Leonel Espinoza

SS South Bend Cubs

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+CHC	89	.244/.295/.256	0	10	30	—	.214/.250/.226
2025	22	ACHC	408	.270/.333/.370	6	21	51	—	.217/.262/.293
2026	23	A+CHC	207	.223/.302/.348	3	10	46	—	.190/.254/.286
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBCHC	1	.206/.260/.292	0	0	54	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBCHC	67	.210/.266/.305	1	2	59	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCHC	133	.212/.269/.314	2	3	63	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed93

Z-Con%90

Whiff%67

K%54

ISO38

wOBA21

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsMike Martin (age 24) · Najee Gaskins (age 24) · Malquin Canelo (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .260 / .292

PA1

HR0

K%27

BB%6

BABIP278

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	173	39	5	1	8	21	43	9	11	3	225	340	405	745	179	252	21	10	336	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	47	6	1	0	0	2	15	2	2	1	128	196	149	345	21	188	29	4	167	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	148	129	47	9	2	2	15	26	4	11	5	364	446	512	958	147	446	18	10	427	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	257	215	56	11	5	5	30	60	11	10	4	260	379	428	807	167	340	23	12	363	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	27	22	6	0	1	0	4	5	1	0	0	273	407	364	771	91	353	19	15	358	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	89	82	20	1	0	0	6	12	0	10	0	244	295	256	552	12	282	13	7	255	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	408	370	100	15	2	6	31	90	4	21	8	270	333	370	704	100	339	22	8	317	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Leones del Caracas	—	20	19	6	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	2	316	350	368	718	53	429	25	5	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	207	184	41	10	2	3	17	48	4	10	1	223	302	348	650	125	284	23	8	293	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	179	22	3	1	2	15	53	9	11	3	123	227	184	411	61	153	26	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	52	48	5	1	0	0	1	20	2	2	1	104	157	125	282	21	169	38	2	129	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	148	135	34	6	1	1	9	37	4	11	5	252	318	333	651	81	348	25	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	257	224	45	8	4	4	21	83	11	10	4	201	301	326	627	125	294	32	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	27	23	5	0	1	0	3	7	1	0	0	217	333	304	638	87	263	26	11	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	89	84	18	1	0	0	4	15	0	10	0	214	250	226	476	12	247	17	4	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	408	382	83	12	1	5	19	128	4	21	8	217	262	293	555	76	303	31	5	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	207	189	36	8	2	2	12	61	4	10	1	190	254	286	539	95	257	29	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	179	22	3	1	2	15	53	9	11	3	123	227	184	411	61	160	26	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	173	39	5	1	8	21	43	9	11	3	225	340	405	745	179	252	21	10	336	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	182	39	7	1	1	11	58	6	13	6	214	281	280	562	66	309	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	200	176	53	10	2	2	17	41	6	13	6	301	382	415	797	114	383	20	8	359	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	284	248	49	8	4	4	23	90	12	10	4	198	297	310	607	113	292	32	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	284	237	62	11	6	5	34	65	12	10	4	262	382	422	804	160	341	23	12	363	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	517	485	104	13	1	5	24	148	4	33	10	214	257	276	534	62	295	29	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	517	471	126	17	2	6	38	107	4	33	10	268	327	350	678	83	331	21	7	306	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	207	189	36	8	2	2	12	61	4	10	1	190	254	286	539	95	268	29	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	207	184	41	10	2	3	17	48	4	10	1	223	302	348	650	125	284	23	8	293	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	204	178	22	3	1	2	15	53	9	11	3	124	227	185	412	62	153	26	7	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	181	39	7	1	1	11	58	6	13	6	215	281	282	563	66	301	29	6	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	284	247	49	8	4	4	23	90	12	10	4	198	297	312	609	113	291	32	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	517	484	104	13	1	5	24	148	4	33	10	215	257	277	534	62	293	29	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	207	189	36	8	2	2	12	61	4	10	1	190	254	286	539	95	257	29	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	284	247	49	8	4	4	23	90	12	10	4	198	297	312	609	113	291	32	8	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	517	484	104	13	1	5	24	148	4	33	10	215	257	277	534	62	293	29	5	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	207	189	36	8	2	2	12	61	4	10	1	190	254	286	539	95	257	29	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	257	238	48	8	1	3	14	71	3	7	2	204	259	288	547	84	275	28	5	248	54	-14	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	206	260	292	552	86	278	0	0	250	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	220	202	41	7	1	3	13	60	3	6	1	208	264	302	566	94	276	27	6	256	59	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	301	276	59	10	2	5	18	81	4	8	2	210	268	311	578	100	277	27	6	261	63	-13	+1	+0	+3	+7	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	CHC	49%	343	315	67	12	2	6	21	92	4	8	2	211	269	313	583	102	277	27	6	263	64	-15	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	67	62	12	2	0	1	4	18	1	2	0	210	266	305	571	96	279	27	6	258	59	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	133	122	26	5	1	2	8	36	2	3	1	212	269	314	583	102	280	27	6	263	63	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	CHC	49%	168	154	33	6	1	3	10	45	2	4	1	213	271	316	587	103	281	27	6	265	64	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	368	338	71	13	2	6	22	99	5	9	2	210	268	314	582	104	277	27	6	263	54	-16	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	126	23	4	11	39	175	9	16	4	211	270	318	588	107	277	27	6	263	54	-29	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2433	2221	447	73	15	30	146	686	48	103	30	201	265	288	554	87	275	28	6	248	54	-47	+3	+0	+11	+22	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	120	20	4	8	39	183	13	28	8	202	267	290	557	88	277	28	6	248	54	-30	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	369	6	9	211	266	312	+4	+3	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+5.4	-0.1	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Leonel Espinoza (OGILVIE)	24	45	30	55	30	202/256/286	83	275	2	4	28%	6%	54	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Najee Gaskins 2022 · A	24	44	39→30	51→50	36	209/259/295	86	315	7	12	34%	5%	57	-1.8	213/283/290	77	359	4	9	39%	6%	65	-1.2	209/294/267	58	376	2	10	40%	7%	63	-0.6
✕Malquin Canelo 2019 · AA	24	45→50	39→40	52→50	40	216/260/300	85	291	6	16	28%	6%	57	-1.8	215/259/299	84	319	6	12	32%	5%	57	-1.8	205/249/280	75	320	4	8	35%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Joel Booker 2018 · A	24	48→49	37→40	53→55	38	226/273/291	65	308	5	19	27%	4%	61	-1.5	220/272/300	80	308	6	19	29%	5%	63	-1.4	205/254/285	79	297	6	23	32%	4%	50	-1.5
✕Rick Hague 2013 · A	24	43→46	40	52→50	38	210/252/301	91	291	7	15	30%	5%	55	-2.0	211/251/297	86	284	6	9	27%	5%	53	-2.1	209/247/290	82	277	5	6	26%	4%	48	-1.7
✕Errol Robinson 2019 · AA	24	46→49	40	51→55	41	221/268/310	89	296	8	17	27%	6%	63	-1.4	211/268/290	79	295	7	13	29%	7%	59	-1.7	197/269/244	47	303	3	26	33%	8%	46	-0.9
✕Brock Hebert 2015 · AA	24	44	37→40	51→50	39	208/264/282	74	307	4	14	32%	6%	56	-1.9	205/278/296	91	319	5	10	34%	8%	64	-1.3	202/292/300	98	322	4	9	35%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Eduardo Torrealba 2023 · A	24	44	39→30	54→50	44	211/263/291	80	254	6	17	20%	5%	57	-1.8	209/267/282	73	262	5	14	21%	6%	57	-1.8	203/264/251	48	253	3	15	20%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Brody Moore 2024 · A	24	41→51	36→30	50→55	40	192/252/256	64	297	3	14	34%	7%	45	-2.7	218/266/281	63	294	4	20	26%	6%	55	-1.9	228/275/284	56	297	4	23	23%	5%	57	-1.3
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	40→50	39→40	55	41	194/256/275	81	272	7	21	30%	6%	51	-2.2	218/272/309	91	285	6	17	25%	6%	65	-1.2	226/281/321	94	290	6	16	23%	5%	69	-0.8
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Delvin Zinn 2021 · A	24	46→44	36→30	50→55	38	217/262/279	62	297	3	16	27%	4%	53	-2.1	186/243/254	68	260	5	31	28%	6%	42	-2.9	161/221/213	53	223	4	43	28%	6%	23	-1.9
✕Mylz Jones 2018 · A	24	46→48	38→40	51→55	37	224/253/303	79	296	6	20	26%	3%	55	-1.9	210/242/304	94	275	9	16	26%	4%	51	-2.2	198/229/293	95	254	9	15	26%	3%	42	-2.0
✕Brantley Bell 2019 · A	24	42→43	37→40	52→55	38	203/251/277	74	281	5	18	28%	5%	49	-2.4	203/254/284	81	262	6	14	24%	5%	52	-2.2	186/236/256	70	247	5	15	26%	5%	37	-1.4
✕Ryan Leonards 2015 · A	24	46	39→40	56→50	43	220/275/306	87	278	6	12	23%	6%	65	-1.2	217/278/294	77	278	5	9	22%	6%	63	-1.3	212/277/276	64	270	3	8	21%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Erlin Cerda 2018 · A	24	42	37→40	50→55	35	199/246/280	81	297	4	9	33%	4%	48	-2.5	198/242/274	76	306	4	9	34%	5%	45	-2.7	162/195/205	44	254	0	8	35%	3%	7	-1.3
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	193/248/248	54	285	2	14	32%	6%	41	-3.0	218/278/290	72	315	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/291/287	61	329	2	11	29%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Breland Almadova 2015 · A	24	47→51	39→40	50→55	42	224/279/311	88	311	6	16	29%	6%	68	-1.0	225/279/315	90	304	6	18	26%	6%	68	-1.0	222/275/305	82	293	5	22	25%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Andrew Sohn 2016 · A	23	45	38→30	52→55	40	214/265/290	76	279	6	18	25%	5%	58	-1.7	204/275/282	78	280	7	15	27%	7%	60	-1.6	171/262/224	52	238	5	18	28%	9%	41	-1.4
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2012 · A	24	42→50	41→40	50→55	40	207/252/307	100	268	9	12	26%	5%	57	-1.8	218/259/301	83	284	5	17	24%	5%	57	-1.8	234/270/304	70	288	2	12	19%	4%	58	-0.9

Leonel Espinoza

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps