Brian Fitzpatrick
P
Nashville Sounds
Age 26
LHP
6'7" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8796vR 105
ERA3.75
FIP3.75
K%22.7%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%12.4%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 1.8 | 53.8% | 7.7% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 2.45 | -0.47 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers Blue | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 50% | 1.8 | 53.8% | 7.7% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 0.10 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 7 | 31 | 139 | 33 | 18 | 2 | 64% | 2.8 | 14.5% | 12.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 6.46 | 3.50 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 7 | 31 | 139 | 33 | 18 | 2 | 64% | 2.8 | 23.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 1.4% | 6.46 | 3.56 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 20 | 7 | 70 | 290 | 76 | 23 | 4 | 35% | 3.5 | 20.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 1.8% | 2.69 | 3.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 20 | 7 | 70 | 290 | 76 | 23 | 4 | 35% | 3.5 | 26.2% | 7.9% | 18.3% | 1.4% | 2.69 | 2.66 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 62 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 1.2% | 3.59 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 58 | 238 | 62 | 26 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 1.3% | 3.59 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 0 | 23 | 92 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 6.8% | 21.6% | 0.0% | 1.19 | 1.56 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | MIL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 2.3% | 3.75 | 3.75 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 42 | 173 | 43 | 15 | 2 | — | — | 25.1% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 1.1% | 2.37 | 2.57 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 26 | 109 | 43 | 15 | 2 | — | — | 39.7% | 14.1% | 25.7% | 1.7% | 3.83 | 2.46 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 4.29 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 35 | 0 | 37 | 155 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 2.4% | 4.29 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 123 | 0 | 130 | 552 | 119 | 58 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 4.12 | 3.92 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 188 | 0 | 200 | 847 | 183 | 89 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 4.12 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 15 | 185 | 772 | 163 | 80 | 8 | 16% | 2.0 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 3.41 | 3.21 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 98 | 16 | 200 | 835 | 176 | 86 | 9 | 16% | 2.0 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 3.41 | 3.21 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brian Fitzpatrick (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 2.4% | — | 4.40 | 21.6% | 11.0% | 110 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 87 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 83 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 83 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 83 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 82 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 82 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 81 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 81 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 81 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 81 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 81 |
| Triston Polley L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .331 | 4.49 | 17.4% | -0.3% | 22 | +0.30 | 4.19 | 151 | 81 |
| Kevin Chapman L 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.32 | 21.9% | 11.1% | 1.2% | .368 | 3.66 | 21.7% | 11.5% | 100 | +0.34 | 3.04 | 153 | 80 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 80 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 80 |
| Ashur Tolliver L 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 19.8% | 12.8% | 0.7% | .312 | 4.62 | 17.8% | 3.7% | 76 | +1.19 | 3.43 | 134 | 80 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 80 |
| Bryan Harper L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 80 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 80 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 34 | 21.7% | 10.6% | 0.98 | 4.35 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |