Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 12 | 3 | 35 | 160 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 25% | 2.9 | 12.3% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 4.63 | 3.88 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 12 | 3 | 35 | 160 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 25% | 2.9 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.2% | 4.63 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 4.50 | 3.71 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0% | 1.9 | 13.4% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 0.8% | 4.50 | 3.06 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 28 | 0 | 43 | 201 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 14.7% | 12.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.40 | 5.17 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 28 | 0 | 43 | 201 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 5.40 | 3.98 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 0 | 27 | 130 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 6.8% | 16.3% | -9.5% | 2.6% | 6.26 | 6.01 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | 21 | 0 | 27 | 130 | 12 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 9.2% | 13.8% | -4.6% | 1.5% | 6.26 | 5.15 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 43 | 190 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 8.9% | 7.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.98 | 3.90 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 0 | 43 | 190 | 23 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 3.98 | 3.47 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 27 | 0 | 29 | 140 | 36 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.8% | 20.5% | -0.7% | 4.5% | 5.28 | 6.48 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 0 | 23 | 96 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 52 | 236 | 55 | 34 | 8 | — | — | 23.2% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 5.63 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | WSH | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 2.8% | 4.56 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | WSH | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.07 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 80 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 4.07 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 3 | 206 | 940 | 114 | 114 | 21 | 2% | 1.5 | 12.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 4.94 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 3 | 200 | 914 | 111 | 111 | 20 | 2% | 1.5 | 12.1% | 12.1% | 0.0% | 2.2% | 4.94 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Euri Montero (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 19.6% | 9.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.45 | 20.5% | 11.4% | 23 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 93 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 89 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 89 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 88 |
| Kyle Whitten R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.26 | 18.0% | 9.5% | 2.7% | .296 | 5.21 | 18.2% | 7.4% | 37 | +0.95 | 4.26 | 152 | 88 |
| Dylan Hall R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.54 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 1.5% | .305 | 6.14 | 17.8% | 4.9% | 107 | +2.60 | 3.54 | 153 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 88 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 87 |
| Roman Mendez R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 87 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 87 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.88 | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 4.35 | 23.6% | 13.4% | 75 | +0.47 | 3.18 | 117 | 87 |
| Jackson Rees R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.47 | 16.1% | 9.0% | 2.9% | .354 | 1.86 | 28.2% | 20.8% | 62 | -2.61 | 1.86 | 103 | 87 |
| Micah Dallas R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.96 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .273 | 3.95 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 80 | -0.01 | 3.57 | 178 | 86 |
| Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.12 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 24.8% | 15.5% | 104 | -0.89 | 2.88 | 312 | 86 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.34 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .238 | 4.64 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 263 | +0.30 | 3.75 | 299 | 86 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 86 |
| Ryan Shreve R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.75 | 18.9% | 10.1% | 1.8% | .260 | 4.61 | 15.8% | 6.2% | 203 | +0.86 | 3.24 | 290 | 86 |
| Landon Beck R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .309 | 4.11 | 17.4% | 8.7% | 63 | +0.14 | 3.54 | 186 | 85 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.4% | .289 | 4.20 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 181 | 85 |