Alex Cook

P Durham Bulls

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027 ILForty Man (40M)

Overview

AAARP40M40-MANROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	A+TB	8	8	37	1.69	2.73	25.3%	8.0%	—	K 19.5% · BB 9.2% · FIP 3.52
2025	24	MIX2 levels	17	0	20	2.66	2.17	33.7%	9.6%	—	K 24.7% · BB 5.6% · FIP 2.93
2026	25	MIX2 levels	42	6	49	4.56	3.83	26.8%	8.6%	0.4	K 23.7% · BB 7.8% · FIP 4.16
2027PROJ	26	MLBTB	48	0	50	4.34	4.34	23.5%	8.8%	0.1
2028PROJ55% MLB	27	MLBTB	30	0	32	4.36	4.37	23.5%	8.9%	0.1
2029PROJ70% MLB	28	MLBTB	38	0	40	4.42	4.45	23.4%	9.1%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.4 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Command40FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 91%

CompsKaleb Bowman (age 26) · Josh Zeid (age 26) · Chaz Roe (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 99

ERA4.34

FIP4.34

K%23.5%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%14.8%

Proj IP50

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CMD4040

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	66	261	91	24	7	0%	1.9	26.1%	10.8%	15.3%	3.2%	3.14	4.04	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	66	261	91	24	7	0%	1.9	34.9%	9.2%	25.7%	2.7%	3.14	2.81	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	37	150	38	12	2	100%	4.7	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	1.6%	1.69	3.52	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	37	150	38	12	2	100%	4.7	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	1.6%	1.69	3.52	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	37	150	38	12	2	100%	4.7	25.3%	8.0%	17.3%	1.3%	1.69	2.73	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	20	83	28	8	1	0%	1.2	24.7%	5.6%	19.1%	2.2%	2.66	2.93	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	20	83	28	8	1	0%	1.2	24.7%	5.6%	19.1%	2.2%	2.66	2.93	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	20	83	28	8	1	0%	1.2	33.7%	9.6%	24.1%	1.2%	2.66	2.17	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	6	49	198	53	17	7	14%	1.2	23.7%	7.8%	16.0%	3.8%	4.56	4.16	+0.2
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	6	49	198	53	17	7	14%	1.2	23.7%	7.8%	16.0%	3.8%	4.56	4.16	+0.2
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	6	49	198	53	17	7	14%	1.2	26.8%	8.6%	18.2%	3.5%	4.56	3.83	+0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	0	6	24	5	2	1	0%	1.4	20.8%	8.3%	12.5%	4.2%	4.76	4.69	-0.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TB	48	0	50	211	50	19	7	0%	1.0	23.5%	8.8%	14.8%	3.2%	4.34	4.34	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	56	0	59	247	58	22	8	0%	1.0	23.5%	8.9%	14.6%	3.2%	4.36	4.37	+0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	54	0	57	240	56	22	8	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	3.3%	4.42	4.45	+0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	30	0	32	135	32	12	4	0%	1.1	23.5%	8.9%	14.6%	3.2%	4.36	4.37	+0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	38	0	40	169	39	15	6	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.1%	14.3%	3.3%	4.42	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		73	0	78	328	76	29	11	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	3.3%	4.42	4.08	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	845	196	75	28	0%	1.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	3.3%	4.42	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		102	14	173	692	165	62	20	14%	1.7	23.8%	9.0%	14.9%	2.9%	3.17	3.83	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		118	16	200	800	191	72	23	14%	1.7	23.8%	9.0%	14.9%	2.9%	3.17	3.83	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alex Cook (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.34	23.5%	8.8%	3.2%	—	4.41	23.4%	14.5%	115	+0.07	—	—	—
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.65	17.5%	6.2%	170	+0.77	3.88	203	84
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	83
Chaz Roe R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	25.3%	10.5%	3.1%	.259	2.81	24.6%	16.2%	133	-1.21	1.72	279	82
Kyle Winkler R 2016 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	23.1%	8.7%	2.6%	.234	3.53	18.4%	8.3%	43	-0.17	2.97	114	82
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	82
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	81
C.C. Lee R 2014 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	20.5%	8.7%	2.4%	.310	2.80	25.7%	17.6%	96	-0.97	2.59	149	81
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.36	21.4%	10.8%	92	+0.05	3.89	168	80
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	80
Santiago Casilla R 2007 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	23.7%	7.8%	2.7%	.257	3.60	19.8%	10.7%	154	+0.02	2.76	647	80
Matt Pushard R 2024 · 3.87 FIP	26	SU	3.87	24.1%	8.9%	3.0%	.242	3.29	22.2%	14.0%	115	-0.58	2.84	220	80
Brian Sanches R 2006 · 5.30 FIP	27	SU	5.30	22.4%	10.2%	5.1%	.295	4.52	19.0%	10.1%	82	-0.78	3.39	229	79
Zach Franklin R 2024 · 3.24 FIP	25	SU	3.24	26.4%	10.9%	1.8%	.301	4.15	27.5%	18.3%	117	+0.91	3.24	158	79
Josh Lueke R 2011 · 3.24 FIP	26	SU	3.24	20.4%	8.5%	1.4%	.323	4.75	18.7%	12.4%	52	+1.51	2.29	191	79
Jack Hartman R 2024 · 4.34 FIP	26	SU	4.34	20.9%	8.8%	3.4%	.310	4.29	17.6%	5.6%	46	-0.05	3.46	161	79
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	79
Josh Roenicke R 2009 · 3.25 FIP	26	SU	3.25	23.9%	10.9%	1.5%	.341	4.17	15.4%	4.7%	124	+0.92	3.25	500	79
Francisco Del Rosario R 2007 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	19.7%	9.4%	2.4%	.356	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	194	79
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	79
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2011 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	22.1%	9.6%	1.5%	.253	3.18	22.9%	13.4%	218	-0.10	2.72	398	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	23.4%	8.9%	1.25	4.39
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Michael Tonkin ('25)	1.6	55	23.2%	8.1%	1.28	4.23
Barney Schultz ('55-'65, 2 WAR*)	1.7	58	24.6%*	8.3%*	1.28*	3.93*
Buddy Schultz ('75-'79, 2 WAR*)	1.2	60	27.4%*	8.5%*	1.21*	4.14*
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*