Dylan MacLean

P Frisco RoughRiders

Age 25 LHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	A+TEX	21	10	73	3.34	3.54	22.8%	5.3%	—	K 17.6% · BB 6.1% · FIP 4.17
2026	24	AATEX	21	17	91	4.83	4.67	19.3%	7.4%	—	K 15.6% · BB 8.1% · FIP 5.48
2027PROJ	25	MLBTEX	67	0	70	5.09	5.09	15.1%	7.2%	-0.4
2028PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBTEX	34	0	36	4.97	4.95	16.4%	7.2%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBTEX	49	0	51	4.93	4.93	16.8%	7.3%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control60Command50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsCharlie Furbush (age 25) · Irwin Delgado (age 26) · Brian Duensing (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114122vR 130

ERA5.09

FIP5.09

K%15.1%

BB%7.2%

K-BB%7.9%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	7	6	17	85	17	19	1	86%	2.4	13.6%	27.9%	-14.3%	1.6%	5.82	6.38	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	7	6	17	85	17	19	1	86%	2.4	20.0%	22.4%	-2.4%	1.2%	5.82	5.22	—
2022	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	21	0	25	110	16	8	4	0%	1.2	10.8%	8.6%	2.2%	5.2%	3.96	6.12	—
2022	20	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	21	0	25	110	16	8	4	0%	1.2	14.5%	7.3%	7.3%	3.6%	3.96	4.86	—
2023	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	23	7	76	321	75	30	2	30%	3.3	17.3%	11.0%	6.3%	0.7%	3.20	3.45	—
2023	21	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	23	7	76	321	75	30	2	30%	3.3	23.4%	9.3%	14.0%	0.6%	3.20	2.65	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	21	10	73	285	65	15	9	48%	3.5	17.6%	6.1%	11.5%	3.2%	3.34	4.17	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	21	10	73	285	65	15	9	48%	3.5	17.6%	6.1%	11.5%	3.2%	3.34	4.17	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Hub City Spartanburgers	21	10	73	285	65	15	9	48%	3.5	22.8%	5.3%	17.5%	3.2%	3.34	3.54	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	21	17	91	394	76	29	16	81%	4.3	15.6%	8.1%	7.5%	4.9%	4.83	5.48	—
2026	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	21	17	91	394	76	29	16	81%	4.3	15.6%	8.1%	7.5%	4.9%	4.83	5.48	—
2026	24	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	21	17	91	394	76	29	16	81%	4.3	19.3%	7.4%	11.9%	4.1%	4.83	4.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	TEX	67	0	70	296	45	21	11	0%	1.0	15.1%	7.2%	7.9%	3.6%	5.09	5.09	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TEX	78	0	82	347	57	25	12	0%	1.1	16.4%	7.2%	9.2%	3.5%	4.97	4.95	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	TEX	77	0	81	342	57	25	12	0%	1.1	16.8%	7.3%	9.5%	3.5%	4.93	4.93	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	TEX	75	0	79	332	63	22	12	0%	1.0	18.9%	6.7%	12.3%	3.6%	4.79	4.71	-0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	TEX	72	0	75	317	60	22	12	0%	1.0	18.8%	7.0%	11.9%	3.8%	4.81	4.83	-0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	TEX	67	0	71	298	55	22	12	0%	1.1	18.5%	7.2%	11.2%	4.0%	4.93	5.01	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	TEX	34	0	36	152	25	11	5	0%	1.1	16.4%	7.2%	9.2%	3.5%	4.97	4.95	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	TEX	49	0	51	215	36	16	8	0%	1.0	16.8%	7.3%	9.5%	3.5%	4.93	4.93	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	TEX	56	0	59	249	47	17	9	0%	1.1	18.9%	6.7%	12.3%	3.6%	4.79	4.71	-0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	TEX	58	0	61	258	48	18	10	0%	1.1	18.8%	7.0%	11.9%	3.8%	4.81	4.83	-0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TEX	58	0	61	258	48	19	10	0%	1.1	18.5%	7.2%	11.2%	4.0%	4.93	5.01	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		256	0	269	1134	205	80	42	0%	1.0	18.1%	7.0%	11.0%	3.7%	4.88	4.50	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	60	31	0%	1.1	18.1%	7.0%	11.0%	3.7%	4.88	4.50	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		93	40	282	1195	191	118	38	43%	3.0	15.9%	9.9%	6.1%	3.2%	3.99	4.74	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		66	28	200	848	135	84	27	43%	3.0	15.9%	9.9%	6.1%	3.2%	3.99	4.74	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan MacLean (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	15.1%	7.2%	3.6%	—	4.87	17.4%	10.3%	242	-0.22	—	—	—
Charlie Furbush L 2011 · 4.95 FIP	25	SW	4.95	18.0%	7.5%	4.4%	.310	2.67	28.8%	21.4%	154	-2.28	2.40	261	85
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	83
Brian Duensing L 2009 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	14.8%	8.4%	1.9%	.286	3.90	15.2%	9.3%	401	-0.08	2.57	799	81
Nick Dombkowski L 2024 · 4.92 FIP	25	SW	4.92	16.5%	10.9%	3.3%	.273	5.17	18.2%	10.6%	183	+0.25	3.71	425	79
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	78
Zach Thornton L 2024 · 3.90 FIP	22	SP-	3.90	13.8%	7.2%	1.9%	.335	3.96	20.5%	14.1%	220	+0.06	2.95	288	78
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	77
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	77
Ryan Kellogg L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.4%	5.8%	2.2%	.359	4.33	12.3%	7.1%	64	+0.34	3.65	446	77
Logan Darnell L 2014 · 4.78 FIP	25	SP-	4.78	19.6%	7.1%	4.4%	.338	4.10	13.4%	6.1%	262	-0.68	3.16	454	77
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	77
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2014 · 4.19 FIP	25	SW	4.19	14.0%	7.7%	2.4%	.339	3.31	21.9%	13.7%	116	-0.88	2.81	364	76
Carson Teel L 2021 · 5.34 FIP	25	SW	5.34	16.2%	6.7%	5.0%	.296	4.26	17.7%	10.6%	63	-1.08	3.43	248	76
Matt Tomshaw L 2015 · 3.91 FIP	26	SP-	3.91	13.8%	6.0%	2.2%	.318	3.57	16.0%	10.7%	401	-0.34	3.04	681	76
Connor Oliver L 2024 · 4.34 FIP	23	SW	4.34	17.3%	12.1%	2.1%	.314	6.07	19.2%	3.4%	165	+1.73	4.34	244	76
Eric DuBose L 2003 · 3.92 FIP	27	SP-	3.92	14.4%	7.5%	2.0%	.233	5.49	13.7%	0.4%	104	+1.57	3.92	178	75
Brian Burres L 2007 · 4.50 FIP	26	SW	4.50	17.2%	11.6%	2.5%	.328	4.71	11.3%	3.1%	209	+0.21	4.50	344	75
Matt Crouse L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.0%	6.3%	2.0%	.276	4.40	12.2%	4.3%	268	+0.41	3.99	342	74
Michael Tejera L 2002 · 4.50 FIP	25	SW	4.50	15.5%	9.3%	2.8%	.287	3.83	16.4%	7.1%	81	-0.67	3.83	230	74
Nate Peterson L 2024 · 5.51 FIP	24	SP-	5.51	19.2%	11.4%	4.7%	.296	4.75	16.0%	3.7%	148	-0.76	4.27	315	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	76	17.4%	7.1%	1.42	4.92
Bob Wells ('02)	3.2	79	15.0%	7.2%	1.43	5.03
Jose Cabrera ('02)	1.4	68	16.2%	7.9%	1.39	4.95
Travis Harper ('06)	2.1	69	15.0%	7.5%	1.33	4.94
Paul Reuschel ('75-'79, 1 WAR*)	2.0	79	16.8%*	7.6%*	1.29*	4.76*
Ron Taylor ('62-'72, 3 WAR*)	4.0	80	17.8%*	6.8%*	1.26*	4.74*
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*