Alan Espinal

C Spokane Indians

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 214 lbs A+ HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	ACOL	257	.183/.258/.271	4	7	1	—	.132/.190/.191
2025	23	INTLCriollos de C…	21	.053/.100/.105	0	0	-50	—
2026	24	A+COL	341	.236/.340/.377	8	9	45	—	.167/.249/.262
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBCOL	1	.194/.261/.300	0	0	50	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBCOL	95	.198/.265/.310	2	2	54	-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBCOL	148	.200/.267/.313	3	2	55	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%59

ISO46

Chase%46

Speed46

wOBA37

Z-Con%33

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAnthony Mulrine (age 25) · Wyatt Hendrie (age 25) · Chris Givin (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.194 / .261 / .300

PA1

HR0

K%32

BB%7

BABIP275

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	22	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	29	27	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	222	276	259	535	37	353	34	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	257	229	42	8	0	4	17	83	6	7	3	183	258	271	529	87	262	32	7	241	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	21	19	1	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	53	100	105	205	53	91	38	5	94	-50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+	Spokane Indians	—	341	292	69	13	2	8	43	102	3	9	6	236	340	377	717	140	330	30	13	324	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	257	235	31	5	0	3	11	119	6	7	3	132	190	191	382	60	227	46	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	341	305	51	9	1	6	30	138	3	9	6	167	249	262	511	95	273	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL MLE	Gigantes de Carolina	—	29	27	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	222	276	259	535	37	353	34	3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL RAW	Gigantes de Carolina	—	29	27	6	1	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	222	276	259	535	37	353	34	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	278	255	33	6	0	3	11	128	6	7	3	129	184	188	372	59	236	46	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	278	248	43	9	0	4	18	91	6	7	3	173	246	258	504	85	250	33	6	230	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	341	305	51	9	1	6	30	138	3	9	6	167	249	262	511	95	274	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	341	292	69	13	2	8	43	102	3	9	6	236	340	377	717	140	330	30	13	324	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	278	259	33	6	0	3	11	128	6	7	3	127	184	185	369	58	227	46	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	341	305	51	9	1	6	30	138	3	9	6	167	249	262	511	95	273	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	278	259	33	6	0	3	11	128	6	7	3	127	184	185	369	58	227	46	4	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	341	305	51	9	1	6	30	138	3	9	6	167	249	262	511	95	273	40	9	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	0%	380	346	65	13	2	6	27	121	4	7	3	184	252	279	530	94	262	32	7	242	50	-23	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	194	261	300	560	106	275	0	0	254	50	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	30%	315	286	53	10	1	5	23	99	3	5	2	188	256	288	544	100	264	31	7	248	54	-17	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	42%	355	322	61	12	1	6	26	111	4	6	2	190	258	291	549	101	264	31	7	250	55	-19	+0	+0	+6	+8	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	51%	379	344	65	13	1	6	28	117	4	5	2	191	259	292	552	102	265	31	7	251	56	-20	+0	-1	+7	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	30%	95	87	17	3	1	2	7	30	1	2	1	198	265	310	575	112	276	32	7	260	54	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	42%	148	135	27	5	1	3	11	46	1	2	1	200	267	313	581	114	277	31	7	262	55	-8	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	51%	192	174	36	7	1	4	14	59	2	3	1	201	268	314	583	114	277	31	7	263	56	-10	+0	-0	+3	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	435	396	80	15	3	9	32	135	4	7	3	202	269	323	592	121	280	31	7	262	43	-23	+0	-0	+8	+9	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	118	22	4	13	48	202	6	10	4	199	266	316	582	117	276	31	7	262	43	-35	+0	-1	+12	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	1985	1801	316	60	5	30	140	695	24	38	17	175	244	264	509	89	263	35	7	231	43	-73	+1	-1	+24	+29	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	104	20	2	10	46	228	8	12	6	176	245	268	513	92	264	35	7	231	43	-35	+0	-0	+12	+14	-1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#4Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#5Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.7	437	7	7	191	256	292	+8	+4	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+6.1	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Doc Powers'01-'09 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,908 PA	2.9	1,908	3	25	207*	250*	310*	+31	+0	-2.8	-1.7
/162	664	1	9	+10.9	+0.1	-1.0	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alan Espinal (OGILVIE)	25	20	30	45	25	183/250/276	93	262	4	5	32%	7%	50	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Wyatt Hendrie 2024 · A	25	38	40	51→50	39	184/253/275	91	288	8	9	37%	7%	51	-2.3	193/268/288	95	284	9	12	33%	8%	59	-1.6	167/254/245	78	237	10	16	32%	8%	44	-0.6
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	43	187/248/261	74	257	6	6	29%	7%	45	-2.7	202/264/278	76	269	6	7	25%	7%	55	-1.9	194/260/252	58	250	4	5	23%	7%	45	-1.3
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	176/239/272	96	267	8	7	36%	7%	45	-2.7	203/269/313	110	288	10	8	31%	7%	65	-1.2	192/265/298	106	267	9	5	30%	8%	56	-0.9
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	42→40	45	36	193/248/293	101	285	9	5	34%	5%	53	-2.1	215/265/301	86	311	6	8	31%	5%	60	-1.6	217/266/289	72	312	5	8	30%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	39	41→40	44→45	42	195/257/291	96	267	8	6	29%	7%	55	-1.9	193/247/290	97	279	9	6	32%	6%	51	-2.2	149/199/236	88	209	10	0	34%	5%	17	-1.5
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	36	40	48→45	44	180/253/265	85	263	8	6	33%	8%	49	-2.4	198/272/287	89	298	7	8	33%	8%	60	-1.6	159/252/213	54	251	3	7	34%	10%	34	-0.6
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	45	43	196/253/290	94	252	9	7	26%	6%	54	-2.0	209/269/304	95	283	10	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	197/262/273	76	269	9	10	29%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Jon Townsend 2010 · A	25	40	41→40	47→50	38	199/251/289	90	277	9	9	31%	5%	53	-2.1	213/267/308	95	317	9	9	34%	6%	63	-1.4	212/268/300	88	320	9	9	35%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Justin Twine 2021 · AA	25	46→33	38→40	48→50	37	218/259/301	83	300	5	10	29%	4%	57	-1.8	210/252/315	105	363	9	17	42%	4%	59	-1.7	191/223/297	106	362	9	25	48%	2%	42	-1.2
✕Jalen Battles 2024 · AA	24	37	39→30	41→45	35	184/232/259	75	281	8	9	36%	5%	38	-3.2	193/244/263	70	288	5	10	33%	5%	43	-2.8	182/232/235	54	269	2	10	32%	5%	30	-1.3
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	188/256/297	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	196/270/312	116	292	12	14	34%	9%	65	-1.2	182/266/286	104	281	10	16	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	38	40→45	48→30	43	189/253/279	90	264	9	6	31%	7%	51	-2.2	212/279/326	114	294	12	3	30%	8%	72	-0.7	205/275/317	113	280	13	1	30%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/261/307	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	204/263/312	108	293	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/309	114	278	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	282	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	200/253/299	99	308	9	13	36%	6%	55	-1.9	206/258/303	97	296	7	9	31%	6%	55	-1.3
✕Sam Praytor 2024 · A	25	37	42→45	49→55	40	187/249/289	101	268	10	6	33%	6%	53	-2.1	203/271/315	112	272	11	8	28%	8%	67	-1.1	191/269/298	107	248	11	9	26%	8%	59	-0.5

Alan Espinal

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps