Camden Minacci

P Rocket City Trash Pandas

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #769

ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	45	49	3.31	2.67	31.3%	9.7%	—	K 24.8% · BB 10.9% · FIP 3.67
2025	23	AALAA	47	61	4.60	3.03	21.9%	9.3%	—	K 17.7% · BB 10.2% · FIP 3.61
2026	24	AALAA	39	48	3.59	2.13	29.9%	10.3%	—	K 24.2% · BB 11.3% · FIP 2.81
2027PROJ	25	MLBLAA	57	60	4.42	4.42	22.3%	12.0%	0.1
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBLAA	25	26	4.39	4.38	22.6%	11.7%	0.1
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBLAA	35	37	4.41	4.42	22.7%	11.6%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff50Command35FB velo55

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsJesus Pirela (age 26) · Carlos Fisher (age 26) · Dylan Hall (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%22.3%

BB%12.0%

K-BB%10.3%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4550

CMD3035

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	43	10	1	0	0%	1.2	23.3%	2.3%	20.9%	0.0%	5.40	1.43	—
2023	21	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	8	43	10	1	0	0%	1.2	23.3%	2.3%	20.9%	0.0%	5.40	1.06	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	49	217	68	21	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.9%	13.9%	2.3%	3.31	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	49	217	68	21	4	0%	1.1	24.8%	10.9%	13.9%	2.3%	3.31	3.67	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	49	217	68	21	4	0%	1.1	31.3%	9.7%	21.7%	1.8%	3.31	2.67	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	47	0	61	270	59	25	3	0%	1.3	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	1.3%	4.60	3.61	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	47	0	61	270	59	25	3	0%	1.3	17.7%	10.2%	7.5%	1.3%	4.60	3.61	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	47	0	61	270	59	25	3	0%	1.3	21.9%	9.3%	12.6%	1.1%	4.60	3.03	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	39	0	48	204	61	21	1	0%	1.2	24.2%	11.3%	12.9%	0.6%	3.59	2.81	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	39	0	48	204	61	21	1	0%	1.2	24.2%	11.3%	12.9%	0.6%	3.59	2.81	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	39	0	48	204	61	21	1	0%	1.2	29.9%	10.3%	19.6%	0.5%	3.59	2.13	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	LAA	57	0	60	253	56	30	6	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.0%	10.3%	2.4%	4.42	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	57	0	60	251	57	29	6	0%	1.0	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	2.4%	4.39	4.38	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	56	0	59	247	56	29	6	0%	1.0	22.7%	11.6%	11.1%	2.5%	4.41	4.42	+0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	25	0	26	110	25	13	3	0%	1.0	22.6%	11.7%	10.9%	2.4%	4.39	4.38	+0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	35	0	37	156	35	18	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	11.6%	11.1%	2.5%	4.41	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		60	0	63	267	60	31	7	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.6%	11.0%	2.5%	4.40	4.02	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	190	98	22	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.6%	11.0%	2.5%	4.40	4.02	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		138	0	166	734	161	75	10	0%	1.2	21.9%	10.3%	11.7%	1.3%	3.97	3.28	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		167	0	200	886	194	91	12	0%	1.2	21.9%	10.3%	11.7%	1.3%	3.97	3.28	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Camden Minacci (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	22.3%	12.0%	2.4%	—	4.40	22.6%	11.0%	118	-0.02	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	93
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	91
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	90
Luis Ramirez R 2016 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	24.0%	12.6%	1.9%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.71	104	89
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	89
Guido Knudson R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	25	SU	3.50	20.7%	11.1%	1.4%	.255	4.69	17.5%	6.7%	47	+1.19	3.50	106	89
Esmerling Vasquez R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	25	SU	3.86	18.9%	11.3%	1.7%	.296	4.30	17.3%	4.7%	116	+0.44	3.70	204	89
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	88
Shawn Tolleson R 2012 · 3.86 FIP	24	SU	3.86	24.4%	11.9%	2.4%	.265	3.47	24.4%	18.5%	144	-0.39	3.05	218	88
Nolan Riggs R 2018 · 4.49 FIP	25	SU	4.49	20.7%	14.0%	2.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	2.36	132	88
Yoervis Medina R 2013 · 3.44 FIP	25	SU	3.44	24.4%	11.3%	1.8%	.242	3.73	21.1%	10.3%	118	+0.29	3.01	186	88
Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 3.39 FIP	24	SU	3.39	21.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.282	3.78	20.0%	13.0%	95	+0.39	2.20	144	88
Pat Light R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.1%	13.1%	2.1%	.276	4.63	11.8%	-2.3%	55	+0.53	4.10	172	88
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	88
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	88
Taylor Floyd R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	25	SU	4.34	21.7%	10.8%	3.1%	.331	4.61	18.4%	8.9%	192	+0.27	3.48	359	87
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	87
Kyle Grana R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	25	SU	3.65	21.7%	13.9%	1.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.17	109	87
Dusty Isaacs R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	25	SU	4.00	23.1%	10.8%	2.7%	.255	4.62	21.6%	9.9%	86	+0.62	3.16	253	87
Grant Hartwig R 2023 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	21.0%	9.9%	2.1%	.330	3.86	19.6%	10.6%	101	+0.10	2.52	219	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	22.5%	11.8%	0.94	4.41
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Bill Kelso ('64-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.0	67	23.1%*	11.6%*	1.09*	4.19*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*