Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 5 levels | 19 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 12.1% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.18 | 4.06 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 5 levels | 19 | 0 | 40 | 166 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.3% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 3.55 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 11 | 0 | 25 | 134 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 0% | 2.3 | 11.6% | 14.5% | -2.8% | 10.5% | 13.32 | 9.72 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 41 | 201 | 36 | 23 | 13 | — | — | 18.0% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.86 | 7.66 | -1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.42 | 4.04 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.96 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 69 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 30 | 0 | 65 | 300 | 36 | 34 | 17 | 0% | 2.2 | 11.9% | 11.5% | 0.4% | 5.5% | 7.10 | 6.59 | -1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 93 | 0 | 200 | 928 | 110 | 106 | 51 | 0% | 2.2 | 11.9% | 11.5% | 0.4% | 5.5% | 7.10 | 6.59 | -2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Sanders (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 21.3% | 9.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.34 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 20 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 85 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 85 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 85 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 85 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 84 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 84 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 83 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 82 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.23 | 22.1% | 8.7% | 1.6% | .157 | 4.72 | 24.3% | 10.2% | 101 | +1.49 | 3.23 | 179 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 81 |
| Luis Eusebio R 2025 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 131 | 81 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 81 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 80 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 80 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 80 |
| Cole Ayers R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.1% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .298 | 5.00 | 15.2% | -0.4% | 32 | +1.14 | 3.52 | 171 | 80 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.26 | 18.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .296 | 5.21 | 18.2% | 7.4% | 37 | +0.95 | 4.26 | 152 | 80 |
| Trey McLoughlin R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.89 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .295 | 4.73 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 95 | +0.84 | 3.78 | 217 | 79 |