Felix Tena — OGILVIE

Felix TenaCF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 196 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 235 proj PA

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .234 / .264

PA235

HR2

K%26

BB%4

ISO75

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	137	128	27	4	1	1	2	45	5	4	4	211	252	281	533	70	313	33	1	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	137	126	37	7	1	2	4	32	5	4	4	294	341	413	753	119	376	23	3	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	219	195	39	7	2	4	7	58	14	11	10	200	278	318	596	118	257	26	3	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	219	191	55	10	2	7	11	46	14	11	10	288	370	471	842	183	340	21	5	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	193	185	40	7	1	0	6	52	1	10	5	216	245	265	510	49	299	27	3	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	193	182	51	10	2	0	9	36	1	10	5	280	318	357	675	77	347	19	5	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	426	85	14	6	5	15	132	15	13	6	200	252	296	548	96	276	29	3	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	418	104	21	6	6	23	101	15	13	6	249	311	371	682	122	314	22	5	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	184	26	3	1	1	9	59	3	6	2	141	194	185	379	43	197	29	4	168	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	178	30	4	1	1	15	40	3	6	2	169	245	219	464	51	207	20	7	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	22	MLB	COL	—	235	220	42	7	2	2	9	62	4	4	2	191	236	268	504	77	255	26	4	228	33	-18	+0	+0	+1	+7	-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	COL	34%	276	257	52	9	2	4	12	70	5	5	2	202	252	300	551	97	260	25	4	245	46	-17	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.8
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	366	340	71	12	3	6	17	92	6	6	2	209	259	315	574	106	263	25	5	257	55	-19	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.7
2029	25	MLB	COL	52%	418	387	82	14	3	8	21	104	7	7	3	212	265	326	591	114	265	25	5	263	59	-19	+0	+0	+1	+12	-0.6
2030	26	MLB	COL	54%	451	418	88	15	3	9	23	112	7	7	3	211	263	325	589	115	265	25	5	266	62	-20	+0	+0	+2	+13	-0.5
2031	27	MLB	COL	58%	466	431	91	16	3	9	24	116	8	8	3	211	266	325	590	114	265	25	5	266	62	-20	+0	+0	+2	+13	-0.5
2027	23	MLB	COL	34%	95	89	19	3	1	1	4	24	2	2	1	213	263	303	567	90	279	25	4	250	49	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	169	156	34	6	1	3	8	42	3	3	1	218	269	327	596	109	283	25	5	263	59	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2029	25	MLB	COL	52%	216	199	46	8	2	5	11	54	4	4	1	231	285	367	652	136	284	25	5	270	65	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB	COL	54%	245	227	51	9	2	5	12	61	4	4	2	225	276	348	624	123	285	25	5	273	67	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	27	MLB	COL	58%	272	252	57	10	2	6	14	67	4	4	2	226	278	353	631	127	285	25	5	273	67	-10	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	997	923	207	36	8	20	49	248	17	17	7	224	276	346	622	121	284	25	5	268	64	-41	+1	+0	+4	+28	-0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	134	23	5	13	32	162	11	11	5	223	275	342	617	120	281	25	5	268	64	-27	+0	+0	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3421	3171	643	108	27	49	145	902	75	81	42	203	254	300	555	97	265	26	4	246	46	-207	-1	+0	+12	+97	-10.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	122	21	5	9	28	171	14	15	8	203	255	299	554	96	265	26	4	246	46	-39	-0	+0	+2	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	137	126	37	7	1	2	4	32	5	4	4	294	341	413	753	119	376	23	3	333	113	+2	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	18	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	219	191	55	10	2	7	11	46	14	11	10	288	370	471	842	183	340	21	5	371	142	+10	-2	—	—	+6	1.5
2023	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	193	182	51	10	2	0	9	36	1	10	5	280	318	357	675	77	347	19	5	302	90	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	458	418	104	21	6	6	23	101	15	13	6	249	311	371	682	122	314	22	5	307	93	-4	+0	—	—	+13	1.0
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	202	178	30	4	1	1	15	40	3	6	2	169	245	219	464	51	207	20	7	214	22	-18	+0	—	—	+6	-1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,231	20	21	207	255	311	+4	+8	-2.5	-1.2
	/162	664	11	11	207	255	311	+2.4	+4.0	-1.3	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Felix Tena (OGILVIE)	22	25	20	45	30	190/234/264	74	255	2	4	26%	4%	33	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Torres 2015 · A	22	38	37→30	44→50	39	185/231/250	65	251	5	7	28%	5%	27	-3.3	200/239/272	72	273	5	6	27%	4%	36	-2.7	200/236/264	64	268	4	4	26%	4%	29	-0.9
✕Claudio Finol 2022 · A	22	40	39→40	46→45	40	193/251/277	85	270	5	6	30%	6%	43	-2.2	194/250/277	83	275	7	9	30%	6%	43	-2.2	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Juan Avila 2014 · A	22	38	36→40	46→40	41	182/235/247	66	232	4	5	23%	5%	28	-3.2	214/267/306	92	283	6	5	25%	5%	57	-1.2	211/262/306	95	279	5	2	25%	4%	53	-1.0
✕J.C. Millan 2018 · A	22	40	37→45	45→30	36	194/235/268	74	277	4	8	31%	4%	33	-2.9	221/267/321	100	274	9	6	22%	6%	61	-1.0	227/273/327	101	266	11	4	19%	6%	61	-0.4
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Justin Twine 2018 · A	22	35→31	36→45	46→50	30	172/213/238	66	275	4	7	38%	3%	16	-4.1	211/251/299	88	302	6	10	31%	4%	48	-1.9	216/252/313	97	321	8	14	34%	3%	50	-1.0
✕Luis De La Cruz 2011 · A	22	39	40	47→30	38	193/229/294	101	252	6	6	26%	4%	37	-2.6	234/265/316	82	286	5	6	19%	4%	58	-1.2	263/286/335	71	310	4	4	16%	3%	67	-0.2
✕Gregori Gonzalez 2010 · A	21	39	35→30	46→55	38	188/230/246	58	269	3	14	30%	5%	25	-3.5	217/258/295	78	269	3	13	20%	4%	50	-1.8	230/267/317	87	275	3	15	17%	3%	58	-0.3
✕Juan Beltre 2007 · A	21	36	34→30	47→60	34	173/221/220	48	266	2	10	34%	4%	15	-4.1	209/274/272	63	297	3	19	29%	6%	52	-1.6	243/319/291	49	314	2	32	21%	7%	73	-0.0
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	38	38→30	47→50	39	185/237/262	77	264	5	13	31%	6%	33	-2.9	197/249/259	62	309	3	10	35%	6%	37	-2.6	191/245/241	50	305	2	10	36%	6%	27	-1.8
✕Miguel Hernandez 2021 · A	22	40→37	38→40	47→45	37	197/228/276	79	265	6	6	28%	4%	32	-3.0	216/258/295	79	295	6	7	27%	5%	50	-1.8	219/261/291	72	293	7	6	27%	5%	46	-0.7
✕Jose Rivera 2012 · A	22	38	35→40	40→45	38	182/219/236	54	245	2	5	26%	4%	17	-4.0	202/246/271	69	258	3	5	22%	4%	39	-2.5	198/244/266	68	250	3	4	21%	4%	33	-1.0
✕Ramon Beltre 2019 · A	22	44→28	40	49→50	37	216/249/308	91	286	8	7	27%	4%	50	-1.8	183/211/268	85	283	6	6	36%	3%	22	-3.7	151/172/231	79	238	5	6	38%	2%	-8	-4.5
✕Jose Vinicio 2015 · A	22	41→30	35→40	46→55	34	197/230/257	60	285	3	14	31%	3%	27	-3.3	224/249/295	71	298	4	12	25%	3%	45	-2.1	225/243/297	71	298	4	13	26%	2%	38	-1.1
✕Alejandro Torres 2012 · A	23	37	37→40	46→40	35	182/219/253	71	267	4	5	33%	4%	22	-3.7	205/260/281	76	311	5	6	33%	6%	48	-1.9	198/265/228	30	313	0	0	34%	8%	37	-0.5
✕Roberto Alvarez 2021 · A	22	44→42	36→30	49→40	38	212/247/278	66	277	4	5	25%	4%	40	-2.4	228/285/296	68	302	4	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	240/305/296	56	311	1	2	21%	7%	68	-0.1
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Juan Montes 2017 · A	22	39	38→30	50→55	43	189/263/266	77	237	6	12	22%	6%	46	-2.0	203/284/273	70	273	5	16	26%	6%	58	-1.2	192/284/244	52	266	4	21	26%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	39	37→40	44→45	44	189/248/258	70	262	5	5	29%	7%	37	-2.6	210/276/290	80	306	5	7	30%	7%	57	-1.2	212/285/293	81	313	4	8	31%	7%	58	-0.5