Adam Seminaris

P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 28 LHP 6'0" / 191 lbs AA peak 1.3 · 2027

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	26	AASEA	24	22	125	3.02	2.49	20.2%	6.9%	—	K 16.4% · BB 7.6% · FIP 3.00
2026	27	AAPHI	26	26	138	4.03	3.29	28.1%	5.2%	—	K 22.7% · BB 5.7% · FIP 4.19
2027PROJ	28	MLBPHI	15	15	89	4.32	4.32	19.4%	6.7%	0.6
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBPHI	4	4	27	4.39	4.44	19.4%	7.0%	0.1
2029PROJ51% MLB	30	MLBPHI	7	7	41	4.35	4.33	21.3%	6.6%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control55Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDylan Dodd (age 26) · Matt Tracy (age 28) · Danny Wirchansky (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.32

FIP4.32

K%19.4%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%12.7%

Proj IP89

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	18	83	368	112	26	9	90%	4.2	22.7%	8.3%	14.4%	3.1%	4.86	3.94	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	18	83	368	112	26	9	90%	4.2	30.4%	7.1%	23.4%	2.4%	4.86	2.75	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	21	102	439	97	38	7	88%	4.2	17.9%	9.4%	8.5%	2.0%	3.54	3.87	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	21	102	439	97	38	7	88%	4.2	22.1%	8.7%	13.4%	1.6%	3.54	3.21	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	16	62	277	64	25	6	100%	3.9	19.6%	9.8%	9.8%	2.4%	5.95	4.01	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	16	62	277	64	25	6	100%	3.9	23.1%	9.0%	14.1%	2.2%	5.95	3.50	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	25	10	75	335	73	23	5	40%	3.0	17.7%	7.6%	10.1%	1.5%	6.15	3.39	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	25	10	75	335	73	23	5	40%	3.0	17.7%	7.6%	10.1%	1.5%	6.15	3.39	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Biloxi Shuckers	25	10	75	335	73	23	5	40%	3.0	21.8%	6.9%	14.9%	1.5%	6.15	2.94	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	24	22	125	519	105	36	2	92%	5.2	16.4%	7.6%	8.8%	0.6%	3.02	3.00	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	24	22	125	519	105	36	2	92%	5.2	16.4%	7.6%	8.8%	0.6%	3.02	3.00	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	24	22	125	519	105	36	2	92%	5.2	20.2%	6.9%	13.3%	0.4%	3.02	2.49	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	26	26	138	577	162	30	20	100%	5.3	22.7%	5.7%	17.0%	4.2%	4.03	4.19	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	26	26	138	577	162	30	20	100%	5.3	22.7%	5.7%	17.0%	4.2%	4.03	4.19	—
2026	27	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	26	26	138	577	162	30	20	100%	5.3	28.1%	5.2%	22.9%	3.5%	4.03	3.29	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	PHI	15	15	89	376	73	25	11	100%	5.9	19.4%	6.7%	12.7%	3.0%	4.32	4.32	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	85	358	70	25	11	100%	6.1	19.4%	7.0%	12.4%	3.1%	4.39	4.44	+0.5
2029	30	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	80	337	72	22	11	100%	6.1	21.3%	6.6%	14.7%	3.3%	4.35	4.33	+0.5
2030	31	MLB MLE	PHI	12	12	74	314	66	22	11	100%	6.2	21.0%	7.0%	14.0%	3.5%	4.46	4.54	+0.3
2031	32	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	69	290	60	22	11	100%	6.2	20.6%	7.5%	13.1%	3.8%	4.63	4.76	+0.1
2032	33	MLB MLE	PHI	10	10	63	266	53	21	11	100%	6.3	20.1%	7.9%	12.2%	4.0%	4.85	5.00	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	PHI	4	4	27	114	22	8	4	100%	6.8	19.4%	7.0%	12.4%	3.1%	4.39	4.44	+0.1
2029	30	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	41	173	37	11	6	100%	5.9	21.3%	6.6%	14.7%	3.3%	4.35	4.33	+0.3
2030	31	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	48	203	43	14	7	100%	6.0	21.0%	7.0%	14.0%	3.5%	4.46	4.54	+0.2
2031	32	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	51	215	44	16	8	100%	6.4	20.6%	7.5%	13.1%	3.8%	4.63	4.76	+0.1
2032	33	MLB CTX	PHI	8	8	51	215	43	17	9	100%	6.4	20.1%	7.9%	12.2%	4.0%	4.85	5.00	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		36	36	218	921	189	67	33	100%	6.1	20.6%	7.3%	13.3%	3.6%	4.56	4.27	+1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	173	61	30	100%	6.0	20.6%	7.3%	13.3%	3.6%	4.56	4.27	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		135	113	585	2515	492	197	59	84%	4.3	19.6%	7.8%	11.7%	2.3%	4.32	3.72	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	39	200	859	168	67	20	84%	4.3	19.6%	7.8%	11.7%	2.3%	4.32	3.72	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Adam Seminaris (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.32	19.4%	6.7%	3.0%	—	4.43	20.5%	13.7%	239	+0.11	—	—	—
Dylan Dodd L 2024 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	17.5%	6.0%	4.2%	.338	3.97	26.5%	21.7%	123	-0.74	3.31	475	77
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	77
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	77
Ryan Bollinger L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	27	SP	3.56	17.1%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	112	76
T.J. Sikkema L 2024 · 3.57 FIP	26	SP-	3.57	18.5%	6.0%	2.3%	.282	4.10	16.1%	7.2%	87	+0.53	3.57	300	75
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	73
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	73
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	73
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	73
Ben Shields L 2024 · 3.23 FIP	25	SP-	3.23	25.3%	8.2%	2.2%	.273	3.02	23.5%	13.3%	43	-0.21	3.02	147	72
Kyle Hald L 2015 · 4.33 FIP	26	SP	4.33	12.1%	7.4%	2.4%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.33	124	71
Kramer Sneed L 2016 · 4.21 FIP	27	SP	4.21	13.2%	8.2%	2.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	116	70
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	70
Yohan Flande L 2014 · 3.65 FIP	28	SP-	3.65	14.1%	5.8%	1.8%	.266	3.90	14.1%	7.9%	312	+0.25	3.18	394	69
Michael O'Connor L 2006 · 4.93 FIP	25	SP	4.93	13.0%	8.8%	3.3%	.238	—	—	—	—	—	4.93	105	69
John Anderson L 2016 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	14.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.367	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	235	69
Jared Koenig L 2022 · 4.06 FIP	28	SP-	4.06	18.1%	7.4%	2.8%	.308	3.29	23.6%	15.8%	187	-0.77	2.79	475	69
Nick Additon L 2016 · 4.47 FIP	28	SP-	4.47	12.9%	6.8%	2.9%	.303	3.13	19.3%	10.2%	26	-1.34	3.13	217	68
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	68
Misael Siverio L 2017 · 4.32 FIP	28	SP	4.32	17.3%	9.1%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	185	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	77	20.3%	7.1%	1.32	4.48
Rich Monteleone ('87-'96, 2 WAR*)	1.8	71	18.7%*	7.5%*	1.39*	4.03*
Blas Minor ('97)	1.1	75	19.2%	7.3%	1.16	4.40
Bobby Tiefenauer ('52-'68, 0 WAR*)	1.6	63	20.4%*	6.7%*	1.10*	4.53*
Tim Crews ('87-'92, 3 WAR*)	2.1	71	20.8%*	6.2%*	1.09*	4.11*
Joe Biagini ('21)	1.7	83	19.0%	7.9%	1.28	5.03
Carlos Torres ('19)	2.5	72	20.7%	8.9%	1.12	4.09