Carlos Tirado1B
FCL Pirates
Age 21
L/R
6'1" / 187 lbs
ROK
BB +7%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 0.6 · 2032
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .284 / .332
PA75
HR2
K%30
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.3M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $4M | -$0.6M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 172 | 144 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .194 | .318 | .271 | .588 | .076 | .267 | 26 | 11 | .270 | 65 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 157 | 137 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 63 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .139 | .244 | .190 | .433 | .051 | .243 | 40 | 10 | .216 | 24 | -14 | -0 | +0 | -3 | +4 | -1.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 87 | 78 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .141 | .230 | .231 | .461 | .090 | .208 | 29 | 8 | .196 | 8 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | 2 teams | 125 | 114 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .114 | .185 | .202 | .387 | .088 | .164 | 37 | 6 | .164 | -16 | -16 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +4 | -1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | PIT | 75 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .221 | .293 | .353 | .646 | .132 | .287 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 73 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | PIT | 159 | 142 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .225 | .304 | .366 | .670 | .141 | .289 | 28 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | PIT | 282 | 251 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 77 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .227 | .307 | .378 | .686 | .151 | .290 | 27 | 9 | .305 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | PIT | 371 | 329 | 76 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 35 | 99 | 4 | 7 | 1 | .231 | .312 | .386 | .699 | .155 | .290 | 27 | 9 | .310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | PIT | 424 | 376 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 112 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .231 | .314 | .388 | .702 | .157 | .291 | 26 | 9 | .314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +12 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | PIT | 456 | 404 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 121 | 5 | 8 | 2 | .233 | .316 | .394 | .709 | .161 | .292 | 27 | 10 | .315 | 99 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | PIT | 471 | 417 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 125 | 5 | 8 | 1 | .233 | .316 | .391 | .707 | .158 | .292 | 27 | 10 | .315 | 100 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -8 | +13 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | PIT | 476 | 421 | 97 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 127 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .230 | .315 | .387 | .702 | .157 | .291 | 27 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | -8 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 472 | 417 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 127 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .228 | .313 | .384 | .697 | .156 | .290 | 27 | 10 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | -1 | -8 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 466 | 412 | 93 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 46 | 127 | 5 | 5 | 0 | .226 | .311 | .379 | .690 | .153 | .289 | 27 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +13 | 0.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 454 | 401 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 126 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .222 | .308 | .369 | .677 | .147 | .287 | 28 | 10 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -3 | -8 | +13 | -0.2 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 437 | 387 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 124 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .217 | .302 | .359 | .661 | .142 | .286 | 28 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +0 | -4 | -8 | +12 | -0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 409 | 362 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 119 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .215 | .300 | .356 | .657 | .141 | .284 | 29 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +12 | -0.7 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 365 | 322 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 109 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .211 | .298 | .345 | .643 | .134 | .282 | 30 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -5 | -7 | +10 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5858 | 5182 | 1133 | 214 | 30 | 157 | 564 | 1638 | 72 | 66 | 11 | .219 | .304 | .362 | .666 | .144 | .286 | 28 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -88 | +9 | -20 | -105 | +166 | -3.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 125 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 182 | 8 | 7 | 1 | .217 | .303 | .358 | .662 | .141 | .285 | 28 | 10 | .299 | 87 | -10 | +1 | -2 | -12 | +18 | -0.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL PIT Gold | 172 | 132 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 0 | .265 | .429 | .386 | .816 | .121 | .320 | 17 | 18 | .375 | 145 | +9 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 1.5 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Pirates Gold | 157 | 127 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .236 | .378 | .354 | .733 | .118 | .333 | 27 | 17 | .339 | 118 | +3 | -0 | — | — | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 87 | 75 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | .187 | .299 | .307 | .606 | .120 | .246 | 21 | 11 | .282 | 74 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Pirates | 82 | 74 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .189 | .268 | .338 | .606 | .149 | .235 | 26 | 9 | .275 | 69 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 20 | INTL | Venados de Mazatlan | 43 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .147 | .310 | .265 | .574 | .118 | .148 | 16 | 14 | .273 | 67 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.0 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Carlos Tirado (OGILVIE) | 21 | — | — | — | — | .210/.284/.332 | .122 | .287 | 2 | 1 | 30% | 8% | 73 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Rowdy Tellez 2016 · A |
21 | 45→50 | 44→60 | 46→45 | 43 | .227/.275/.340 | .113 | .281 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.283/.360 | .130 | .286 | 14 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .249/.317/.464 | .215 | .286 | 29 | 1 | 24% | 8% | 114 | +1.6 |
|
●Chris Parmelee 2009 · A |
21 | 38→48 | 49→50 | 46→45 | 43 | .196/.270/.343 | .147 | .285 | 17 | 5 | 36% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .223/.293/.358 | .135 | .292 | 14 | 3 | 27% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .250/.315/.397 | .146 | .295 | 16 | 1 | 20% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2013 · A |
21 | 41→47 | 48→55 | 50→45 | 45 | .211/.274/.350 | .139 | .253 | 17 | 8 | 24% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.271/.344 | .138 | .278 | 15 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A |
21 | 42→43 | 45→55 | 54→50 | 40 | .209/.270/.337 | .128 | .288 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .208/.259/.341 | .133 | .291 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Owen Caissie 2023 · A |
21 | 46→52 | 44→55 | 44→45 | 42 | .213/.285/.329 | .116 | .337 | 12 | 8 | 38% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .229/.302/.382 | .153 | .355 | 17 | 8 | 37% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.307/.401 | .170 | .348 | 19 | 7 | 36% | 9% | 96 | +1.3 |
|
✕Trevor Larnach 2019 · A |
22 | 48→53 | 45→55 | 51→45 | 47 | .235/.297/.362 | .127 | .292 | 11 | 7 | 23% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .238/.301/.359 | .121 | .342 | 12 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 86 | +0.8 | .235/.316/.401 | .167 | .293 | 21 | 4 | 26% | 10% | 99 | +1.4 |
|
●Max Kepler 2014 · A |
21 | 42→52 | 45→60 | 53→50 | 44 | .213/.270/.341 | .128 | .262 | 12 | 5 | 24% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .232/.291/.368 | .136 | .281 | 11 | 9 | 20% | 7% | 84 | +0.6 | .234/.319/.433 | .200 | .248 | 24 | 4 | 17% | 10% | 108 | +2.2 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2019 · A |
21 | 40→41 | 41→60 | 47→50 | 41 | .198/.255/.292 | .094 | .272 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .193/.259/.320 | .127 | .287 | 14 | 6 | 35% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .210/.307/.421 | .211 | .281 | 28 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A |
21 | 43→50 | 45→60 | 48→50 | 45 | .216/.275/.346 | .130 | .280 | 12 | 13 | 27% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .222/.270/.365 | .143 | .297 | 15 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .218/.285/.408 | .191 | .271 | 26 | 8 | 29% | 8% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Nick Weglarz 2009 · A |
21 | 44→47 | 49→50 | 45 | 48 | .224/.300/.370 | .146 | .291 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 9% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.312/.380 | .157 | .280 | 17 | 5 | 25% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .212/.313/.377 | .165 | .261 | 18 | 2 | 25% | 11% | 95 | +0.7 |
|
●AJ Reed 2015 · A |
22 | 44→54 | 49→60 | 49→30 | 39 | .223/.271/.375 | .152 | .295 | 17 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 77 | +0.1 | .242/.310/.433 | .191 | .315 | 25 | 2 | 30% | 9% | 109 | +2.4 | .229/.302/.421 | .192 | .296 | 26 | 0 | 31% | 9% | 101 | +1.6 |
|
✕Caleb Gindl 2010 · A |
21 | 49→54 | 47→50 | 50 | 43 | .238/.293/.373 | .135 | .322 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .239/.297/.365 | .126 | .301 | 12 | 9 | 23% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .237/.294/.369 | .133 | .295 | 13 | 4 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
●Triston Casas 2021 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 49→60 | 47→40 | 40 | .202/.260/.346 | .145 | .273 | 17 | 5 | 32% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .234/.315/.417 | .183 | .288 | 22 | 5 | 26% | 10% | 107 | +2.2 | .243/.337/.447 | .205 | .288 | 26 | 3 | 25% | 12% | 120 | +2.3 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A |
20 | 42→51 | 43→55 | 56→55 | 48 | .206/.282/.325 | .120 | .283 | 9 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .212/.283/.340 | .128 | .306 | 11 | 16 | 32% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A |
21 | 37 | 44→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .188/.259/.305 | .117 | .281 | 12 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .194/.278/.291 | .097 | .346 | 7 | 8 | 42% | 9% | 59 | -1.1 | .146/.273/.221 | .075 | .359 | 3 | 4 | 52% | 12% | 39 | -0.5 |
|
●Kyle Manzardo 2022 · A |
22 | 48→42 | 45→60 | 49→40 | 44 | .234/.298/.361 | .127 | .293 | 12 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | .240/.311/.439 | .199 | .278 | 24 | 3 | 23% | 9% | 111 | +2.5 | .227/.305/.435 | .207 | .258 | 26 | 2 | 23% | 9% | 107 | +1.6 |
|
●Andrew Toles 2013 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 45 | 51→60 | 39 | .218/.254/.344 | .126 | .273 | 12 | 13 | 25% | 4% | 62 | -0.9 | .244/.274/.342 | .098 | .325 | 4 | 28 | 25% | 3% | 69 | -0.4 | .277/.314/.424 | .147 | .340 | 13 | 14 | 22% | 4% | 102 | +0.9 |
|
●Erik Komatsu 2009 · A |
21 | 45→55 | 46→45 | 48→50 | 45 | .227/.279/.359 | .133 | .266 | 13 | 7 | 20% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .244/.306/.352 | .108 | .291 | 8 | 12 | 18% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .262/.330/.361 | .098 | .303 | 7 | 17 | 15% | 8% | 95 | +1.0 |
|
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A |
22 | 39→46 | 42→60 | 46→45 | 40 | .197/.250/.302 | .104 | .268 | 10 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .217/.274/.390 | .173 | .270 | 22 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .224/.290/.404 | .180 | .268 | 24 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
●Gavin Lux 2019 · AA |
21 | 48→58 | 43→50 | 50 | 46 | .233/.290/.345 | .112 | .296 | 10 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.1 | .249/.309/.402 | .153 | .314 | 17 | 10 | 25% | 8% | 100 | +1.7 | .260/.330/.404 | .144 | .327 | 14 | 8 | 23% | 9% | 106 | +1.8 |