Nathan Hall — OGILVIE

Nathan HallOF Visalia Rawhide

Age 23 R/R A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .271 / .368

PA66

HR2

K%29

BB%5

ISO145

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	44	42	15	3	0	3	2	9	0	1	1	357	386	643	1.029	286	400	20	5	446	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	36	25	3	1	0	0	11	5	0	7	1	120	389	160	549	40	150	14	31	299	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	44	43	12	2	0	2	1	12	0	1	1	279	295	465	761	186	348	27	2	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	80	78	22	4	0	4	2	22	0	8	2	282	300	487	787	205	346	28	2	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	80	67	18	4	0	3	13	14	0	8	2	269	388	463	850	194	300	18	16	380	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	80	78	22	4	0	4	2	22	0	8	2	282	300	487	787	205	348	28	2	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	80	78	22	4	0	4	2	22	0	8	2	282	300	487	787	205	348	28	2	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	154	144	33	6	1	5	8	44	1	2	1	226	273	371	644	145	291	29	5	285	79	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	ARI	30%	159	148	34	6	1	5	9	45	1	2	1	228	276	374	650	146	292	28	6	288	81	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	ARI	44%	260	241	55	10	1	8	15	73	2	4	1	229	278	376	655	147	292	28	6	290	82	-6	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	ARI	51%	332	307	71	13	1	10	20	92	2	5	1	230	280	377	658	148	292	28	6	291	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	369	342	79	14	2	11	22	102	2	5	1	229	281	376	658	147	291	28	6	291	83	-7	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	392	363	83	15	2	11	24	108	2	4	1	228	281	373	654	145	290	28	6	290	83	-8	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	ARI	30%	48	45	10	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	233	281	382	662	148	302	29	6	293	81	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	ARI	44%	115	106	25	5	1	3	7	32	1	2	0	234	283	384	667	149	302	28	6	295	82	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	ARI	51%	168	155	37	7	1	5	10	47	1	2	1	235	285	385	670	150	301	28	6	296	83	-3	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	193	178	41	8	1	5	12	53	1	3	1	235	286	384	670	149	301	27	6	296	83	-4	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	209	193	45	9	1	6	13	58	1	2	1	234	286	381	667	147	300	28	6	295	83	-4	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	733	677	158	31	4	20	45	204	4	10	3	233	285	380	665	146	302	28	6	296	84	-15	+1	-0	-4	+16	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	600	140	27	4	18	40	181	4	9	3	233	286	382	668	148	301	28	6	296	84	-13	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	1658	1541	357	64	7	51	96	461	9	29	7	232	281	382	662	150	295	28	6	292	84	-33	+2	-1	-9	+34	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	604	140	25	3	20	38	181	4	11	3	232	282	382	665	151	296	28	6	292	84	-14	+1	-0	-4	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	799	24	11	230	277	377	-5	+0	0.2	0.2
/162	664	20	9	-4.0	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nathan Hall (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	224/271/368	143	291	2	1	29%	5%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Vargas 2010 · A	22	38	46→55	46→40	33	200/230/324	124	271	14	4	32%	3%	53	-2.1	200/239/308	108	286	11	4	33%	4%	52	-2.2	214/248/387	173	278	24	3	33%	4%	72	-0.4
✕Brandon Bayardi 2014 · A	23	39	43→50	49→45	38	197/251/302	105	257	11	8	27%	4%	56	-1.9	219/273/344	125	290	13	7	28%	5%	74	-0.6	223/280/362	139	292	16	7	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Jacob Schrader 2014 · A	23	36→35	44→50	50→30	36	186/241/304	118	280	12	5	37%	6%	53	-2.1	208/251/343	135	297	15	3	34%	4%	65	-1.2	202/243/337	135	285	15	2	34%	4%	58	-1.1
✕Cody Overbeck 2010 · A	24	38→47	45→50	46→30	33	193/235/317	125	291	13	3	38%	5%	53	-2.1	224/272/361	137	308	16	2	31%	5%	78	-0.3	227/275/364	137	301	16	0	29%	5%	76	-0.4
✕Henry Wrigley 2010 · A	23	42→48	43→50	48→45	38	208/234/325	117	250	10	7	22%	3%	53	-2.1	228/257/366	138	271	14	5	21%	4%	72	-0.7	232/263/388	157	269	17	3	21%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Richard Jones 2011 · A	23	40→49	46→55	49→30	31	204/230/329	124	293	13	5	35%	3%	53	-2.1	226/262/362	136	322	15	2	33%	3%	74	-0.6	227/263/368	141	321	16	0	33%	3%	75	-0.3
✕Romy Gonzalez 2021 · A	24	40→44	41→50	51→55	36	194/250/296	102	302	8	10	37%	6%	54	-2.0	219/265/361	142	317	17	18	35%	5%	75	-0.5	270/316/424	155	341	15	16	25%	5%	108	+0.9
✕Vince Fernandez 2019 · A	24	38→39	46→55	46→45	36	184/251/312	127	319	13	9	44%	7%	59	-1.7	195/262/349	154	319	18	6	42%	7%	72	-0.7	185/258/357	172	283	20	4	40%	6%	70	-0.4
●Patrick Wisdom 2016 · AA	24	37→45	44→70	50	38	191/238/309	118	269	12	8	33%	6%	52	-2.2	200/255/345	145	282	17	8	34%	6%	68	-1.0	211/296/475	264	269	39	8	37%	9%	114	+1.6
✕Balbino Fuenmayor 2013 · A	23	42→50	41→50	47→30	34	203/247/301	98	315	8	5	37%	5%	53	-2.1	230/275/368	138	320	15	5	32%	5%	80	-0.2	274/301/416	142	321	17	0	20%	3%	98	+0.7
✕Bobby Dalbec 2018 · A	23	43→42	42→60	42→50	34	185/253/281	97	360	10	6	48%	7%	52	-2.2	197/275/374	177	300	23	4	40%	8%	83	+0.1	212/285/410	198	297	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
✕Rixon Wingrove 2022 · A	22	35→34	44→50	47→40	37	182/244/298	117	281	13	4	38%	6%	53	-2.1	191/255/335	144	295	18	4	40%	6%	65	-1.2	182/250/335	153	264	21	3	38%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Sean Buckley 2013 · A	23	37→33	47→45	42→45	33	190/240/318	129	289	15	4	39%	5%	55	-1.9	198/248/309	111	291	12	5	35%	5%	56	-1.9	202/251/298	96	282	10	5	31%	4%	52	-1.1
✕Correlle Prime 2017 · AA	23	42→44	42→50	42→45	34	207/242/312	104	307	9	6	35%	4%	54	-2.0	216/259/316	100	342	10	6	38%	5%	61	-1.5	216/258/312	97	345	11	3	39%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Luis Tejada 2016 · A	23	44	38→45	49→50	37	213/251/290	77	281	6	9	26%	4%	52	-2.2	214/264/328	114	265	11	8	23%	6%	66	-1.1	203/257/325	121	244	12	6	22%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	39→36	42→45	50	39	195/248/298	103	266	9	9	30%	5%	53	-2.1	194/242/298	104	271	9	11	30%	5%	51	-2.3	178/222/277	99	246	9	12	31%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Brandon Allen 2007 · A	21	36→46	47→55	44→50	33	189/233/316	128	281	15	6	38%	5%	53	-2.1	224/271/387	163	299	18	7	31%	6%	83	+0.1	228/311/413	185	290	22	9	28%	10%	103	+1.5
✕Dash Winningham 2018 · A	22	38→37	44→45	43→30	38	196/239/308	112	257	12	3	29%	5%	52	-2.2	204/260/301	97	287	9	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	184/251/256	71	270	5	3	32%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Osvaldo Morales 2009 · A	22	34→29	48→50	45	33	172/235/310	139	305	17	4	47%	7%	53	-2.1	174/225/281	107	305	12	4	44%	6%	41	-3.0	160/213/265	105	258	13	1	42%	6%	32	-2.9
✕Eric Wagaman 2019 · A	21	42→52	40→50	47→45	36	199/251/289	90	316	8	6	38%	6%	53	-2.1	188/238/279	91	291	9	5	36%	6%	45	-2.7	244/291/387	143	291	14	11	21%	6%	89	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps