Cory Wall
P
Rome Emperors
+0.4
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 230 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 0.4 · 2026
ERA4.20
FIP4.20
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.1%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.1%
IP46
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.4peak
2026
K†5555
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 9 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 0.0% | 4.30 | 2.55 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 27 | 9 | 79 | 318 | 80 | 21 | 5 | 19.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 3.20 | 3.79 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | 34 | 3 | 49 | 201 | 55 | 17 | 1 | 21.4% | 9.6% | 0.6% | 2.20 | 2.86 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | A+ | Rome Emperors | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | ATL | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 42 | 17 | 5 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.20 | +0.4 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | ATL | — | — | 48 | 202 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 3.94 | 3.94 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | ATL | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 43 | 17 | 5 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 44 | — | 44 | 188 | 42 | 17 | 5 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.26 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.30 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 39 | 17 | 5 | 22.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 37 | 16 | 5 | 21.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 36 | 16 | 5 | 21.6% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.62 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 20.9% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.78 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | ATL | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 20.1% | 10.5% | 3.4% | 4.91 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 12 | 145 | 591 | 119 | 48 | 9 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 2.91 | 3.30 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 99 | 17 | 200 | 813 | 164 | 66 | 12 | 20.1% | 8.1% | 1.6% | 2.91 | 3.30 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cory Wall (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.20 | 22.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | — | 4.26 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 133 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 93 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 90 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 89 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.70 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .232 | 5.13 | 18.0% | 7.0% | 180 | +1.43 | 3.70 | 223 | 89 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .292 | 4.93 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +0.96 | 3.84 | 299 | 89 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.74 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.7% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.21 | 2.96 | 114 | 88 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .310 | 4.30 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | -0.02 | 3.45 | 161 | 87 |
| Esmerling De La Rosa R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.37 | 20.5% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .313 | 4.87 | 14.1% | 5.8% | 66 | +1.50 | 2.90 | 237 | 86 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.58 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 169 | 86 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .243 | 3.46 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -1.00 | 3.46 | 198 | 85 |
| Neil Ramírez R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.10 | 25.0% | 10.0% | 1.5% | .289 | 4.77 | 28.3% | 17.6% | 151 | +1.67 | 3.10 | 220 | 85 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 85 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.52 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .244 | 3.73 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 168 | +0.21 | 3.18 | 253 | 84 |
| Jason Ruffcorn R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .255 | 4.04 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 66 | -0.10 | 4.04 | 214 | 84 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.05 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.28 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.23 | 3.34 | 187 | 84 |
| Jeff Johnson R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 21.9% | 9.6% | 1.3% | .284 | 3.71 | 23.6% | 8.0% | 55 | +0.53 | 2.49 | 160 | 84 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.32 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .299 | 4.62 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 58 | +0.30 | 3.86 | 134 | 84 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.33 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .282 | 3.20 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 618 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.22 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.0% | .273 | 4.53 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.31 | 3.70 | 187 | 83 |
| Scott Oberg R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.24 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .260 | 2.93 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 188 | -0.31 | 2.59 | 302 | 83 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.5M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.2 | $0.9M | +$0.0M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.0M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $7M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $11M | $4M | -$7M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.