Carlos Tirado — OGILVIE

Carlos Tirado1B FCL Pirates

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 187 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 54 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .262 / .298

PA54

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL PIT Gold	—	172	132	35	8	1	2	31	29	7	3	0	265	429	386	816	121	320	17	18	375	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	127	30	7	1	2	26	42	3	1	1	236	378	354	733	118	333	27	17	339	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	87	75	14	9	0	0	10	18	2	1	0	187	299	307	606	120	246	21	11	282	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	82	74	14	5	0	2	7	21	1	0	0	189	268	338	606	149	235	26	9	275	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	INTL	Venados de Mazatlan	—	43	34	5	1	0	1	6	7	2	0	0	147	310	265	574	118	148	16	14	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	172	141	25	5	1	1	22	36	7	3	0	177	318	248	566	71	214	21	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	135	18	4	0	1	18	53	3	1	1	133	250	185	435	52	208	34	11	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	87	79	10	6	0	0	6	25	2	1	0	127	207	203	409	76	187	29	7	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	82	77	9	3	0	1	4	30	1	0	0	117	171	195	366	78	162	37	5	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	172	141	25	5	1	1	22	36	7	3	0	177	318	248	566	71	226	21	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Gold	—	172	132	35	8	1	2	31	29	7	3	0	265	429	386	816	121	320	17	18	375	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	135	18	4	0	1	18	53	3	1	1	133	250	185	435	52	207	34	11	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	127	30	7	1	2	26	42	3	1	1	236	378	354	733	118	333	27	17	339	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	87	79	10	6	0	0	6	25	2	1	0	127	207	203	409	76	185	29	7	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	87	75	14	9	0	0	10	18	2	1	0	187	299	307	606	120	246	21	11	282	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	125	114	13	4	0	2	7	46	3	0	0	114	185	202	387	88	164	37	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	125	108	19	6	0	3	13	28	3	0	0	176	282	315	597	139	205	22	10	274	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Gold	—	172	141	25	5	1	1	22	36	7	3	0	177	318	248	566	71	214	21	13	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	—	157	135	18	4	0	1	18	53	3	1	1	133	250	185	435	52	208	34	11	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	87	79	10	6	0	0	6	25	2	1	0	127	207	203	409	76	187	29	7	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	125	114	13	4	0	2	7	46	3	0	0	114	185	202	387	88	162	37	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	87	79	10	6	0	0	6	25	2	1	0	127	207	203	409	76	187	29	7	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	125	114	13	4	0	2	7	46	3	0	0	114	185	202	387	88	162	37	6	168	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	192	175	35	9	1	2	13	59	2	1	0	201	264	301	565	100	285	31	7	256	59	-9	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	108	99	20	5	1	1	7	32	1	0	0	205	269	312	581	107	286	30	6	263	64	-5	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	37	34	6	2	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	206	269	312	581	106	288	30	8	263	64	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	34	6	2	0	0	3	11	0	0	0	176	243	235	479	59	261	30	8	263	38	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	105	35	0	0	53	193	0	0	0	176	243	235	478	59	260	30	8	263	38	-28	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	703	617	96	26	2	6	64	209	17	5	1	156	254	233	487	78	221	30	9	224	38	-7	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	89	24	2	6	59	193	16	5	1	156	254	237	491	81	221	30	9	224	38	-29	+0	+0	-12	+14	-2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Tirado (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	199/262/298	99	285	1	0	31%	7%	59	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Francisco Del Valle 2021 · A	22	36→29	41→45	46→40	42	178/256/281	103	266	8	5	34%	8%	54	-2.0	190/254/301	111	273	12	5	33%	7%	57	-1.8	167/234/273	106	234	13	3	33%	7%	41	-1.2
✕Rixon Wingrove 2021 · A	21	43→34	42→50	44→40	42	211/266/320	110	289	9	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	185/248/315	130	296	16	4	41%	6%	58	-1.7	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Lance Ray 2012 · A	22	42→37	43→45	44→45	43	208/268/320	112	284	10	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	195/262/316	121	266	12	6	30%	8%	63	-1.3	169/246/286	117	219	13	5	29%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Jose Medina 2017 · A	22	39	41→45	48→45	38	193/240/299	106	262	8	6	29%	5%	51	-2.3	204/256/314	110	286	11	4	31%	6%	60	-1.6	200/256/307	107	270	12	1	29%	6%	55	-0.8
✕Nick Yarnall 2017 · A	22	41	37→50	47→45	42	195/255/268	74	285	4	5	31%	7%	49	-2.4	196/264/323	127	297	14	5	36%	8%	66	-1.1	177/253/320	142	264	18	5	38%	9%	59	-0.7
✕Dariel Gomez 2018 · A	22	38→43	37→50	45→30	48	183/262/255	72	253	4	3	27%	9%	49	-2.4	207/280/312	105	303	10	5	32%	8%	70	-0.9	167/244/306	139	290	16	0	45%	8%	52	-1.3
✕PK Morris 2021 · A	22	43→41	40→45	48→40	41	201/267/292	91	314	7	6	36%	8%	59	-1.6	193/285/309	116	313	11	4	38%	11%	71	-0.8	174/269/291	117	278	12	3	38%	11%	60	-0.8
✕Brandon Dulin 2015 · A	22	36→29	41→45	51→40	35	182/231/281	100	256	9	7	32%	4%	43	-2.8	192/240/307	115	270	13	4	33%	5%	53	-2.1	182/233/302	120	252	15	1	33%	5%	47	-1.5
✕Josh Sale 2012 · A	21	37	40→45	46→40	43	185/236/280	95	238	7	6	25%	6%	45	-2.7	206/275/317	111	300	10	6	32%	8%	68	-1.0	193/270/308	115	299	12	4	36%	9%	64	-0.7
✕Johnny Woodard 2007 · A	22	39→36	44→45	48→30	37	194/254/304	110	301	12	4	38%	7%	57	-1.8	198/277/324	126	306	14	3	37%	8%	72	-0.7	184/272/313	128	281	14	1	37%	9%	65	-0.7
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A	22	36	40→45	45	39	177/245/269	92	281	6	3	37%	7%	47	-2.6	196/260/285	89	330	7	4	40%	6%	55	-1.9	190/257/272	82	329	7	3	41%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Gabriel Moncada 2023 · A	21	42→41	41→45	43→40	46	202/284/303	100	289	8	5	31%	9%	69	-0.9	190/262/290	100	292	9	3	35%	8%	57	-1.8	172/243/262	90	267	8	1	36%	8%	42	-1.5
✕Kevin Clark 2008 · A	22	40→39	40→50	47→50	38	192/251/288	96	306	8	7	38%	7%	53	-2.1	207/267/330	123	330	13	13	38%	7%	68	-1.0	196/260/331	135	305	17	16	39%	8%	65	-0.9
✕Greyson Jenista 2019 · A	22	47→36	41→45	50→45	44	227/276/330	104	290	8	7	24%	6%	70	-0.8	198/263/317	119	308	13	6	37%	8%	64	-1.3	171/238/299	129	269	17	5	41%	7%	49	-1.5
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Tim Morris 2010 · A	22	39→41	40	47→50	40	190/262/277	87	267	9	4	31%	6%	55	-1.9	197/256/280	83	288	7	8	32%	6%	52	-2.2	192/249/271	78	281	6	10	32%	6%	47	-1.6
✕Leandro Emiliani 2022 · A	22	37	42→45	46→30	40	182/258/281	99	292	10	4	39%	8%	54	-2.0	184/245/292	108	284	10	3	37%	7%	51	-2.2	169/231/276	107	257	11	1	37%	6%	41	-1.6
✕Dillon Dobson 2016 · A	22	42→43	40→50	50→40	38	205/246/305	100	285	6	5	30%	5%	53	-2.1	201/247/336	135	292	14	3	35%	5%	62	-1.4	185/235/323	138	272	16	3	37%	5%	53	-1.5
✕Reynaldo Rivera 2019 · A	22	38→35	43→45	46→30	37	191/239/303	111	290	9	4	36%	6%	51	-2.3	181/237/305	124	306	14	4	43%	6%	51	-2.2	149/212/289	140	257	19	1	48%	6%	38	-1.9
✕Chris Newell 2023 · A	22	43→38	40→50	45→55	36	205/254/301	96	309	7	10	35%	5%	56	-1.9	197/274/358	161	310	20	17	40%	9%	78	-0.3	182/263/340	158	278	21	20	40%	9%	69	-0.8