Marcus Brown — OGILVIE

Marcus BrownSS Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 24 L/R 6'0" / 187 lbs AA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION265 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .269 / .297

PA176

HR2

K%23

BB%5

BABIP267

ISO87

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	120	107	25	3	1	1	8	22	4	4	2	234	311	308	619	75	282	18	7	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	120	100	27	4	1	1	15	15	4	4	2	270	387	360	747	90	306	12	12	344	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	414	389	65	18	2	2	14	108	9	6	2	167	214	239	453	72	225	26	3	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	414	380	74	19	3	3	23	79	9	6	2	195	257	284	541	89	237	19	6	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	345	312	60	11	2	2	19	98	7	13	3	192	254	260	514	67	270	28	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	345	303	68	12	2	3	28	67	7	13	3	224	305	307	612	83	275	19	8	277	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	HOU	—	265	240	54	8	1	3	14	54	8	3	3	225	290	304	594	79	277	20	5	263	60	-12	-1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
YTD	24	AA	HOU	—	265	234	58	9	1	4	20	41	8	3	3	248	328	346	674	98	284	15	8	306	93	-2	-1	+0	+3	+8	0.8
ROS	24	AA	HOU	2%	176	161	34	6	1	2	9	41	4	3	1	210	269	297	566	87	265	23	5	250	49	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	HOU	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		267	25	0	235	38	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	HOU	—	269	244	55	8	1	3	14	55	8	3	3	225	289	303	593	78	278	20	5	263	59	-12	-1	+0	+3	+8	-0.2
TOT	24	AA	HOU	—	441	401	88	14	2	5	23	95	12	6	4	219	282	301	583	82	273	22	5	258	55	-22	-0	+0	+5	+13	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	HOU	31%	368	338	72	13	2	5	20	85	7	6	2	213	271	308	579	95	267	23	5	262	58	-17	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	HOU	45%	406	372	81	15	2	7	23	94	8	6	3	218	278	325	603	108	269	23	6	269	64	-16	+0	+0	+4	+12	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	HOU	49%	419	383	83	15	2	7	25	97	8	7	3	217	279	321	600	104	270	23	6	272	66	-16	+0	+0	+4	+12	0.1
2030	28	MLB	HOU	52%	424	387	85	16	2	7	26	98	8	7	3	220	283	326	608	106	271	23	6	273	67	-16	+0	-1	+5	+12	0.0
2027	25	MLB	HOU	31%	114	105	23	4	1	2	6	26	2	2	1	219	274	333	608	114	270	23	5	250	49	-7	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	HOU	45%	181	166	37	7	1	3	10	42	3	3	1	223	279	331	611	108	272	23	6	258	56	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	HOU	49%	206	188	42	8	1	4	12	48	4	3	1	223	284	340	625	117	273	23	6	261	58	-10	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	HOU	52%	219	200	44	8	1	4	13	51	4	4	2	220	281	330	611	110	273	23	6	262	59	-10	+0	-0	+2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	724	663	147	27	4	13	41	168	13	12	5	222	280	333	614	112	276	23	6	259	56	-36	+0	-0	+8	+21	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	132	24	4	12	37	151	12	11	4	222	281	336	618	114	275	23	6	259	56	-32	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2672	2449	505	97	14	33	144	643	55	52	19	206	266	298	563	91	264	24	5	252	51	-148	+3	-1	+29	+76	-4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	123	24	3	8	35	156	13	13	5	206	265	297	562	91	264	24	5	252	51	-36	+1	-0	+7	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	120	100	27	4	1	1	15	15	4	4	2	270	387	360	747	90	306	12	12	344	121	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	207	193	30	7	0	0	9	37	4	1	0	155	209	192	400	36	192	18	4	189	2	-23	+0	—	—	+6	-1.7
2024	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	207	187	44	12	3	3	14	42	5	5	2	235	306	380	686	144	287	20	7	307	93	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2025	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	345	303	68	12	2	3	28	67	7	13	3	224	305	307	612	83	275	19	8	277	71	-11	+1	—	—	+10	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	726	12	12	218	275	321	+8	+6	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	11	11	218	275	321	+7.1	+5.5	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marcus Brown (OGILVIE)	24	40	30	50	35	219/282/301	82	273	5	6	22%	5%	55	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alvaro Rondon 2015 · A	24	45	36→30	53→55	41	214/255/286	72	286	3	10	26%	5%	46	-2.0	225/270/293	68	293	2	16	22%	6%	54	-1.4	244/285/300	56	307	0	27	19%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Patrick Biondi 2015 · A	24	45→44	36→30	50→60	45	211/268/281	70	279	3	15	24%	7%	50	-1.7	231/285/300	69	308	4	25	24%	6%	63	-0.9	239/296/296	57	318	3	32	24%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Ricardo Andujar 2017 · A	24	46→45	36→30	46→50	40	219/257/284	65	283	4	12	24%	4%	46	-2.0	219/264/301	82	303	5	10	28%	4%	54	-1.4	220/267/301	82	314	3	7	29%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Jake Thomas 2017 · A	24	42	37→30	49→50	44	197/266/269	72	280	4	7	29%	8%	48	-1.9	212/297/284	72	324	3	9	31%	10%	65	-0.7	209/316/264	56	329	1	10	32%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Carlos Sepulveda 2021 · A	24	46	34→30	49→45	46	215/276/269	53	285	2	12	24%	7%	51	-1.7	211/276/283	72	278	5	7	24%	8%	56	-1.3	192/260/254	62	254	5	3	25%	8%	38	-1.3
✕Jake Yacinich 2017 · A	24	43	36→30	47→50	39	208/243/272	64	266	4	8	23%	4%	37	-2.6	220/261/302	82	324	7	12	32%	5%	53	-1.5	232/270/312	80	350	6	13	34%	4%	56	-0.8
✕Andrew Moritz 2021 · A	24	45	34→30	49→50	41	210/247/261	50	266	2	12	22%	4%	36	-2.7	230/283/294	64	309	4	11	25%	6%	60	-1.0	234/292/294	61	316	4	11	25%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Junior Sosa 2015 · AA	24	46	36→30	47→55	44	216/262/282	66	272	3	13	21%	6%	48	-1.9	226/288/296	70	298	4	10	24%	8%	63	-0.8	227/303/254	27	310	0	9	24%	9%	56	-0.8
✕Norberto Obeso 2019 · A	24	44→41	36→30	47→45	50	206/271/271	66	250	4	8	19%	8%	50	-1.7	205/266/280	75	275	4	8	25%	7%	50	-1.7	193/258/257	64	268	1	5	26%	8%	37	-1.3
✕Bryant Flete 2017 · AA	24	42→44	39→40	47→50	44	200/257/286	86	265	5	6	26%	6%	47	-1.9	210/267/288	78	287	5	6	27%	6%	53	-1.5	207/269/273	66	287	5	4	28%	6%	47	-1.0
✕Cole Sturgeon 2016 · AA	24	46→47	38→45	47→50	40	219/252/299	80	276	5	10	23%	4%	48	-1.9	222/258/305	83	281	6	10	22%	4%	52	-1.6	234/278/331	97	308	9	12	26%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Garrett Brown 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	53→55	36	208/246/271	63	286	3	9	28%	4%	38	-2.6	218/254/274	56	300	3	15	27%	4%	42	-2.3	226/256/263	36	307	2	22	26%	3%	36	-0.7
✕Joel Weeks 2009 · A	24	44	35→45	47→45	44	208/262/268	61	271	2	8	23%	6%	45	-2.1	210/263/285	75	277	5	6	24%	6%	50	-1.8	219/268/291	72	282	6	2	24%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Sergio Burruel 2014 · AAA	23	44	36→30	50→30	43	207/264/272	65	282	3	8	26%	6%	46	-2.0	233/280/304	71	307	6	5	25%	6%	62	-0.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Trace Loehr 2019 · A	24	45→49	37→40	50	40	214/249/295	81	279	4	10	24%	4%	45	-2.1	223/264/304	81	300	5	9	26%	5%	54	-1.4	227/266/301	74	307	3	8	26%	4%	51	-0.8
✕Joey DeMichele 2015 · AA	24	42→47	39→40	48→50	40	202/247/288	86	272	5	9	27%	5%	43	-2.2	211/257/309	98	296	7	8	29%	5%	53	-1.5	209/256/312	102	295	7	7	30%	5%	51	-1.5
✕Chris Proctor 2021 · A	24	41	38→30	50→45	42	201/242/274	73	255	6	8	23%	5%	37	-2.6	191/252/274	83	338	6	9	42%	7%	43	-2.2	121/195/168	47	254	3	6	49%	8%	-9	-1.5
✕Kyle Holder 2018 · A	24	47→45	37→40	43→45	41	223/257/290	67	277	4	6	21%	4%	47	-1.9	225/270/320	95	270	8	6	19%	5%	62	-0.9	220/273/310	89	271	7	5	21%	6%	57	-0.6
✕Tyler Sullivan 2017 · A	24	47	35→30	51→50	44	220/268/285	65	273	2	15	20%	5%	51	-1.7	215/265/283	68	286	4	12	25%	6%	50	-1.8	196/245/219	22	275	0	10	27%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Jordan Cowan 2019 · A	24	49→53	36→30	48→50	43	232/281/293	61	304	4	10	24%	6%	59	-1.1	238/295/308	70	307	5	15	22%	7%	69	-0.4	231/294/297	65	299	5	17	23%	7%	63	-0.5