Tyler Hoffman — OGILVIE

Tyler Hoffman P Fresno Grizzlies

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 182 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 22 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.15

FIP5.15

K%21.7%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	3	0	4	14	7	0	0	0%	1.4	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	2.08	-1.12	—
2022	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	3	0	4	14	7	0	0	0%	1.4	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	2.08	-0.13	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	30	140	31	21	3	0%	0.9	17.0%	16.2%	0.7%	2.0%	8.40	4.83	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	30	140	31	21	3	0%	0.9	22.1%	15.0%	7.1%	2.1%	8.40	4.43	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	35	0	37	178	35	35	5	0%	1.1	14.6%	23.2%	-8.7%	3.6%	7.23	6.81	—
2024	24	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	35	0	37	178	35	35	5	0%	1.1	14.6%	23.2%	-8.7%	3.6%	7.23	6.81	—
2024	24	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	35	0	37	178	35	35	5	0%	1.1	19.7%	19.7%	0.0%	2.8%	7.23	5.78	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	COL	21	0	22	93	20	14	3	0%	1.0	21.7%	14.6%	7.1%	3.0%	5.15	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	20	0	22	91	20	13	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	14.2%	7.6%	3.1%	5.11	5.15	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	8	0	8	34	7	5	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	14.2%	7.6%	3.1%	5.11	5.15	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	33	7	5	1	0%	1.1	21.8%	14.2%	7.6%	3.1%	5.11	4.77	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	128	26	0%	1.1	21.8%	14.2%	7.6%	3.1%	5.11	4.77	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		70	0	72	332	57	64	9	0%	1.0	17.1%	19.3%	-2.2%	2.8%	7.41	5.64	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		195	0	200	927	158	179	26	0%	1.0	17.1%	19.3%	-2.2%	2.8%	7.41	5.64	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Hoffman (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.15	21.7%	14.6%	3.0%	—	5.15	21.7%	7.6%	22	+0.00	—	—	—
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	86
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	86
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	85
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	85
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	84
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	83
Beck Wheeler R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	27	SU	4.42	24.9%	14.5%	2.9%	.360	5.40	15.3%	3.1%	58	+0.98	3.46	173	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Keagan Gillies R 2024 · 4.02 FIP	26	SU	4.02	21.1%	13.3%	1.9%	.306	3.91	20.0%	14.4%	74	-0.11	2.93	177	82
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	20.1%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.04	2.92	140	82
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	81
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	81
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	81
Cole Uvila R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	27	SU	4.06	20.4%	13.2%	1.8%	.360	3.16	20.2%	6.3%	44	-0.90	3.16	155	81
Jake Haberer R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	27	SU	5.24	24.3%	16.0%	4.0%	.324	5.08	16.4%	0.9%	62	-0.16	3.46	183	80
Michael Ynoa R 2019 · 4.68 FIP	27	SU	4.68	23.1%	13.8%	3.3%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	3.30	142	80
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	80
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	80
Scott Dohmann R 2005 · 4.93 FIP	27	SU	4.93	24.5%	12.6%	4.2%	.321	4.69	18.9%	7.5%	96	-0.24	4.28	173	80