Bennett Lee — OGILVIE

Bennett LeeC Erie SeaWolves

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION168 act + 112 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .252 / .240

PA112

HR1

K%36

BB%8

BABIP267

ISO70

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	90	68	13	1	0	0	14	16	6	1	0	191	375	206	581	15	241	18	16	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	90	60	12	1	0	0	22	11	6	1	0	200	455	217	671	17	235	12	24	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	202	181	24	9	0	2	17	81	4	0	0	133	223	215	438	83	224	40	8	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	202	173	30	10	0	3	25	55	4	0	0	173	292	283	575	110	235	27	12	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	237	214	16	4	0	3	17	135	3	0	0	75	154	136	289	61	165	57	7	137	-37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	237	202	23	6	0	3	29	92	3	0	0	114	235	188	423	74	182	39	12	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	DET	—	168	147	22	4	1	1	14	66	4	0	0	150	242	211	453	61	256	39	8	209	18	-16	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
YTD	24	AA	DET	—	168	141	25	5	1	1	20	51	4	0	0	177	297	248	545	71	264	30	12	258	55	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
ROS	24	AA	DET	2%	112	100	17	4	0	1	9	40	2	1	0	170	252	240	492	70	258	36	8	228	33	-9	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	DET	2%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						254	50	0	213	21	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	DET	—	170	149	22	4	1	1	14	67	4	0	0	148	240	208	448	60	253	39	8	209	18	-16	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.8
TOT	24	AA	DET	—	280	247	39	8	1	2	23	106	6	1	0	158	246	223	469	65	261	38	8	217	24	-24	+0	+0	+5	+8	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	DET	31%	299	267	47	10	1	4	25	101	5	2	1	176	259	266	525	90	263	34	8	243	44	-19	+0	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB	DET	45%	358	320	58	12	1	6	30	118	5	3	1	181	262	281	543	100	266	33	8	252	51	-20	+0	+0	+6	+10	-0.3
2029	27	MLB	DET	49%	383	342	64	13	2	6	32	125	6	3	1	187	268	289	558	102	267	33	8	255	54	-20	+0	+0	+7	+11	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	DET	52%	396	353	67	14	2	7	34	129	6	3	1	190	272	300	573	110	268	33	9	256	54	-21	+0	-1	+7	+11	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	DET	31%	93	84	14	3	0	1	8	32	1	1	0	167	247	238	485	71	259	34	9	228	33	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	DET	45%	160	144	25	5	1	2	13	53	2	1	0	174	252	264	515	90	262	33	8	237	39	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2029	27	MLB	DET	49%	188	167	31	6	1	3	16	61	3	2	0	186	269	287	556	102	263	32	9	241	42	-12	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.3
2030	28	MLB	DET	52%	204	182	33	7	1	3	17	66	3	2	0	181	262	280	543	99	263	32	8	241	43	-13	+0	-0	+4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	647	579	103	21	3	9	54	213	9	6	0	178	259	271	530	93	261	33	8	238	40	-44	+1	-0	+12	+18	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	103	21	3	9	54	214	9	6	0	177	257	270	527	93	260	33	8	238	40	-44	+1	-0	+12	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2077	1845	306	67	6	29	178	745	37	13	4	166	253	256	509	90	256	36	9	234	37	-147	+1	-1	+37	+59	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	96	21	2	9	56	233	12	4	1	166	254	256	511	90	257	36	9	234	37	-46	+0	-0	+12	+18	-1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	90	60	12	1	0	22	11	6	1	200	455	217	671	17	235	12	24	344	122	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	185	157	26	9	1	25	51	3	0	166	292	242	534	76	238	28	14	258	56	-9	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	17	16	4	1	2	0	4	1	0	250	294	688	982	438	200	24	0	417	177	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2025	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	237	202	23	6	3	29	92	3	0	114	235	188	423	74	182	39	12	207	17	-22	+0	—	—	+7	-1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	15	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.3	10.9
	/162	664	12	3	194	253	300	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	650	10	5	185	263	286	+12	+8	-0.5	-0.3
	/162	664	11	5	185	263	286	+11.9	+8.2	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bennett Lee (OGILVIE)	24	20	30	40	50	158/246/223	65	261	2	1	38%	8%	24	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	40→37	38→40	42→45	45	190/273/269	79	271	6	8	30%	8%	52	-1.6	172/246/239	67	256	5	8	32%	7%	33	-2.9	143/216/191	47	222	3	6	34%	7%	5	-2.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Austin Rei 2018 · A	24	37	39→40	37→40	38	179/253/269	90	275	6	4	35%	6%	43	-2.2	188/261/280	92	285	7	5	34%	7%	50	-1.8	171/249/254	84	252	8	2	33%	7%	36	-1.0
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2007 · AA	24	37	38→45	43→40	39	181/239/262	81	264	5	4	32%	6%	34	-2.8	196/247/275	79	277	6	4	30%	5%	40	-2.4	208/275/286	79	292	6	0	29%	7%	53	-0.7
✕David Masters 2017 · A	24	34→36	38→45	40	40	171/227/239	69	231	6	4	28%	6%	24	-3.6	188/253/283	95	260	10	2	30%	7%	46	-2.0	194/263/331	137	266	18	1	33%	7%	59	-0.5
✕Cristopher Navarro 2023 · AA	24	38	34→30	46→45	35	183/227/233	50	283	3	6	35%	5%	20	-3.8	189/242/261	72	274	4	6	31%	6%	35	-2.8	168/225/233	65	237	3	2	29%	6%	18	-0.8
✕Eric Yang 2022 · A	24	38	39→40	44→40	46	180/279/266	85	267	6	6	32%	9%	55	-1.4	189/266/268	79	289	6	6	34%	8%	48	-1.9	178/263/236	57	284	5	1	35%	8%	36	-0.6
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Anthony Hermelyn 2017 · A	23	34	39→40	41→30	39	169/234/251	81	270	7	3	38%	8%	30	-3.1	195/258/279	84	284	7	4	31%	8%	46	-2.0	187/254/254	67	262	5	0	28%	8%	35	-1.4
✕Rylan Sandoval 2012 · A	24	38	40	44→45	36	184/248/271	87	283	8	5	36%	5%	41	-2.3	200/252/288	88	300	7	7	34%	5%	46	-2.0	201/250/281	80	299	6	6	33%	5%	40	-0.9
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Joseph Odom 2015 · A	23	38	40→45	40→30	44	189/261/275	87	276	8	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	206/252/313	107	279	10	3	29%	5%	53	-1.5	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2018 · A	24	42	36→30	43→45	38	202/249/266	64	290	4	8	31%	5%	39	-2.5	210/257/285	75	300	4	7	30%	5%	47	-1.9	205/259/264	59	286	2	4	27%	5%	40	-1.2
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	192/253/287	94	265	8	6	30%	6%	47	-1.9	193/247/294	101	286	10	6	34%	6%	46	-2.0	150/200/249	98	218	12	0	36%	5%	11	-1.4
✕Gilbert Gomez 2015 · A	23	42→35	37→40	42→50	46	192/272/273	81	300	4	8	34%	10%	52	-1.6	182/255/263	81	285	5	9	34%	9%	42	-2.3	104/179/148	44	165	2	5	36%	8%	-20	-2.0
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→30	37→45	48→50	42	195/261/270	74	275	4	7	29%	7%	46	-2.0	201/266/321	120	293	13	15	34%	7%	62	-0.9	177/245/298	121	254	15	15	35%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Nick Derba 2010 · AA	24	35	38→30	39→30	47	169/265/248	79	261	6	4	34%	10%	43	-2.2	175/246/267	92	267	8	4	35%	8%	39	-2.5	153/214/231	78	226	7	1	34%	7%	13	-1.3
✕Michael Johnson 2013 · A	24	39	38→40	41→40	41	188/249/266	79	281	4	4	33%	7%	40	-2.4	214/282/284	70	309	4	6	29%	8%	58	-1.2	251/330/318	67	353	3	7	27%	10%	84	+0.3
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	183/216/254	71	254	4	4	29%	4%	20	-3.8	193/237/282	89	283	7	3	33%	5%	38	-2.6	184/229/268	84	273	7	0	34%	5%	28	-1.5