Josh Sanders — OGILVIE

Josh Sanders P Hub City Spartanburgers

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.74

FIP5.74

K%14.7%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%3.0%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	5 levels	19	0	40	166	27	11	3	0%	2.1	12.1%	9.0%	3.1%	1.8%	3.18	4.20	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	5 levels	19	0	40	166	27	11	3	0%	2.1	12.1%	9.0%	3.1%	1.8%	3.18	4.20	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	5 levels	19	0	40	166	27	11	3	0%	2.1	16.3%	6.6%	9.6%	1.8%	3.18	3.55	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	28	148	22	18	12	0%	2.4	10.4%	13.8%	-3.4%	10.3%	12.71	9.65	—
2026	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	0	28	148	22	18	12	0%	2.4	10.4%	13.8%	-3.4%	10.3%	12.71	9.65	—
2026	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	0	28	148	22	18	12	0%	2.4	14.9%	12.2%	2.7%	8.1%	12.71	8.96	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TEX	14	0	15	63	9	7	2	0%	1.1	14.7%	11.7%	3.0%	3.7%	5.74	5.74	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	34	0	36	151	25	17	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	3.6%	5.53	5.49	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	14	0	15	63	11	7	2	0%	1.1	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	3.6%	5.53	5.49	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	11	7	2	0%	1.0	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	3.6%	5.53	5.11	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	143	91	26	0%	1.1	16.8%	11.5%	5.3%	3.6%	5.53	5.11	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		31	0	68	314	35	35	18	0%	2.2	11.3%	11.3%	0.0%	5.8%	7.15	6.77	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	0	200	924	104	104	54	0%	2.2	11.3%	11.3%	0.0%	5.8%	7.15	6.77	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Sanders (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.74	14.7%	11.7%	3.7%	—	5.49	16.8%	5.3%	36	-0.25	—	—	—
Ryan Vogelsong R 2001 · 5.34 FIP	24	SU	5.34	14.6%	11.6%	3.7%	.287	4.78	14.9%	5.7%	155	-0.56	3.14	1,184	84
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	83
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	83
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	82
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	82
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	82
Jorge Campillo R 2007 · 4.84 FIP	28	SU	4.84	14.3%	9.5%	3.2%	.348	3.93	16.3%	10.8%	159	-0.91	3.93	172	81
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	81
Conner O'Neil R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	12.8%	13.6%	3.7%	.340	6.92	16.4%	4.1%	26	+1.14	2.89	115	81
Jack Carey R 2024 · 5.32 FIP	24	SU	5.32	15.6%	11.3%	3.8%	.305	4.27	19.6%	5.3%	88	-1.05	3.79	250	81
JC Ramírez R 2013 · 6.11 FIP	24	SU	6.11	13.8%	12.1%	4.8%	.300	4.05	17.1%	9.9%	145	-2.06	3.75	393	81
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	80
Jonathan Brand R 2024 · 4.61 FIP	24	SU	4.61	13.6%	10.6%	2.4%	.284	4.87	22.0%	11.9%	115	+0.26	3.34	198	80
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	80
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	202	80
J.B. Olson R 2019 · 4.98 FIP	24	SU	4.98	15.0%	11.1%	3.2%	.328	4.29	15.1%	7.5%	109	-0.69	3.90	212	80
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	80
Jarod Wright R 2022 · 5.73 FIP	25	SU	5.73	12.7%	13.2%	3.7%	.282	4.46	13.2%	3.8%	53	-1.27	4.46	170	79
El'Hajj Muhammad R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	25	SU	4.58	13.6%	10.0%	2.5%	.285	5.01	7.1%	-2.5%	11	+0.43	4.58	113	79
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	16.1%	11.5%	1.40	5.59
Brian Stokes ('10)	1.0	52	14.5%	10.1%	1.22	5.27
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Dave Stevens ('00)	1.3	50	14.6%	11.3%	1.76	6.02
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78