Esmith Pineda

RF Dayton Dragons

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 196 lbs A+ HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+CIN	27	.200/.259/.240	0	0	15	—	.160/.222/.200
2025	20	ACIN	414	.259/.351/.384	7	3	63	—	.210/.289/.298
2026	21	A+CIN	218	.195/.270/.267	3	0	15	—	.155/.214/.205
2026	21	ROKCIN	28	.211/.464/.421	1	0	86	—	.190/.393/.381
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCIN	1	.166/.239/.247	0	0	37	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBCIN	101	.174/.247/.269	2	1	45	-0.5

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Chase%58

BB%20

K%14

ISO13

Speed10

wOBA8

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJesse Hodges (age 22) · Carlos Morales (age 22) · Jhon Torres (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.166 / .239 / .247

PA1

HR0

K%35

BB%7

BABIP247

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	57	49	18	2	0	3	7	9	1	2	1	367	456	592	1.048	224	405	16	12	460	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Reds	—	197	165	45	14	2	1	25	41	1	5	2	273	372	400	772	127	341	21	13	339	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	367	78	22	0	9	53	115	4	9	1	213	318	346	664	134	280	27	12	303	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	27	25	5	1	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	200	259	240	499	40	294	30	4	235	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	414	352	91	21	1	7	38	87	12	3	2	259	351	384	734	125	315	21	9	325	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	218	195	38	5	0	3	18	71	2	0	1	195	270	267	536	72	285	33	8	247	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	ACL Reds	—	28	19	4	1	0	1	6	3	3	0	0	211	464	421	885	211	200	11	21	413	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	57	51	12	1	0	2	5	11	1	2	1	235	316	373	688	137	257	19	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	175	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	200	267	286	553	86	263	29	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	382	64	16	0	6	38	158	4	9	1	168	250	257	507	89	258	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	27	25	4	1	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	160	222	200	422	40	278	37	4	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	414	362	76	15	1	5	28	118	12	3	2	210	289	298	587	88	272	29	7	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	218	200	31	4	0	2	13	90	2	0	1	155	214	205	419	50	255	41	6	191	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	28	21	4	1	0	1	4	4	3	0	0	190	393	381	774	190	151	14	14	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	57	51	12	1	0	2	5	11	1	2	1	235	316	373	688	137	263	19	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	57	49	18	2	0	3	7	9	1	2	1	367	456	592	1.048	224	405	16	12	460	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	175	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	200	267	286	553	86	279	29	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	—	197	165	45	14	2	1	25	41	1	5	2	273	372	400	772	127	341	21	13	339	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	382	64	16	0	6	38	158	4	9	1	168	250	257	507	89	262	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	367	78	22	0	9	53	115	4	9	1	213	318	346	664	134	280	27	12	303	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	441	388	81	16	1	5	28	128	13	3	2	209	284	294	578	85	288	29	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	441	377	96	22	1	7	39	95	13	3	2	255	345	374	719	119	313	22	9	320	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	246	221	34	4	0	3	17	95	5	0	1	154	230	213	443	59	248	39	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	246	214	42	6	0	4	24	74	5	0	1	196	292	280	573	84	275	30	10	266	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	57	51	12	1	0	2	5	11	1	2	1	235	316	373	688	137	257	19	9	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	197	179	35	10	1	1	15	58	1	5	2	196	267	279	546	84	263	29	8	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	382	64	16	0	6	38	158	4	9	1	168	250	257	507	89	258	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	441	397	81	16	1	5	28	128	13	3	2	204	284	287	572	83	272	29	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	246	222	34	4	0	3	17	95	5	0	1	153	230	212	442	59	243	39	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	427	382	64	16	0	6	38	158	4	9	1	168	250	257	507	89	258	37	9	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	441	397	81	16	1	5	28	128	13	3	2	204	284	287	572	83	272	29	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	246	222	34	4	0	3	17	95	5	0	1	153	230	212	442	59	243	39	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	374	339	57	11	1	5	26	130	6	3	1	165	238	243	480	78	246	35	7	223	37	-28	+0	+0	-4	+8	-1.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	166	239	247	485	81	247	0	0	225	37	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	35%	293	265	47	9	1	5	21	99	5	2	1	172	246	263	509	91	250	34	7	235	45	-19	+0	+0	-3	+6	-1.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	35%	101	91	16	3	0	2	7	34	2	1	0	174	247	269	516	95	251	34	7	237	45	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	101	91	16	3	0	2	7	34	2	1	0	176	250	275	525	99	250	34	7	237	46	-7	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	103	19	0	13	45	219	13	6	0	176	250	275	525	99	250	34	7	237	46	-42	+1	+0	-7	+14	-3.5
Career	—	MLE		—	1905	1703	309	63	3	25	141	634	33	23	9	181	257	266	523	85	266	33	7	236	46	-37	+0	+0	-6	+12	-3.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	105	21	1	9	48	216	11	8	3	181	256	267	523	86	264	33	7	236	46	-45	+0	+0	-7	+14	-3.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Esmith Pineda (OGILVIE)	22	40	35	40	35	163/236/240	77	246	3	2	35%	7%	37	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesse Hodges 2016 · A	22	37→44	40	43→40	37	185/240/272	87	276	7	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	202/252/293	91	297	7	4	33%	6%	53	-2.1	190/241/292	102	273	9	2	33%	5%	47	-1.4
✕Carlos Morales 2007 · A	22	37	38→40	42→45	38	181/246/257	76	269	5	4	33%	6%	44	-2.8	198/262/285	87	283	6	5	30%	7%	56	-1.9	178/248/261	83	238	7	2	27%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Jhon Torres 2022 · A	22	42→41	40→45	41→45	37	202/255/297	95	294	6	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	207/259/308	101	308	9	6	34%	6%	60	-1.6	173/214/265	92	264	12	0	38%	5%	30	-0.7
✕Daniel Berg 2007 · A	22	37	42→40	43→40	40	184/251/290	106	263	9	4	32%	7%	53	-2.1	193/260/275	82	294	6	4	34%	7%	53	-2.1	185/256/256	71	288	5	2	35%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Duanel Jones 2015 · A	22	39→42	42→45	38→40	37	195/241/294	99	280	10	4	33%	5%	50	-2.3	215/257/325	110	285	12	5	28%	5%	63	-1.4	215/254/320	106	270	14	2	26%	5%	59	-1.4
✕Brock Carpenter 2017 · A	22	39	41→40	46→30	43	191/269/290	99	283	8	4	34%	8%	60	-1.6	189/255/288	99	306	9	6	38%	8%	54	-2.0	166/231/266	100	273	10	6	40%	7%	37	-1.0
✕Rafael Rodriguez 2014 · A	22	40	39→40	41→40	39	198/239/279	82	255	7	6	25%	4%	45	-2.7	222/260/309	87	272	8	5	21%	4%	59	-1.6	231/262/308	76	257	9	2	14%	2%	57	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	38→30	46→45	41	195/255/280	85	272	5	6	29%	6%	52	-2.2	197/255/281	84	276	6	9	29%	6%	52	-2.2	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Sebastián Rivero 2021 · A	22	40	38→40	44→40	36	196/238/274	77	274	6	5	30%	4%	44	-2.8	200/253/297	97	279	8	5	30%	5%	55	-1.9	187/239/282	95	252	8	2	28%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Adonis Paula 2016 · A	22	40	37→40	46→40	40	191/251/262	71	279	4	5	31%	6%	46	-2.6	190/238/261	71	348	5	4	44%	5%	40	-3.0	171/218/228	58	321	5	2	46%	5%	24	-1.3
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2015 · A	22	40→43	40→45	41→40	36	200/235/287	88	284	7	3	32%	4%	45	-2.7	208/243/314	106	274	11	3	28%	4%	55	-2.0	207/242/318	111	265	13	2	27%	4%	53	-1.7
✕Luis Pineda 2024 · A	22	36	41→40	40	34	181/229/268	87	286	10	4	39%	5%	39	-3.1	199/246/292	93	336	9	5	41%	6%	51	-2.3	187/241/275	88	313	8	2	41%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	43	187/245/256	69	259	5	5	29%	7%	42	-2.9	207/272/286	79	305	4	7	31%	7%	60	-1.6	206/279/285	79	309	4	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Javier James 2007 · A	22	39	37→40	39→30	45	184/272/263	79	280	4	4	33%	9%	56	-1.9	189/263/273	84	302	6	5	36%	8%	54	-2.0	121/201/195	74	202	8	3	41%	8%	12	-0.9
✕Michael Mosby 2013 · A	23	38	40→45	40	39	186/244/282	95	270	7	5	33%	6%	49	-2.4	206/270/305	99	324	9	7	36%	7%	63	-1.3	190/267/281	92	317	11	5	40%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Walking Cabrera 2023 · A	22	39→37	41→45	48→45	40	192/249/294	102	277	8	8	32%	7%	53	-2.1	208/259/320	112	312	12	9	35%	6%	63	-1.4	200/248/316	117	298	15	10	37%	5%	57	-0.9
✕Jean Perez 2024 · A	23	39	38→40	42→50	34	192/236/268	76	282	7	8	34%	4%	42	-2.9	194/228/275	81	290	7	11	34%	3%	40	-3.1	178/207/252	73	263	7	13	34%	2%	24	-1.7
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→40	45→40	34	175/221/253	78	272	7	4	37%	5%	32	-3.6	185/240/265	80	303	8	5	39%	6%	43	-2.8	138/183/216	78	244	10	0	46%	5%	8	-1.0
✕J.V. Martinez 2021 · A	22	40→36	42→45	44→30	41	198/259/300	102	278	9	3	31%	6%	58	-1.7	203/258/315	112	285	10	4	31%	6%	61	-1.5	191/246/304	114	264	10	1	31%	5%	52	-0.9