Josh Bortka — OGILVIE

Josh Bortka P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 10 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%21.8%

BB%16.3%

K-BB%5.6%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	5	25	7	3	0	0%	1.0	28.0%	12.0%	16.0%	0.0%	1.80	2.26	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	5	25	7	3	0	0%	1.0	28.0%	12.0%	16.0%	0.0%	1.80	2.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	37	168	56	28	4	0%	1.3	25.7%	18.1%	7.6%	2.1%	4.82	4.37	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	37	168	56	28	4	0%	1.3	33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2.4%	4.82	3.74	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	30	141	44	15	2	0%	1.3	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	1.7%	5.64	3.65	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	30	141	44	15	2	0%	1.3	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	1.7%	5.64	3.65	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	30	141	44	15	2	0%	1.3	31.2%	10.6%	20.6%	1.4%	5.64	2.54	—
2025	26	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	12	0	12	78	17	18	1	0%	1.0	16.1%	27.2%	-11.1%	1.9%	14.59	6.21	—
2025	26	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	12	0	12	78	17	18	1	0%	1.0	16.1%	27.2%	-11.1%	1.9%	14.59	6.21	—
2025	26	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	12	0	12	78	17	18	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	23.1%	-1.3%	1.3%	14.59	5.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIN	10	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	16.3%	5.6%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	18	13	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	15.8%	6.0%	3.1%	5.30	5.35	-0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	6	0	6	25	6	4	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	15.8%	6.0%	3.1%	5.30	5.35	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		6	0	6	25	5	4	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	15.8%	6.0%	3.1%	5.30	4.97	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	167	134	33	0%	1.1	21.8%	15.8%	6.0%	3.1%	5.30	4.97	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		68	0	85	412	95	72	7	0%	1.2	23.1%	17.4%	5.7%	1.8%	6.35	4.35	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		160	0	200	969	224	169	17	0%	1.2	23.1%	17.4%	5.7%	1.8%	6.35	4.35	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Bortka (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	21.8%	16.3%	3.0%	—	5.35	21.7%	6.0%	20	+0.03	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	81
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	80
Jose De La Torre R 2013 · 5.22 FIP	27	SU	5.22	28.3%	18.9%	3.9%	.308	3.87	17.6%	6.6%	110	-1.35	2.64	141	79
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	78
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	78
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	78
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	78
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	77
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	77
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	77
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	77
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	28	SU	4.43	23.3%	13.6%	2.9%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	2.64	315	77
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	77
Jeff Ames R 2019 · 4.45 FIP	28	SU	4.45	25.6%	16.8%	2.5%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	272	76
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	76
Jose Veras R 2009 · 5.13 FIP	28	SU	5.13	17.8%	12.4%	3.6%	.228	3.57	26.3%	14.0%	186	-1.56	3.37	422	75
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	75
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	75
Zac Leigh R 2024 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	21.8%	15.4%	1.8%	.367	4.74	19.4%	2.7%	87	+0.53	3.70	201	75