Maikol Hernández

Maikol HernándezSS Frederick Keys

Age 23 R/R 6'3" / 175 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†35

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .245 / .232

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP252

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	17	ROK	DSL Orioles 1	—	156	130	30	8	1	0	20	33	3	4	3	231	346	308	654	77	300	21	13	302	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	175	148	23	7	0	0	19	59	7	7	2	155	282	203	484	47	256	34	11	239	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	159	134	24	6	0	2	17	33	8	1	3	179	308	269	577	90	222	21	11	277	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	235	201	36	5	1	2	27	60	3	10	1	179	286	244	529	65	239	26	11	249	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	48	41	6	2	1	0	3	11	3	0	0	146	255	244	499	98	194	23	6	233	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	99	86	19	5	0	1	8	28	0	4	0	221	287	314	601	93	300	28	8	261	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	268	214	37	7	1	2	41	76	4	5	3	173	317	243	560	70	250	28	15	264	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	22	18	2	0	0	0	2	9	1	0	0	111	238	111	349		222	41	9	179	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Frederick Keys	—	69	61	8	1	0	1	7	20	0	1	0	131	221	197	417	66	175	29	10	198	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	156	136	21	5	1	0	14	40	3	4	3	154	248	206	454	51	197	26	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	175	155	15	4	0	0	12	86	7	7	2	97	195	123	318	26	204	49	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	159	141	16	4	0	1	10	49	8	1	3	113	214	163	377	50	164	31	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	235	209	30	3	1	2	19	79	3	10	1	144	225	196	421	53	206	34	8	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	48	42	5	2	1	0	2	15	3	0	0	119	213	214	427	95	152	31	4	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	99	89	16	4	0	1	5	36	0	4	0	180	223	258	482	79	246	36	5	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	268	227	32	6	1	2	28	104	4	5	3	141	247	203	450	62	219	39	10	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	22	19	2	0	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	105	190	105	296		217	50	5	154	-10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	69	64	7	1	0	1	4	26	0	1	0	109	162	172	334	62	143	38	6	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	156	136	21	5	1	0	14	40	3	4	3	154	248	206	454	51	212	26	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles 1	—	156	130	30	8	1	0	20	33	3	4	3	231	346	308	654	77	300	21	13	302	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	175	155	15	4	0	0	12	86	7	7	2	97	195	123	318	26	214	49	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	175	148	23	7	0	0	19	59	7	7	2	155	282	203	484	47	256	34	11	239	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	159	141	16	4	0	1	10	49	8	1	3	113	214	163	377	50	165	31	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	159	134	24	6	0	2	17	33	8	1	3	179	308	269	577	90	222	21	11	277	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	283	251	35	5	2	2	21	94	6	10	1	139	223	199	422	60	208	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	283	242	42	7	2	2	30	71	6	10	1	174	281	244	524	70	231	25	11	247	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	316	47	10	1	2	33	140	4	9	3	149	238	206	444	57	249	38	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	367	300	56	12	1	3	49	104	4	9	3	187	309	263	572	77	265	28	13	263	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	91	82	9	1	0	1	6	37	1	1	0	110	180	159	338	49	182	41	7	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	91	79	10	1	0	1	9	29	1	1	0	127	225	177	402	51	184	32	10	194	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles 1	—	156	138	21	5	1	0	14	40	3	4	3	152	248	203	451	51	197	26	9	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	175	154	15	4	0	0	12	86	7	7	2	97	195	123	319	26	204	49	7	151	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	159	140	16	4	0	1	10	49	8	1	3	114	214	164	378	50	164	31	6	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	283	254	35	5	2	2	21	94	6	10	1	138	223	197	420	59	197	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	327	47	10	1	2	33	140	4	9	3	144	238	199	437	55	226	38	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	91	84	9	1	0	1	6	37	1	1	0	107	180	155	335	48	161	41	7	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	283	254	35	5	2	2	21	94	6	10	1	138	223	197	420	59	197	33	7	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	367	327	47	10	1	2	33	140	4	9	3	144	238	199	437	55	226	38	9	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	91	84	9	1	0	1	6	37	1	1	0	107	180	155	335	48	161	41	7	143	-17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	311	279	46	9	1	2	26	104	3	5	1	165	243	227	470	63	248	33	8	220	35	-24	+1	+0	+3	+7	-1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	167	245	232	477	65	252	0	0	223	35	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	352	316	54	10	1	4	29	115	4	5	1	172	250	250	500	78	252	33	8	232	43	-24	+1	+0	+4	+8	-1.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	399	358	64	12	1	6	34	128	4	6	1	178	256	266	522	88	255	32	9	241	49	-24	+1	+0	+4	+9	-1.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	427	384	71	13	2	7	36	134	4	6	1	182	260	277	537	95	257	31	8	247	53	-24	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	436	392	72	13	2	7	37	136	4	6	1	184	262	281	543	96	258	31	8	249	55	-23	+1	+0	+5	+9	-0.9
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	107	96	16	3	0	1	9	35	1	2	0	175	253	255	508	80	256	33	8	236	43	-7	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	177	158	29	5	1	3	15	57	2	3	1	181	259	272	530	91	258	32	8	244	49	-11	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	217	195	37	7	1	4	18	68	2	3	1	185	263	283	546	98	260	31	8	250	53	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	229	206	39	7	1	4	19	71	2	3	1	187	265	287	552	100	262	31	8	253	55	-12	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	730	655	121	22	3	12	61	231	7	11	3	185	261	282	544	98	262	32	8	248	34	-42	+1	+0	+8	+16	-1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	109	20	3	11	54	206	6	10	3	187	263	288	551	101	265	32	8	248	34	-38	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3111	2770	444	85	11	32	254	1048	48	59	17	160	243	234	476	73	240	34	8	218	34	-115	+3	+0	+20	+41	-5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	93	18	2	7	53	219	10	12	4	161	243	235	478	74	240	34	8	218	34	-40	+1	+0	+7	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	730	11	11	181	256	273	+8	+6	-1.3	-0.7
/162	664	10	10	+7.1	+5.5	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maikol Hernández (OGILVIE)	23	20	25	45	60	163/241/225	62	248	2	4	33%	8%	35	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→30	50→45	40	185/239/261	76	255	4	8	28%	6%	42	-2.9	210/271/302	92	296	8	10	30%	7%	63	-1.4	202/270/282	80	285	9	12	31%	7%	57	-0.4
✕Matt Pagnozzi 2006 · AA	23	38	37→40	45→40	41	181/243/252	71	264	4	7	31%	7%	41	-3.0	190/242/269	79	270	5	4	30%	5%	45	-2.7	208/273/289	82	286	7	0	28%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Connor Justus 2019 · AA	24	39→37	38→40	42→45	46	187/272/266	79	264	6	8	29%	8%	56	-1.9	176/250/244	68	255	4	8	30%	7%	42	-2.9	151/222/201	49	225	2	6	31%	6%	20	-2.7
✕Vicente Conde 2017 · AA	23	40→35	39→45	46→45	44	193/259/279	85	278	5	7	31%	8%	53	-2.1	176/251/260	84	258	6	6	31%	9%	47	-2.6	105/203/174	69	168	5	2	38%	10%	9	-1.6
✕Cody Bohanek 2019 · AAA	24	39→36	38→40	46→50	41	187/264/259	71	271	7	10	31%	6%	52	-2.2	177/268/264	87	291	8	12	39%	8%	55	-1.9	149/254/236	86	262	7	16	41%	8%	43	-1.6
✕Jon Murphy 2013 · A	23	37	38→30	47→50	39	183/234/259	76	262	5	13	31%	5%	39	-3.1	196/249/259	63	303	3	10	34%	6%	45	-2.7	190/244/242	52	297	3	10	35%	6%	35	-1.8
✕Fabian Pertuz 2024 · AA	23	35→36	40	51→55	36	179/227/266	87	258	7	13	33%	5%	38	-3.2	186/239/281	95	297	9	11	38%	6%	46	-2.6	156/208/244	89	265	10	7	43%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Jio Mier 2014 · AA	23	40→44	38→40	43→50	46	193/261/267	74	261	7	10	27%	8%	51	-2.2	203/264/284	81	268	6	9	25%	7%	56	-1.9	196/252/279	82	253	6	7	24%	6%	48	-1.3
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Matthew Hall 2011 · AAA	24	36	36→30	47→45	37	178/224/243	65	261	4	7	32%	5%	31	-3.7	202/256/284	82	282	5	10	29%	6%	53	-2.1	201/259/281	79	275	5	12	27%	6%	53	-1.3
✕Gionti Turner 2024 · AA	23	40	36→30	49→55	38	190/253/253	62	277	5	15	32%	6%	45	-2.7	193/252/276	83	308	7	15	37%	6%	50	-2.3	127/187/191	64	225	6	21	44%	5%	4	-1.3
✕Kelvin Melean 2022 · AA	23	41	38→40	47→45	42	197/251/276	79	251	6	9	23%	5%	49	-2.4	212/277/298	86	278	6	7	24%	7%	64	-1.3	207/279/280	73	274	5	3	25%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Bubba Hollins 2019 · A	23	38	39→30	44→45	43	187/256/267	80	242	7	6	25%	6%	50	-2.3	206/264/286	80	268	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	199/260/270	71	265	4	3	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Pedruin Bautista 2007 · A	23	36	35→40	48→60	43	171/237/228	57	248	2	11	30%	7%	33	-3.6	194/285/269	75	245	3	19	20%	10%	61	-1.5	180/297/260	80	210	2	33	14%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Ryan Dent 2012 · AA	23	40→44	39→40	45→50	39	194/248/283	89	280	7	12	32%	6%	50	-2.3	210/263/283	73	289	6	12	27%	6%	55	-1.9	208/259/293	85	288	6	12	28%	5%	54	-1.1
✕Jonathan Guzmán 2023 · AA	23	32→42	37→30	50	36	165/205/235	71	236	5	12	32%	4%	22	-4.3	185/238/255	70	276	6	10	33%	6%	40	-3.1	171/236/211	40	265	4	9	35%	7%	26	-1.0
✕Dereck Salom 2024 · A	23	41	35→30	42→40	49	193/270/248	55	261	2	4	25%	9%	51	-2.3	202/284/269	67	267	5	7	24%	9%	61	-1.5	188/281/233	46	243	4	7	22%	10%	52	-1.4
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	43	35→30	45→40	44	200/259/257	56	275	2	4	27%	7%	48	-2.5	203/259/275	72	281	4	7	27%	6%	52	-2.2	170/219/198	28	239	0	4	27%	5%	19	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps