Trendan Parish

P Charleston RiverDogs

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	ATB	4	6	12.71	5.04	25.0%	14.3%	—	K 25.0% · BB 14.3% · FIP 4.76
2026	24	MIX2 levels	23	39	2.54	4.41	14.7%	9.6%	—	K 10.8% · BB 11.7% · FIP 5.34
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	22	23	5.18	5.18	16.1%	11.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBTB	14	15	5.05	5.01	17.8%	10.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCasey Fien (age 25) · Carlos Alvarado (age 25) · Francisco Del Rosario (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 115

ERA5.18

FIP5.18

K%16.1%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%5.0%

Proj IP23

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	4	0	6	28	7	4	1	0%	1.4	25.0%	14.3%	10.7%	3.6%	12.71	4.76	—
2025	23	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	4	0	6	28	7	4	1	0%	1.4	25.0%	14.3%	10.7%	3.6%	12.71	4.76	—
2025	23	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	4	0	6	28	7	4	1	0%	1.4	25.0%	14.3%	10.7%	3.6%	12.71	5.04	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	39	177	26	17	4	0%	1.7	10.8%	11.7%	-0.9%	3.0%	2.54	5.34	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	39	177	26	17	4	0%	1.7	10.8%	11.7%	-0.9%	3.0%	2.54	5.34	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	39	177	26	17	4	0%	1.7	14.7%	9.6%	5.1%	2.3%	2.54	4.41	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	22	0	23	97	16	11	3	0%	1.0	16.1%	11.2%	5.0%	3.0%	5.18	5.18	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	33	0	35	148	26	16	4	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.05	5.01	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	14	0	15	63	11	7	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.05	5.01	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	11	7	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.05	4.63	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	147	93	27	0%	1.1	17.8%	10.9%	6.9%	3.0%	5.05	4.63	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		27	0	45	205	26	25	6	0%	1.7	12.8%	12.1%	0.7%	3.1%	3.83	5.26	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		121	0	200	918	117	111	29	0%	1.7	12.8%	12.1%	0.7%	3.1%	3.83	5.26	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trendan Parish (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.18	16.1%	11.2%	3.0%	—	5.01	17.8%	6.9%	35	-0.17	—	—	—
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	91
Carlos Alvarado R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.3%	10.0%	3.5%	.342	4.15	24.3%	14.8%	78	-0.75	2.68	102	88
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	87
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	87
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	87
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	87
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	86
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	202	86
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	86
Jonathan Brand R 2024 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	13.6%	10.6%	2.4%	.284	4.87	22.0%	11.9%	115	+0.26	3.34	198	86
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	86
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	85
Davison Palermo R 2024 · 5.31 FIP	24	SU	5.31	16.3%	11.2%	4.0%	.261	4.90	19.8%	7.4%	136	-0.41	4.32	220	85
Rafael Dolis R 2012 · 5.19 FIP	24	SU	5.19	13.9%	12.7%	3.0%	.287	4.02	15.8%	1.5%	66	-1.17	2.80	200	85
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	84
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	84
J.B. Olson R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	24	SU	4.98	15.0%	11.1%	3.2%	.328	4.29	15.1%	7.5%	109	-0.69	3.90	212	84
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	84
Zach Barnes R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	15.2%	10.3%	3.4%	.350	5.76	13.3%	-10.1%	14	+0.79	4.90	145	84
Jacinto Arredondo R 2022 · 4.89 FIP	24	SU	4.89	15.7%	10.7%	3.2%	.375	—	—	—	—	—	4.89	101	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	17.1%	11.0%	1.16	5.10
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*