Noah Beal

P Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 25 RHP 6'4" / 205 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	32	0	52	3.96	3.37	25.3%	5.1%	—	K 19.0% · BB 5.9% · FIP 4.40
2026	24	A+TB	40	1	55	3.76	3.61	26.1%	12.2%	—	K 20.1% · BB 14.0% · FIP 4.62
2027PROJ	25	MLBTB	36	0	38	4.82	4.82	20.3%	11.2%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBTB	20	0	21	4.76	4.75	20.9%	11.0%	-0.0
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTB	30	0	31	4.74	4.75	21.1%	10.9%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsFrancisco Del Rosario (age 25) · Vinnie Chulk (age 25) · Josh Zeid (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%20.3%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%9.1%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	52	217	55	11	7	0%	1.6	19.0%	5.9%	13.1%	3.9%	3.96	4.40	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	52	217	55	11	7	0%	1.6	19.0%	5.9%	13.1%	3.9%	3.96	4.40	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	52	217	55	11	7	0%	1.6	25.3%	5.1%	20.3%	3.2%	3.96	3.37	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	40	1	55	238	62	29	5	2%	1.4	20.1%	14.0%	6.0%	2.6%	3.76	4.62	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	40	1	55	238	62	29	5	2%	1.4	20.1%	14.0%	6.0%	2.6%	3.76	4.62	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	40	1	55	238	62	29	5	2%	1.4	26.1%	12.2%	13.9%	2.1%	3.76	3.61	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TB	36	0	38	160	33	18	5	0%	1.1	20.3%	11.2%	9.1%	3.0%	4.82	4.82	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TB	47	0	50	209	44	23	6	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.0%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.75	-0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	TB	46	0	49	206	43	22	6	0%	1.1	21.1%	10.9%	10.2%	3.0%	4.74	4.75	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TB	20	0	21	89	19	10	3	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.0%	10.0%	3.0%	4.76	4.75	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	TB	30	0	31	131	28	14	4	0%	1.0	21.1%	10.9%	10.2%	3.0%	4.74	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	220	46	24	7	0%	1.0	21.0%	10.9%	10.1%	3.0%	4.75	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	92	27	0%	1.1	21.0%	10.9%	10.1%	3.0%	4.75	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		72	1	107	455	89	46	15	1%	1.5	19.6%	10.1%	9.4%	3.2%	3.86	4.51	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		134	2	200	848	166	86	28	1%	1.5	19.6%	10.1%	9.4%	3.2%	3.86	4.51	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noah Beal (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.3%	11.2%	3.0%	—	4.75	21.0%	10.1%	98	-0.07	—	—	—
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	89
Vinnie Chulk R 2004 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	17.7%	10.5%	2.4%	.308	3.95	16.9%	9.6%	171	-0.31	2.97	271	89
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	89
Rhiner Cruz R 2012 · 4.80 FIP	25	SU	4.80	18.2%	11.5%	3.2%	.335	4.81	10.2%	-1.0%	21	+0.01	3.21	127	89
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	88
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	88
Garrett Apker R 2024 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	19.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.288	8.46	15.4%	-7.6%	11	+4.45	4.01	101	88
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.24	23.5%	12.2%	22	+0.82	4.42	152	87
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	87
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	87
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	87
Dylan Hall R 2023 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	21.0%	13.2%	1.8%	.305	7.24	15.1%	2.4%	58	+3.26	3.47	153	87
Cameron Gann R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	24	SU	4.22	21.4%	12.4%	2.5%	.296	5.36	21.1%	6.8%	23	+1.14	3.58	146	87
Esmerling Vasquez R 2009 · 3.86 FIP	25	SU	3.86	18.9%	11.3%	1.7%	.296	4.30	17.3%	4.7%	116	+0.44	3.70	204	87
Taylor Floyd R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	25	SU	4.34	21.7%	10.8%	3.1%	.331	4.61	18.4%	8.9%	192	+0.27	3.48	359	87
Ben Hecht R 2019 · 4.51 FIP	24	SU	4.51	22.7%	12.9%	3.1%	.293	7.98	14.1%	-11.4%	13	+3.47	4.39	155	87
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	87
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	86
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	86
Luis Vizcaino R 2000 · 4.11 FIP	25	SU	4.11	18.8%	11.5%	2.1%	.354	4.31	22.7%	14.9%	180	+0.20	3.07	564	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	45	20.8%	11.0%	1.17	4.77
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*