Brayan Diaz
P
DSL Cubs Red
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.1%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 13 | 0 | 16 | 80 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.5% | 23.4% | -9.0% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 4.85 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mariners | 13 | 0 | 16 | 80 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 18.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 5.06 | 3.79 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 5 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 26.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 4.66 | 2.69 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 5 | 0 | 10 | 41 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 26.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 4.66 | 2.69 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 16 | 0 | 37 | 166 | 41 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 16.8% | 12.8% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 5.15 | 3.74 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | ROK | DSL Cubs Red | 16 | 0 | 37 | 166 | 41 | 17 | 1 | 0% | 2.3 | 24.7% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 0.6% | 5.15 | 2.61 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 86 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 0 | 62 | 287 | 50 | 46 | 1 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.6% | 16.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 5.05 | 3.90 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 0 | 200 | 921 | 162 | 148 | 4 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.6% | 16.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 5.05 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brayan Diaz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.1% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.32 | 23.3% | 14.0% | 22 | -0.02 | — | — | — |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 90 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 87 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 86 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 86 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 85 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .257 | 5.16 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 44 | +1.98 | 3.18 | 117 | 85 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 85 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 85 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 84 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 84 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 83 |
| Dakota Donovan R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.70 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.67 | 18.9% | 6.4% | 50 | -0.03 | 3.17 | 153 | 83 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 83 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 83 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .274 | 4.67 | 24.1% | 8.8% | 38 | +1.43 | 3.24 | 172 | 82 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 82 |
| Kelly Austin R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.58 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 119 | 82 |
| Zac Leigh R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.72 | 28.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .282 | 4.81 | 20.3% | 2.9% | 127 | +1.09 | 3.72 | 197 | 82 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 82 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.35 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .313 | 4.49 | 26.9% | 16.0% | 47 | +0.14 | 2.52 | 275 | 81 |