Brian Fitzpatrick

Brian Fitzpatrick P Nashville Sounds

Age 26 LHP 6'7" / 225 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9099vR 107

ERA3.86

FIP3.86

K%21.4%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers Blue	2	1	4	13	7	1	0	50%	1.8	53.8%	7.7%	46.2%	0.0%	2.45	-0.47	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers Blue	2	1	4	13	7	1	0	50%	1.8	53.8%	7.7%	46.2%	0.0%	2.45	0.10	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	7	31	139	33	18	2	64%	2.8	14.5%	12.8%	1.7%	0.0%	6.46	3.50	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	7	31	139	33	18	2	64%	2.8	14.5%	12.8%	1.7%	0.0%	6.46	3.50	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	7	31	139	33	18	2	64%	2.8	23.7%	12.9%	10.8%	1.4%	6.46	3.56	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	20	7	70	290	76	23	4	35%	3.5	20.2%	9.1%	11.1%	1.8%	2.69	3.52	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	20	7	70	290	76	23	4	35%	3.5	20.2%	9.1%	11.1%	1.8%	2.69	3.52	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	20	7	70	290	76	23	4	35%	3.5	26.2%	7.9%	18.3%	1.4%	2.69	2.66	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	58	238	62	26	3	0%	1.5	21.0%	10.8%	10.1%	1.4%	3.59	3.47	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	0	58	238	62	26	3	0%	1.5	21.0%	10.8%	10.1%	1.4%	3.59	3.47	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	0	58	238	62	26	3	0%	1.5	26.1%	10.9%	15.1%	1.3%	3.59	2.98	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			5	0	7	30	5	3	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.35	2.95	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	20	0	23	92	25	7	0	0%	1.1	26.8%	5.8%	21.0%	0.0%	1.19	1.57	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	20	0	23	92	25	7	0	0%	1.1	26.8%	5.8%	21.0%	0.0%	1.19	1.57	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	MIL	15	0	16	62	20	4	0	0%	1.1	32.3%	6.5%	25.8%	0.0%	1.12	1.19	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	MIL	5	0	7	30	5	3	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.35	2.96	—
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	MIL	5	0	7	30	5	3	0	0%	1.3	16.7%	10.0%	6.7%	0.0%	1.35	2.96	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	MIL	1	0	1	3	1	0	0	0%	0.6	21.4%	9.8%	11.6%	2.4%	3.86	3.86	+0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	MIL	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	21.4%	9.8%	11.6%	2.4%	3.86	3.86	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	MIL	—	—	23	95	26	7	0	—	—	27.0%	7.7%	19.3%	0.1%	1.27	1.64	+0.9
FULL	26	MLB A+C	MIL	—	—	7	31	26	7	0	—	—	82.8%	23.5%	59.3%	0.2%	4.03	-0.80	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIL	59	0	62	263	54	27	6	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	2.4%	4.34	4.36	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	MIL	58	0	60	255	53	26	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	2.6%	4.40	4.44	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIL	56	0	59	249	51	25	6	0%	1.1	20.6%	10.1%	10.5%	2.4%	4.34	4.36	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	MIL	54	0	57	241	50	25	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.2%	10.5%	2.6%	4.40	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		117	0	124	526	107	53	12	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.1%	10.3%	2.4%	4.20	3.96	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		188	0	200	847	172	85	19	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.1%	10.3%	2.4%	4.20	3.96	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		91	15	185	772	160	76	8	16%	2.0	20.8%	9.9%	10.9%	1.1%	3.41	3.20	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		98	16	200	835	173	83	9	16%	2.0	20.8%	9.9%	10.9%	1.1%	3.41	3.20	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brian Fitzpatrick (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	20.6%	10.1%	2.5%	—	4.40	20.6%	10.5%	123	+0.03	—	—	—
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	85
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	84
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	84
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	84
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	84
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	84
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	83
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	83
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	83
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	82
Ashur Tolliver L 2015 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	19.8%	12.8%	0.8%	.312	4.58	17.8%	3.7%	76	+1.09	3.49	134	82
Rob Zastryzny L 2018 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	18.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.264	4.81	19.8%	10.8%	142	+0.50	3.34	634	81
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	81
Bryan Harper L 2016 · 4.13 FIP	26	SU	4.13	19.3%	9.6%	2.6%	.197	4.63	14.9%	1.0%	46	+0.50	4.13	133	81
Mason Melotakis L 2017 · 3.58 FIP	26	SU	3.58	21.9%	10.9%	1.8%	.264	5.66	12.0%	0.6%	30	+2.08	3.32	142	81
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	81
Kevin Chapman L 2015 · 3.36 FIP	27	SU	3.36	21.9%	11.1%	1.3%	.368	3.63	21.7%	11.5%	100	+0.27	3.01	153	81
Adam Laskey L 2023 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	21.7%	9.4%	1.5%	.331	3.67	18.0%	10.3%	167	+0.40	3.12	310	81
Tyler Holton L 2022 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	20.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.288	3.67	21.7%	16.8%	258	-0.63	2.97	436	81
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	81

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	53	20.6%	10.1%	0.96	4.37
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97