Felix Tena — OGILVIE

Felix TenaCF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 148 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .243 / .271

PA148

HR1

K%24

BB%4

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	137	126	37	7	1	2	4	32	5	4	4	294	341	413	753	119	376	23	3	333	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	219	191	55	10	2	7	11	46	14	11	10	288	370	471	842	183	340	21	5	371	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	193	182	51	10	2	0	9	36	1	10	5	280	318	357	675	77	347	19	5	302	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	418	104	21	6	6	23	101	15	13	6	249	311	371	682	122	314	22	5	307	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	178	30	4	1	1	15	40	3	6	2	169	245	219	464	51	207	20	7	214	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	137	127	24	4	1	1	3	39	5	4	4	189	237	260	497	71	246	28	2	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	219	194	34	6	1	3	8	53	14	11	10	175	259	263	522	88	208	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	193	185	39	7	1	0	6	52	1	10	5	211	240	259	499	49	291	27	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	426	89	16	6	5	15	136	15	13	6	209	261	310	571	101	287	30	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	184	27	3	1	1	9	57	3	6	2	147	199	190	389	43	192	28	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	137	127	24	4	1	1	3	39	5	4	4	189	237	260	497	71	261	28	2	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	137	126	37	7	1	2	4	32	5	4	4	294	341	413	753	119	376	23	3	333	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	219	194	34	6	1	3	8	53	14	11	10	175	259	263	522	88	220	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	219	191	55	10	2	7	11	46	14	11	10	288	370	471	842	183	340	21	5	371	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	193	185	39	7	1	0	6	52	1	10	5	211	240	259	499	49	291	27	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	193	182	51	10	2	0	9	36	1	10	5	280	318	357	675	77	347	19	5	302	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	426	89	16	6	5	15	136	15	13	6	209	261	310	571	101	294	30	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	418	104	21	6	6	23	101	15	13	6	249	311	371	682	122	314	22	5	307	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	184	27	3	1	1	9	57	3	6	2	147	199	190	389	43	202	28	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	178	30	4	1	1	15	40	3	6	2	169	245	219	464	51	207	20	7	214	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	137	128	24	4	1	1	3	39	5	4	4	188	237	258	495	70	246	28	2	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	219	195	34	6	1	3	8	53	14	11	10	174	259	262	521	87	208	24	4	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	193	184	39	7	1	0	6	52	1	10	5	212	240	261	500	49	291	27	3	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	425	89	16	6	5	15	136	15	13	6	209	261	311	572	101	287	30	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	188	27	3	1	1	9	57	3	6	2	144	199	186	385	43	192	28	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	425	89	16	6	5	15	136	15	13	6	209	261	311	572	101	287	30	3	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	188	27	3	1	1	9	57	3	6	2	144	199	186	385	43	192	28	4	174	4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	0%	389	363	73	15	2	3	17	92	6	7	2	199	245	273	519	74	256	24	4	235	45	-25	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	171	159	33	7	1	2	8	40	2	3	1	205	253	293	546	88	259	23	5	246	53	-10	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	279	260	55	11	2	4	13	65	4	5	1	209	258	306	565	98	261	23	5	254	58	-14	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	51	48	10	2	0	1	2	12	1	1	0	215	263	314	577	99	272	24	4	259	53	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	123	114	25	5	1	2	6	29	2	2	1	219	268	329	598	110	274	24	5	268	58	-6	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	174	162	35	7	1	3	8	41	3	3	1	216	266	327	593	111	269	24	5	265	41	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	131	26	4	11	30	153	11	11	4	217	266	327	594	111	270	24	5	265	41	-34	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	1807	1674	329	60	14	17	68	477	46	55	30	197	248	280	527	83	262	26	4	229	41	-33	+1	+0	+2	+13	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	119	22	5	6	24	172	17	20	11	198	249	281	530	83	264	26	4	229	41	-36	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.5	323	3	6	205	250	290	+1	+5	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	7	12	+2.4	+10.3	-1.7	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felix Tena (OGILVIE)	23	25	20	45	30	197/243/271	74	256	1	3	24%	4%	45	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Pat Leyland 2015 · A	23	37	36→30	47→30	38	181/204/242	61	218	5	4	20%	2%	22	-4.3	214/252/285	71	264	5	5	20%	4%	51	-2.3	230/264/277	47	279	2	0	18%	4%	53	-0.9
✕Carlos Torres 2016 · A	23	36	38→30	46→50	37	180/220/257	76	248	6	7	30%	4%	32	-3.6	208/248/279	71	283	4	6	26%	4%	48	-2.5	215/244/266	51	284	2	3	24%	3%	39	-1.2
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Toby Gardenhire 2006 · A	23	40	35→30	47→40	40	192/248/251	58	267	3	7	28%	5%	42	-2.9	197/241/238	41	264	1	4	24%	5%	36	-3.4	234/286/262	28	285	1	3	17%	5%	54	-0.9
✕Nick Lovullo 2017 · A	23	38	36→30	45→40	38	187/231/253	66	265	4	6	30%	5%	36	-3.4	200/254/264	64	266	4	5	25%	6%	47	-2.5	191/247/244	54	255	3	3	25%	6%	37	-1.6
✕Jack Winkler 2022 · A	23	40→41	38→40	48→55	40	193/248/273	79	268	4	10	28%	6%	47	-2.5	205/268/294	89	269	7	14	25%	6%	60	-1.6	190/257/276	86	252	7	18	26%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Ariel Montesino 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	47→50	41	189/237/261	72	256	4	9	27%	6%	40	-3.1	187/238/270	83	284	5	10	34%	5%	43	-2.8	131/180/196	65	213	3	13	38%	4%	5	-1.5
✕Jairo Rodriguez 2012 · A	23	38	35→30	46→30	41	180/219/238	59	220	3	5	20%	4%	28	-3.9	208/252/267	59	260	3	3	20%	5%	47	-2.6	209/250/255	46	255	2	1	18%	4%	41	-0.9
✕Jose Vinicio 2016 · A	23	47→32	35→40	45→55	37	222/251/287	65	294	2	12	25%	3%	50	-2.3	226/250/303	77	302	5	13	26%	3%	53	-2.1	216/235/291	74	296	5	14	28%	2%	42	-1.4
✕Gunnar Heidt 2016 · A	23	35→41	36→45	49→50	37	174/215/238	65	251	3	11	31%	5%	26	-4.0	197/252/299	102	289	9	12	33%	6%	55	-1.9	196/253/299	104	285	9	12	33%	6%	53	-1.5
✕Roberto Baldoquin 2017 · A	23	41	34→30	41→45	37	195/239/245	50	287	2	6	32%	5%	36	-3.3	211/257/284	73	299	4	7	29%	5%	53	-2.1	211/255/282	72	294	4	6	28%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Bryan Johns 2012 · A	23	40	36→30	47→45	36	190/237/256	66	288	4	7	34%	5%	39	-3.1	195/269/258	63	278	3	6	28%	8%	53	-2.1	180/263/233	53	255	2	5	27%	8%	44	-1.0
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Chuck Moorman 2017 · A	23	37	37→40	39→30	36	184/216/254	69	253	4	4	29%	4%	30	-3.8	195/239/282	87	280	7	3	31%	5%	46	-2.6	186/232/268	82	270	7	0	32%	5%	37	-1.5
✕Warren Schaeffer 2008 · A	23	38	34→30	48→40	41	182/237/236	53	238	2	7	24%	5%	35	-3.4	198/241/269	71	267	4	6	26%	4%	43	-2.8	198/240/262	64	271	3	2	27%	4%	38	-1.3
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→30	46→40	35	181/218/252	71	266	5	5	33%	4%	31	-3.7	205/260/282	77	311	5	6	33%	6%	54	-2.0	203/267/233	29	322	0	0	34%	7%	45	-0.5
✕Johan Cruz 2019 · A	23	39	37→40	46→45	39	191/234/263	72	261	5	6	28%	5%	39	-3.1	202/252/297	95	295	9	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	189/242/290	100	284	11	1	36%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Ricky Eusebio 2017 · A	23	42→40	38→40	45	42	203/260/283	80	269	6	8	26%	6%	55	-2.0	205/259/318	113	287	10	6	31%	6%	62	-1.4	157/208/317	159	213	17	0	35%	5%	40	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps