Christian Knapczyk

SS Akron RubberDucks
Age 25 L/R 5'8" / 163 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
ETA2029MLB%2%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422ALynchburg Hil…399.250/.388/.35021866—.201/.309/.289
202523AA/A+CLE542.256/.353/.35471157—.208/.288/.278
202624AACLE272.164/.284/.2432427—.149/.242/.221
2027PROJMLE25MLBCLE3.187/.268/.2590052-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB26MLBCLE61.192/.272/.2751158-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB27MLBCLE99.194/.273/.2791159-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed71
Whiff%70
BB%55
Z-Con%42
Chase%38
K%31
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsBryant Flete (age 25) · Sean McCraw (age 25) · Levi Hyams (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .268 / .259
PA3
HR0
K%33
BB%8
BABIP272
ISO70
MLB%2%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.1-0.1272829
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202422 ALynchburg Hillcats — 399320 801272 567016 188 250388350738 100307 1814 339 66 — — — — — —
202523 AAAkron RubberDucks — 11899 24310 17211 02 242359293652 51304 1814 306 62 — — — — — —
202523 A+Lake County Captains — 424370 961817 427910 113 259351370721 111311 1910 329 56 — — — — — —
202624 AAAkron RubberDucks — 272226 37822 30768 40 164284243527 80230 2811 247 27 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 399339 681072 379716 188 201309289598 88257 249 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 118103 23310 13271 02 223316272588 49282 2311 260 62 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLELake County Captains — 424382 781215 309810 113 204280280560 76255 237 251 56 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 272235 35722 21938 40 149242221464 72216 348 208 27 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 399339 681072 379716 188 201309289598 88268 249 266 66 — — — — — —
202422 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 399320 801272 567016 188 250388350738 100307 1814 339 66 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 542486 1001525 4212511 115 206284276560 70265 238 253 57 — — — — — —
202523 A+ RAW2 teams — 542469 1202127 5910011 115 256353354706 98310 1811 324 57 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 272235 35722 21938 40 149242221464 72229 348 208 27 — — — — — —
202624 AA RAWAkron RubberDucks — 272226 37822 30768 40 164284243527 80230 2811 247 27 — — — — — —
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 399343 681072 379716 188 198309286594 87257 249 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 542484 1001525 4212511 115 207284277561 70261 238 253 57 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 272241 35722 21938 40 145242216458 71216 348 208 27 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 399343 681072 379716 188 198309286594 87257 249 266 66 — — — — — —
202523 A+ MLE2 teams — 542484 1001525 4212511 115 207284277561 70261 238 253 57 — — — — — —
202624 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 272241 35722 21938 40 145242216458 71216 348 208 27 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECLE 2% 322288 551023 25996 51 187268261528 74272 318 246 52 -18 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXCLE 2% 33 0000 010 00 187268259527 72272 330 245 52 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECLE 31% 198176 34612 16604 31 192272276548 84273 308 253 58 -10 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.3
202927 MLB MLECLE 42% 235210 40713 19714 31 194274280554 87274 308 255 59 -11 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.4
202826 MLB CTXCLE 31% 6155 11201 5191 10 192272275546 83273 318 253 58 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202927 MLB CTXCLE 42% 9989 16301 8302 10 194273279552 85274 308 255 59 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 160144 27502 13493 20 188269264533 76269 318 254 55 -8 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 1092008 5319912 80 186268262529 75267 318 254 55 -32 +2 +0 +7 +14 -1.0
Career— MLE — 18061589 304501415 14849546 4116 191279269548 77264 278 249 55 -31 +0 +0 +6 +13 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 1091855 5317817 156 191279266545 75263 278 249 55 -33 +0 +0 +7 +14 -1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAkron RubberDucks · 272 PAwOBA .245 → .208 (−37)K% 27.9% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.94%÷1.000×1.220——34.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.03%÷1.000×0.700—×0.9987.71%
HBP% /PA2.94%—×0.850—×0.9982.49%
Singles /BIP16.67%÷1.000×0.970×1.000×0.99816.13%
Doubles /BIP5.33%÷1.000×0.860×1.000×0.9984.58%
Triples /BIP1.33%÷1.000×0.950×1.000×0.9981.26%
Home runs /BIP1.33%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9981.04%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .245 → .208; ISO .080 → .069; BABIP .230 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Lake County Captains · 424 PAwOBA .322 → .251 (−71)K% 18.6% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.63%÷1.020×1.270——23.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.91%÷0.991×0.710—×0.9887.01%
HBP% /PA2.36%—×0.790—×0.9881.84%
Singles /BIP24.05%÷1.031×0.920×0.975×0.98820.68%
Doubles /BIP6.19%÷1.138×0.810×0.975×0.9884.24%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷0.952×0.850×0.975×0.9880.30%
Home runs /BIP2.41%÷1.011×0.800—×0.9881.88%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 106, 2B 128, 3B 90, K 104, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .322 → .251; ISO .111 → .082; BABIP .311 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAkron RubberDucks · 118 PAwOBA .302 → .260 (−43)K% 17.8% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.80%÷0.948×1.220——22.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.41%÷0.953×0.700—×1.01210.71%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.850—×1.0120.73%
Singles /BIP25.64%÷1.004×0.970×0.958×1.01224.00%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷0.986×0.860×0.958×1.0123.25%
Triples /BIP1.28%÷0.935×0.950×0.958×1.0121.26%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.780—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 87, K 90, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .302 → .260; ISO .051 → .045; BABIP .304 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALynchburg Hillcats · 399 PAwOBA .336 → .266 (−70)K% 17.5% → 24.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.54%÷0.985×1.360——24.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.04%÷1.041×0.690—×0.9909.21%
HBP% /PA4.01%—×0.780—×0.9903.10%
Singles /BIP23.60%÷1.056×0.920×0.956×0.99019.47%
Doubles /BIP4.80%÷0.941×0.830×0.956×0.9904.01%
Triples /BIP2.80%÷0.906×0.910×0.956×0.9902.66%
Home runs /BIP0.80%÷0.844×0.800—×0.9900.75%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 111, 2B 88, 3B 81, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.

Result: wOBA .336 → .266; ISO .100 → .092; BABIP .307 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).