Christian Knapczyk

Christian KnapczykSS Akron RubberDucks

Age 24 L/R 5'8" / 163 lbs AA K +5%HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.0 · 2029

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .293 / .311

PA320

HR4

SB5

K%24

BB%8

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

50↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.9peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.0	$9M	+$8M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	—	—	—
Totals		$12M		$20M	+$8M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	399	342	68	10	6	2	34	101	16	18	8	.199	.301	.281	.582	.082	.269	25	9	.264	60	-18	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.2
2025	23	A+	2 teams	542	486	101	15	2	5	42	127	11	11	5	.208	.286	.278	.563	.070	.269	23	8	.256	54	-28	+0	+0	+6	+15	-0.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	51	46	8	2	0	1	5	25	0	1	0	.174	.255	.283	.538	.109	.350	49	10	.218	25	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
ROS	24	MLB	CLE	269	241	51	9	1	4	21	72	5	4	2	.212	.288	.307	.595	.095	.285	27	8	.274	68	-10	+0	+0	+3	+8	0.1
TOT	24	MLB	CLE	320	287	59	11	1	5	26	97	5	5	2	.206	.283	.303	.586	.098	.290	30	8	.265	61	-14	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 11%	CLE	370	329	73	13	2	6	32	78	6	6	2	.222	.302	.328	.631	.106	.271	21	9	.289	79	-9	+0	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2028	26	MLB 26%	CLE	407	361	82	14	2	8	36	87	7	7	2	.227	.309	.343	.653	.116	.273	21	9	.294	83	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	0.9
2029	27	MLB 44%	CLE	420	372	84	15	2	8	38	90	7	7	2	.226	.309	.341	.651	.116	.274	21	9	.295	84	-8	+1	+0	+4	+12	1.0
2030	28	MLB 53%	CLE	425	377	85	15	2	8	38	92	7	6	2	.225	.308	.340	.648	.114	.274	22	9	.295	84	-8	+0	-1	+5	+12	0.9
2031	29	MLB 64%	CLE	420	373	83	14	2	8	38	92	6	6	2	.223	.305	.335	.640	.113	.273	22	9	.293	82	-8	+0	-1	+4	+12	0.7
2032	30	MLB 73%	CLE	414	367	81	14	2	8	38	92	6	5	2	.221	.304	.335	.639	.114	.272	22	9	.290	80	-9	+0	-2	+4	+12	0.5
2033	31	MLB 81%	CLE	401	356	77	13	2	7	36	91	6	4	1	.216	.299	.323	.622	.107	.270	23	9	.286	77	-10	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.3
2034	32	MLB 88%	CLE	384	340	73	13	2	6	35	89	6	3	1	.215	.299	.318	.617	.103	.269	23	9	.281	73	-12	+0	-4	+4	+11	0.0
2035	33	MLB 94%	CLE	355	315	66	11	1	6	32	85	5	3	0	.210	.293	.308	.601	.098	.267	24	9	.276	69	-12	+1	-4	+4	+10	-0.2
2036	34	MLB	CLE	311	276	57	10	1	4	28	77	4	2	0	.207	.289	.293	.582	.087	.265	25	9	.270	65	-12	+0	-5	+3	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5117	4535	981	166	27	80	448	1173	92	82	29	.216	.300	.318	.617	.101	.272	23	9	.282	74	-153	+5	-20	+55	+145	3.3
/ 162G	—			650	576	124	21	3	10	57	149	12	10	4	.215	.300	.314	.614	.099	.271	23	9	.282	74	-19	+0	-2	+7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	22	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	399	320	80	12	7	2	56	70	16	18	8	.250	.388	.350	.738	.100	.307	18	14	.339	117	+8	+0	—	—	+11	2.0
2025	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	118	99	24	3	1	0	17	21	1	0	2	.242	.359	.293	.652	.051	.304	18	14	.306	93	-1	-1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	23	A+	Lake County Captains	424	370	96	18	1	7	42	79	10	11	3	.259	.351	.370	.721	.111	.311	19	10	.329	110	+5	+1	—	—	+12	1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Knapczyk (OGILVIE)	24	45	35	45	40	.217/.293/.311	.093	.281	4	5	24%	8%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Carlos Gamboa 2015 · AAA	24	48	42→45	44→50	46	.233/.289/.343	.110	.286	9	10	22%	6%	76	+0.1	.246/.296/.354	.108	.306	10	8	22%	6%	82	+0.5	.255/.314/.357	.101	.328	11	5	24%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Noe Becerra 2011 · AAA	24	43	40→30	45→40	46	.211/.266/.297	.086	.263	8	9	23%	7%	54	-1.4	.237/.284/.320	.083	.272	6	6	15%	6%	67	-0.5	.278/.325/.338	.060	.315	3	0	12%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Phil Clarke 2023 · AA	25	45	41→40	44→45	50	.219/.298/.313	.094	.268	8	4	21%	8%	73	-0.1	.228/.309/.320	.092	.268	9	8	17%	9%	80	+0.4	.233/.317/.316	.083	.266	8	7	15%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Brandon Trinkwon 2016 · AA	24	48→51	40	47→50	52	.229/.294/.316	.087	.268	7	10	17%	8%	72	-0.2	.223/.286/.302	.079	.271	6	8	19%	8%	64	-0.8	.211/.274/.279	.067	.253	5	5	18%	8%	50	-1.3
✕Michael Turconi 2023 · A	24	49→45	40→45	46→50	50	.236/.313/.328	.092	.294	8	9	22%	8%	83	+0.6	.211/.292/.307	.096	.311	7	8	31%	10%	69	-0.4	.191/.278/.276	.085	.297	5	7	34%	10%	53	-0.8
✕Casey Turgeon 2017 · AA	24	45	39→40	48→45	54	.214/.301/.305	.091	.264	5	7	20%	10%	72	-0.2	.207/.289/.303	.096	.269	8	7	24%	9%	67	-0.5	.188/.276/.270	.082	.242	10	6	25%	10%	51	-0.9
✕Nate Mondou 2019 · AA	24	48→54	38→45	47→50	46	.227/.286/.310	.083	.287	4	9	22%	6%	66	-0.6	.213/.281/.298	.085	.273	7	7	23%	7%	62	-0.9	.227/.303/.326	.099	.291	8	9	23%	9%	76	+0.1
✕Adam Melker 2013 · AA	25	47	39→40	46→50	43	.227/.281/.311	.084	.299	7	9	26%	6%	64	-0.8	.231/.277/.328	.097	.296	10	11	24%	5%	67	-0.5	.232/.276/.325	.092	.292	10	13	23%	4%	63	-0.5
✕Greg Cullen 2021 · A	24	44→42	41→40	42→40	48	.215/.292/.315	.100	.268	8	3	22%	8%	72	-0.2	.229/.319/.338	.109	.306	11	4	26%	10%	89	+0.9	.232/.336/.332	.100	.317	11	4	27%	12%	91	+0.4
✕Vimael Machín 2018 · AAA	24	50→55	41→45	43→45	47	.241/.291/.338	.097	.289	9	5	20%	7%	76	+0.0	.226/.290/.326	.100	.275	9	5	20%	8%	72	-0.2	.243/.302/.358	.114	.288	11	7	19%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Peter Maris 2018 · A	24	48→51	39→45	45→50	50	.231/.287/.316	.085	.270	7	9	17%	7%	68	-0.5	.224/.284/.353	.129	.278	13	9	23%	7%	77	+0.1	.211/.271/.362	.152	.270	17	7	28%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Manuel Lopez 2011 · AAA	24	51	38→40	40→45	42	.242/.282/.322	.080	.309	6	9	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.251/.294/.329	.078	.321	4	6	22%	5%	73	-0.1	.259/.304/.329	.070	.334	2	3	22%	5%	74	-0.0
●Bruce Maxwell 2015 · AA	24	46→50	39→45	40→30	46	.222/.281/.306	.085	.286	7	2	24%	8%	63	-0.8	.230/.288/.325	.095	.294	9	2	23%	8%	71	-0.3	.232/.298/.361	.129	.298	15	0	26%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Dan Gamache 2015 · AA	24	46→52	42→40	41→45	40	.220/.273/.332	.113	.308	8	6	30%	6%	66	-0.6	.244/.291/.344	.100	.324	8	4	26%	6%	77	+0.1	.251/.296/.340	.089	.328	7	2	24%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	40→45	50→30	42	.211/.263/.307	.096	.286	8	8	28%	6%	56	-1.3	.215/.275/.312	.097	.328	7	3	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.204/.270/.296	.092	.311	6	1	34%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Carlos Asuaje 2016 · AA	24	48→56	44→45	46→45	46	.234/.291/.361	.126	.285	10	7	21%	6%	82	+0.5	.242/.302/.349	.107	.296	7	6	20%	7%	82	+0.5	.242/.308/.341	.098	.295	6	4	19%	8%	79	+0.3
✕Mitchell Tolman 2018 · A	24	45→47	41→45	44→50	49	.217/.286/.311	.094	.265	9	9	21%	8%	67	-0.5	.211/.284/.299	.088	.298	7	10	29%	8%	63	-0.8	.215/.285/.332	.118	.284	11	8	27%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2017 · AA	24	48	38→40	51→45	46	.226/.282/.305	.078	.295	6	7	24%	7%	63	-0.8	.220/.267/.287	.067	.294	4	8	25%	6%	52	-1.6	.191/.231/.209	.018	.263	0	7	26%	5%	13	-1.4
✕Logan Schafer 2011 · AA	24	50→57	40→45	47→50	45	.240/.288/.342	.102	.289	6	10	19%	6%	75	-0.0	.242/.294/.350	.108	.283	7	14	16%	6%	80	+0.4	.236/.290/.346	.110	.274	7	15	16%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Freddy Zamora 2023 · AA	24	48→52	40	49→50	46	.228/.296/.321	.093	.303	8	11	26%	8%	74	-0.1	.216/.287/.303	.087	.295	7	14	27%	8%	66	-0.6	.211/.287/.288	.077	.283	6	16	26%	8%	58	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)