	20.1%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.04	2.92	140	79
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	78
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	78
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	78