Gery Holguin

SS Carolina Mudcats

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 160 lbs A HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKMIL	201	.220/.310/.384	4	3	19	—	.134/.195/.231
2025	19	ACarolina Mudc…	211	.158/.290/.203	0	5	15	—	.134/.233/.172
2025	19	ROKMIL	55	.347/.418/.694	4	0	92	—	.235/.291/.490
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBMIL	376	.176/.256/.250	3	6	46	-0.4
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBMIL	61	.181/.261/.267	1	1	53	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBMIL	147	.187/.267/.283	2	2	58	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

BB%76

Chase%69

Speed50

ISO16

wOBA12

wRC+12

CompsLuis Sanchez (age 21) · Rudy van Heydoorn (age 21) · Victor Duarte (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 143 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .254 / .248

PA143

HR1

K%31

BB%9

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	162	31	1	0	2	36	53	4	6	4	191	351	235	586	43	269	26	18	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	149	35	11	1	3	24	36	3	5	6	235	352	383	735	148	288	20	14	334	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	201	177	39	13	2	4	22	57	1	3	1	220	310	384	694	164	299	28	11	311	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	211	177	28	6	1	0	31	74	2	5	1	158	290	203	494	45	269	35	15	244	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	55	49	17	3	1	4	6	14	0	0	1	347	418	694	1.112	347	419	25	11	475	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	172	21	1	0	1	26	67	4	6	4	122	252	145	398	23	179	33	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	156	21	6	1	1	17	44	3	5	6	135	233	205	438	71	176	25	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	186	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	134	195	231	426	97	220	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Carolina Mudcats	—	211	186	25	5	1	0	22	97	2	5	1	134	233	172	405	38	265	46	10	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	55	51	12	2	1	3	4	21	0	0	1	235	291	490	781	255	307	38	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	172	21	1	0	1	26	67	4	6	4	122	252	145	398	23	190	33	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	162	31	1	0	2	36	53	4	6	4	191	351	235	586	43	269	26	18	290	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	156	21	6	1	1	17	44	3	5	6	135	233	205	438	71	179	25	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	149	35	11	1	3	24	36	3	5	6	235	352	383	735	148	288	20	14	334	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	186	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	134	195	231	426	97	216	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	—	201	177	39	13	2	4	22	57	1	3	1	220	310	384	694	164	299	28	11	311	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	266	237	35	6	1	3	26	118	2	5	2	148	238	219	457	72	274	44	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	266	226	45	9	2	4	37	88	2	5	2	199	317	310	627	111	304	33	14	292	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	203	171	21	1	0	1	26	67	4	6	4	123	252	146	399	23	179	33	13	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	—	177	155	21	6	1	1	17	44	3	5	6	135	233	206	439	71	176	25	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	185	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	135	195	232	427	97	220	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	266	236	35	6	1	3	26	118	2	5	2	148	238	220	458	72	274	44	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	—	201	185	25	7	1	3	13	82	1	3	1	135	195	232	427	97	220	41	6	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	266	236	35	6	1	3	26	118	2	5	2	148	238	220	458	72	274	44	10	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	MIL	0%	376	337	60	12	2	3	33	117	3	6	2	176	256	250	506	73	257	31	9	236	46	-24	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	178	158	29	6	1	2	16	54	2	3	1	183	264	270	534	87	260	30	9	246	53	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	304	271	51	10	2	4	27	91	3	5	1	189	269	286	555	96	263	30	9	255	58	-15	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.5
2030	24	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	392	350	67	13	2	6	35	115	4	6	2	194	274	298	571	104	265	29	9	261	63	-17	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	446	399	78	15	2	8	40	129	4	7	2	197	277	306	583	109	267	29	9	266	66	-18	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	MIL	56%	478	428	85	16	3	9	43	137	4	7	2	200	279	312	591	112	268	29	9	269	68	-18	+1	+0	+5	+10	-0.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	MIL	59%	495	444	88	17	3	9	44	143	4	7	2	199	278	309	588	111	268	29	9	268	67	-19	+1	+0	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	61	55	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	1	0	181	261	267	528	86	256	31	8	244	53	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	23	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	147	132	25	5	1	2	13	44	1	2	1	187	267	283	550	96	258	30	9	253	58	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2030	24	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	207	185	36	7	1	4	18	61	2	3	1	192	271	295	567	104	261	29	9	259	63	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2031	25	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	244	218	42	8	1	4	22	71	2	4	1	195	275	304	579	109	263	29	9	264	66	-10	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
2032	26	MLB CTX	MIL	56%	266	238	47	9	1	5	24	76	2	4	1	197	277	310	587	113	264	29	9	267	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	MIL	59%	293	262	51	9	1	6	26	84	3	4	1	196	276	308	584	111	263	29	9	266	67	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1218	1090	211	40	5	22	108	355	11	18	5	194	273	300	573	106	263	29	9	262	53	-51	+2	+0	+13	+26	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	113	21	3	12	58	189	6	10	3	194	274	302	577	108	263	29	9	262	53	-27	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3283	2929	523	102	17	47	300	1025	32	56	24	179	262	273	535	95	254	31	9	246	53	-107	+3	+0	+26	+53	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	103	20	3	9	59	203	6	11	5	178	260	269	529	91	253	31	9	246	53	-29	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.1	1,361	22	22	195	271	298	+15	+12	-0.6	-0.2
/162	664	11	11	+7.1	+5.9	-0.3	pk7: 0
#3Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#4Bobby Wine'60-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,467 PA	5.2	3,467	30	7	214*	266*	308*	+35	+19	-2.5	-0.7
/162	664	6	1	+6.7	+3.6	-0.5	pk7: 1
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gery Holguin (OGILVIE)	21	20	20	45	60	175/254/248	73	257	1	2	31%	9%	46	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Sanchez 2008 · A	21	37	36→30	45→40	45	179/256/239	60	261	4	7	31%	8%	44	-2.8	203/263/257	54	283	2	4	27%	7%	49	-2.4	198/256/242	45	274	1	2	26%	7%	41	-1.4
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	31	39→40	40→50	43	157/245/233	76	238	7	8	35%	8%	39	-3.1	186/267/280	94	282	8	5	34%	9%	57	-1.8	172/284/270	98	232	9	2	27%	12%	64	-0.5
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	38	38→30	48→45	42	185/249/264	79	253	5	7	28%	6%	47	-2.6	199/274/279	80	289	6	6	31%	7%	59	-1.6	182/251/245	63	250	5	11	28%	7%	41	-0.8
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	33	35→40	45→40	50	160/258/217	57	223	3	5	27%	10%	41	-3.0	176/256/247	71	278	4	4	35%	8%	46	-2.6	168/246/241	74	269	4	2	36%	8%	39	-1.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	34	36→40	41→50	50	164/251/229	65	218	4	7	25%	9%	40	-3.0	171/250/245	74	225	5	10	24%	8%	43	-2.8	151/236/222	71	188	5	13	21%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	37	37→30	46→55	50	177/256/249	71	223	4	9	21%	8%	46	-2.6	192/277/264	72	230	5	17	18%	10%	57	-1.8	176/273/236	60	201	6	25	15%	11%	49	-0.8
✕Jheremy Vargas 2024 · A	21	38	36→30	46→55	48	180/271/242	61	272	4	12	32%	10%	51	-2.3	194/260/252	58	257	4	16	24%	8%	48	-2.5	188/252/233	45	242	3	17	22%	7%	38	-1.6
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2007 · A	21	39	38→40	45→55	39	187/243/268	81	270	4	8	31%	6%	45	-2.7	194/262/265	71	270	4	15	28%	7%	51	-2.2	186/265/247	62	244	4	22	24%	8%	47	-0.7
✕Daurys Mercedes 2011 · A	21	41	35→40	46→45	49	189/272/251	63	268	2	8	28%	9%	53	-2.1	172/238/233	61	308	3	7	41%	7%	35	-3.4	128/189/177	49	254	2	5	47%	6%	2	-1.7
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	41→39	35→30	44→50	49	190/271/250	60	279	2	9	30%	10%	52	-2.2	227/310/295	68	314	2	16	25%	10%	76	-0.4	246/336/306	60	332	1	21	23%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Elio Prado 2023 · A	21	43→37	36→40	46→50	48	198/289/264	65	284	4	6	29%	9%	62	-1.4	193/263/288	95	261	9	12	28%	7%	57	-1.8	178/246/269	91	241	10	14	29%	7%	44	-1.5
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	174/218/258	84	255	7	7	34%	5%	32	-3.6	190/226/284	94	268	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Luis Rubio 2022 · A	20	37	34→30	44→45	43	175/249/228	53	281	2	7	36%	9%	38	-3.2	183/251/238	55	283	2	8	33%	8%	41	-3.0	157/234/187	30	233	0	8	30%	8%	21	-1.0
✕Yeison Santana 2022 · A	21	43	37→30	45→55	39	200/262/271	71	316	5	10	36%	7%	52	-2.2	221/289/285	64	313	3	15	28%	8%	66	-1.1	229/310/271	42	311	2	22	24%	10%	67	-0.6
✕Alfredo González 2012 · A	20	36	36→40	47→45	39	173/218/241	68	241	2	8	28%	5%	28	-3.9	193/244/265	72	255	4	10	25%	5%	44	-2.8	232/294/283	51	313	3	6	25%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Joey Paciorek 2010 · A	21	38	37→30	47→50	43	185/253/256	71	263	5	9	30%	7%	46	-2.6	196/256/270	74	291	4	7	32%	6%	50	-2.3	199/252/284	84	281	6	2	30%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Terry Serrano 2008 · A	21	37	34→30	46→55	52	174/257/221	47	222	2	13	21%	9%	40	-3.1	196/270/261	65	283	2	16	29%	9%	53	-2.1	194/273/260	66	296	2	22	32%	9%	52	-0.8
✕Carlos Torres 2014 · A	21	37	37→30	47→50	44	181/246/248	67	236	5	9	25%	7%	42	-2.9	186/227/255	69	255	5	6	28%	4%	34	-3.5	181/213/238	56	245	3	4	27%	3%	23	-1.2
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7

Gery Holguin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps